Political Importance and Arm Imports Anirudha Vaddadi & Josi Sinagoga.

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Presentation transcript:

Political Importance and Arm Imports Anirudha Vaddadi & Josi Sinagoga

 Inspiration  Literature ▪ Kuziemko, Illyana, and Erik Werker. “How Much is a Seat on the Security Council Worth? Foreign Aid and Bribery at the United Nations”. Journal of Political Economy 114, no. 5 (October 2006): ▪ Dreher, Axel., Jan-Egbert Sturm, and James Raymond Vreeland. “Global horse trading: IMF loans for votes in the United Nations Security Council”. European Economic Review 53, no. 7 (October 2009):

 Variables  Independent: UNSC non-permanent membership (dichotomous)  Dependent: volume of arms imports, measured by Trend-Indicator Value (TIV)  The Question:  Does political importance increase arms imports to a given country?  Our Hypothesis:  Positive relationship between arms imports and political importance.

 Data  Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI)  World Bank  Vreeland, James Raymond, and Axel Dreher. Money and Politics on the International Stage: The Political Economy of the United Nations Security Council: Money and Influence. New York, NY: Cambridge UP, Print.  World Data vs. Top Exporter Data  Regressions  Linear  Country-fixed Effects

 Confounding Variables: ▪ Population ▪ GDP ▪ GDP per capita ▪ War  Origin-specific Results ▪ Germany ▪ UK

Country of Origin All countries USA German y FranceUKItaly Recipient Countries Hungary ✔✔ Italy ✔✔ Jordan ✔✔✔ New Zealand ✔✔✔ South Africa ✔✔✔ Sweden ✔✔✔

 Story for the Results  The Take-Away