Geoffrey Stano– NASA / SPoRT – ENSCO, Inc. Brian Carcione– NWS Huntsville Jason Burks– NWS Huntsville Southern Thunder Workshop, Norman, OK 11-14 July.

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Presentation transcript:

Geoffrey Stano– NASA / SPoRT – ENSCO, Inc. Brian Carcione– NWS Huntsville Jason Burks– NWS Huntsville Southern Thunder Workshop, Norman, OK July 2011

Available in decision support tools Synthesize data o “At a glance” analysis Complement existing tools o Radar o Vertically Integrated Ice Expand Utility

NALMA and Radar in AWIPS II Mandatory with WFOs AWIPS II Advantages o More fidelity o More options o More flexibility SPoRT has fully functional plug-in Source Densities (Interpolated) Source Densities (Not Interpolated)

Source Densities (Basic) Essentially different products Can be just different color curves Provide alternate analyses o Requires caution o Too many will not allow use in a timely fashion Expand utility o More than lightning jumps o Improved lightning safety o Better support to public Source Densities (Enhanced)Source Densities (Emphasis)

Source Density in AWIPS IIFlash Extent Density in AWIPS II

Also Flash Initiation Density Emphasize storm cores Less cluttered than others Lose spatial data Greatly benefited by AWIPS II Variant used at Spring Program

Max observation of lightning for each grid point for period of time “Poor man’s” trending product o Compare to current obs o Is a jump occurring? Great lightning safety tool o Spatial extent of lightning over time Variant used at Spring Program

Simplistic take on Lightning Jump Algorithm (LJA) Gives standard deviation from base value for each grid point Requires no cell tracker Interesting, but flags storm advection

Similar to Rate of Change product Try to account for advection Baseline uses surrounding grid boxes Little better than the original Rate of Change visualization

Ground-based total lightning has 3D component AWIPS I is too slow to use AWIPS II has ability, but usable? o How fast easy will it be? Not usable with GLM data o May gain ideas to use GLM Can we incorporate height data? AWIPS I Cross Section 3 km4 km5 km6 km

Use 3D LMA observations Plot altitudes of highest sources Get sense of updraft strength Lose actual density information Can we combine height and obs?

Average source height Better core observation Maximum height with time Like the max density Height rate of change (not shown) Like the rate of change Benefit from cell tracker Average Source Height Max Source Height (30 min)

 Products and visualizations need “at a glance” utility Need to be viable in time sensitive warning decision situations  All of these ideas can be applied to the following Warning decision support Lightning safety GLM risk reduction  All require training!  Some cases for non-AWIPS work Google Earth displays Support real-time research Support emergency managers

Geoffrey Stano  These are test ideas Working with partners to determine best to transition  Some already used by the Spring Program Variants based on SPoRT’s Pseudo-Geostationary Lightning Mapper  Lightning can support more than just lightning jumps and severe weather  Determine how best to combine lightning observations with other data Feedback requesting time series plot and an IC – CG ratio product GOES-R era bringing even more data Improved computing bringing more models Need to avoid overloading end users Questions?