Jean-Noel DEGRACE METEOFRANCE Antilles-Guyane Warning dissemination and communication in the MHEWS context at Météo-France / French West Indies and Guyana.

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Presentation transcript:

Jean-Noel DEGRACE METEOFRANCE Antilles-Guyane Warning dissemination and communication in the MHEWS context at Météo-France / French West Indies and Guyana

The strength of the « vigilance » system in the communication and dissemination context 1- A comprehensive strategy for communication, in all phases, with a strong coordination between MétéoFrance and the Civil Protection

A comprehensive strategy of communication in all phases with a strong coordination between MétéoFrance and the Civil Protection PREVENTION PREPAREDNESS RESPONSE RECOVERY FEED-BACK Operational Cooperation & Communication Awareness, Knowledge, Sensibilisation, … Risk prevention scheme, Implementation of data networks, technical and scientific tools, … Real time : VIGILANCE, Operational plans, Technical and scientific tools… Update, improvement, … « living SOPs »

1- A comprehensive strategy for communication, in all phases, with a strong coordination between MétéoFrance and the Civil Protection 2- A sole meteorological and hydrological warning system (« vigilance ») - combining the Met and Hydrological expertise and the Civil Protection input for a single voice communication - tackling several threats (not only for tropical cyclone) - for all the French Caribbean territories - with a simple « users oriented » coulour coded system, to go from the art of science to the possible consequences The strength of the « vigilance » system in the communication and dissemination context

DANGER = NATURAL HAZARD +VULNERABILITY +STAKES Other MHEWS technical instutions The « VIGILANCE » system Civil Protection

A type of hazard, A colour for the level of the danger, A slogan No danger Be (or keep being) attentive ! Imprecise danger / limited effects Be prepared ! P robable danger / moderate effects Protect yourself ! High probable danger / heavy effects Stay safely enclosed ! Imminent danger with catastrophic effects Keep being careful. reduced or moved away danger but... Strong winds Dangerous sea Heavy rain, Thunderstorm Cyclone Individual behaviour Collective measures ASSESS THE RISK GIVE ADAPTED MEASURES Coordination The « VIGILANCE » system Civil Protection

Progressive increase of the watch and warning level with related individual and collective measures Easy to understand and complete information, open to everybody Internet, phone, , fax, mobile Same type of information all year long for any kind of danger for any public for all the islands of the FWI and French Guiana Adapted forecast ranges Depending on the phenomenom and its predictability Depending on the lead time required by the Civil Protection and other stakeholders to put in operations safety measures The « VIGILANCE » system

MEASURES and BEHAVIOR Depending on : the hazard The level ( color) of risk Specific measures of prevention, protection and behaviour have to be applied in social and economical sectors and also by every citizen.. Individual behaviour measures Collective measures Pre-defined in collaboration with the emergency managers, they give advice to prepare and to behave before, during and after the event Included in « Follow-up » bulletins of each region. Also available from the web site by click on the colour key Also pre-defined by emergency managers, Concerning instructions for schools, industries, airport, shops, … The collective measures are decided by the representative of the government in real time

- Keep beeing informed of weather bulletins and measures or instructions to follow (Internet, Answering machine,radio, TV, …), - Make your house ready (protect the openings, put important things in safe places,, etc.), - Move things that might be reached by flood, - Protect your boats, hawling them on to dry land or under shelter., - Bring animals into shelters (cattle, fowl, …), - Do some last minute shopping so as to be self sufficient for a few days, - Fill up gas tank of your car without panicking and paralysing gas stations, - Mind perishable goods stored up in deep freeze (they may go bad in case of prolonged electricity failure), -Protect important personal documents (ID cards, health and vaccination records, bills, insurance policy, …), -Get some cash to be able to buy some essentiels (cash dispenser may be out of order). ORANGE : BE PREPARED ! Example MEASURES and BEHAVIOR

Routine Production twice a day around 6.00 am and 5.00 pm local time Updated as often as needed (when a noteworthy change in the current or forecast meteorological situation occurs ) at least every 6 hours in case of cyclone in level yellow, orange or grey at least every 3 hours in case of red or purple Key of hazard and colour pictograms Date and hour production PRODUCTS : the « vigilance » map Official RSMC WARNING 4 sub-regions for the French Guiana

PRODUCTS : the « follow up » bulletins The same « follow-up » bulletin for Civil Protection, Stakeholders, Media, Customers, … Content: Analysis ( location, intensity, movement, …) -Forecast ( Schedule, ) -Possible consequences for each area under the threat -Probabilities (low, moderate/high, very high, certain) of impact (low, moderate, important, major) - Individual mesures pre-defined by the civil protection. Production schedule -As soon as the level of vigilance is different from green, bulletins are produced for each region concerned -Updated as soon as needed, at least at any change of coulour. -Specific « back to green » bulletin at the end of the event. Colour minimum Frequency 12 h Cyclone 6 h 3 h 6 h

DISSEMINATION AND ACCESS Internet : S.M.S. Vocal Box , Fax Fax Coordination calls S.M.S. Fax CustomersStakeholders, Communities Push mode Pull mode Secondary dissemination Push mode General Public MEDIA

1- A comprehensive strategy for communication, in all phases, with a strong coordination between MétéoFrance and the Civil Protection 2- A sole meteorological and hydrological warning system (« vigilance ») - combining the Met and Hydrological expertise and the Civil Protection input for a single voice communication - tackling several threats (not only for tropical cyclone) - for all the French Caribben territories - with a simple « users oriented » coulour coded system, to go from the art of science to the possible consequences 3- Alignement with the regional warning system for tropical cyclone The strength of the « vigilance » system in the communication and dissemination context

Aligment with the Warning System from RSMC Miami Official alerts on the « vigilance » charts for all the Lesser Antilles: PT = Préalerte Tempête = Storm Watch AT = Alerte Tempête = Storm Warning PO = Préalerte Ouragan = Hurricane Watch AO = Alerte Ouragan = Hurricane Warning Vigilance VS RSMC, function of the type of tropical cyclones and the lead time

1- A comprehensive strategy for communication, in all phases, with a strong coordination between MétéoFrance and the Civil Protection 2- A sole meteorological and hydrological warning system (« vigilance ») - combining the Met and Hydrological expertise and the Civil Protection input for a single voice communication - tackling several threats (not only for tropical cyclone) - for all the French Caribben territories - with a simple « users oriented » coulour coded system, to go from the art of science to the possible consequences 3- Alignement with the regional warning system for tropical cyclone 4- A living procedure with continual improvement built on feedback The strength of the « vigilance » system in the communication and dissemination context

Feedback mechanisms from Civil Protection Yearly assessment of the Vigilance system Cyclones Winds Rain Sea Guyane Guadeloupe Martinique St-Martin / St-Barth YEAR : 2008

Lead time for warnings (2009) Well-timed enough for partial anticipation too earlytoo late 70,0%6,7%0,0%23,3% 63,2%10,5%0,0%26,3% 66,7%0,0% 33,3% 67,3%7,3%0,0%25,5% Feedback mechanisms from Civil Protection Yearly assessment of the Vigilance system Presently, the only way to organise feedback is through the civil protection Expectation : feedback from the media according to their own needs and to the comments of the general public

Jean-Noel DEGRACE METEOFRANCE Antilles-Guyane Warning dissemination and communication in the MHEWS context at Météo-France / French West Indies and Guyana