Confidence and clutter in the battlefield Martin Hill British Army, Cranfield (Defence Academy), Capgemini.

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Presentation transcript:

Confidence and clutter in the battlefield Martin Hill British Army, Cranfield (Defence Academy), Capgemini

 Provenance: ◦ Who, where, when, what, what... ◦ …mark up presence… ◦...and absence! Express uncertainty and confidence ◦ “I am highly confident that it is unlikely that…” ◦ “I am somewhat confident that it is likely that...”

 Update rates  Go and have a look  Acceptable false positives, negatives

 Dirty Data: ◦ Cluttered ◦ Incomplete ◦ Unreliable Drills & Skills  Understand  Exploit Neat & Tidy Miss Marple Sherlock Holmes Scooby Doo Sam Spade Impossible

 Fusion ambiguity is likely... ...can be reduced... ...and mitigated... ...(and accepted) When training:  Add Clutter  Remove Clues  Lie