Political Importance and Arm Imports Anirudha Vaddadi & Josi Sinagoga
Inspiration Literature ▪ Kuziemko, Illyana, and Erik Werker. “How Much is a Seat on the Security Council Worth? Foreign Aid and Bribery at the United Nations”. Journal of Political Economy 114, no. 5 (October 2006): ▪ Dreher, Axel., Jan-Egbert Sturm, and James Raymond Vreeland. “Global horse trading: IMF loans for votes in the United Nations Security Council”. European Economic Review 53, no. 7 (October 2009):
Variables Independent: UNSC non-permanent membership (dichotomous) Dependent: volume of arms imports, measured by Trend-Indicator Value (TIV) The Question: Does political importance increase arms imports to a given country? Our Hypothesis: Positive relationship between arms imports and political importance.
Data Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI) World Bank Vreeland, James Raymond, and Axel Dreher. Money and Politics on the International Stage: The Political Economy of the United Nations Security Council: Money and Influence. New York, NY: Cambridge UP, Print. World Data vs. Top Exporter Data Regressions Linear Country-fixed Effects
Confounding Variables: ▪ Population ▪ GDP ▪ GDP per capita ▪ War Origin-specific Results ▪ Germany ▪ UK
Country of Origin All countries USA German y FranceUKItaly Recipient Countries Hungary ✔✔ Italy ✔✔ Jordan ✔✔✔ New Zealand ✔✔✔ South Africa ✔✔✔ Sweden ✔✔✔
Story for the Results The Take-Away