MACROVIEW IWM 31day Intraday – rising trendline from the lows has kept decline in check- nearing end of 26 th to the 4 th window – Support remains 80 with.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
Understanding Current Farmland Values and Risks March 10, 2011 FDIC Symposium Don’t Bet the Farm: Assessing the Boom in U.S. Farmland Prices by Brent Gloy.
Advertisements

1 The Current Economic Situation in the Euro Area Presentation by Amy Medearis and Valerie Rouxel-Laxton, Delegation of the European.
State of the Market August 2010 Daryl Montgomery August 31, 2010 Copyright 2010, All Rights Reserved The contents of this presentation are not intended.
MACROVIEW EEM – 31day Intraday – lagging developed mkts for 6m but playing catchup – GAPPED above downtrend with 47 being NEW resistance – unwind seems.
Lafayette College Investment Club September 5, 2014.
WEALTH SKILL’S CLUB TODAY’S DISCUSSION: MARKET OVERVIEW: GLOBAL, LOCAL AND SECTOR MARKET OVERVIEW: GLOBAL, LOCAL AND SECTOR PRICE RELATIVE SECTORS TO FOCUS.
Technical Desk Market Update.. Nse Index Major supports violated on near term charts Trading Strategy: Sell on rise Intraday Support : 4956 / 4940/ 4917.
5/19/2015 Macroview. German Dax – 31day intraday - ST uptrend has been broken. Closing in on 15 days lows. Possibly strong EUR about to impact exports?
Your First Step Intothe World Of Trading Understanding The Basics of Trading.
The Dawn of a New Economic Era? Russia Economic Report April 2015 | Edition No. 33.
Economic Outlook William Strauss Senior Economist and Economic Advisor Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago Spring Manufacturers Institute Orlando, FL April.
The Seven Indicators Every Resource Investor Needs to Know Presented by Peter Krauth.
OSCILLATORS. Oscillators can be defined as a price derivative Oscillators experience oscillations that permits to identify the volatility in the market.
Prudential Equity Group, LLC Prudential Equity Group, LLC One New York Plaza 15 th Floor New York, NY Market Technician’s Association Education Seminar.
REAL ASSET RETURNS GOLD/SILVER RATIO EDUCATIONAL CONFERENCE CALL.
Technical Analysis Overview.
Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2005 Goals of Monetary Policy Consolidated Balance Sheet of the Federal Reserve Banks Tools of Monetary Policy Federal.
WEALTH SKILL’S CLUB TODAY’S DISCUSSION: MARKET OVERVIEW: GLOBAL, LOCAL AND SECTOR MARKET OVERVIEW: GLOBAL, LOCAL AND SECTOR PRICE RELATIVE SECTORS TO FOCUS.
Technical Desk Daily Market Update.. Nse Index Sharp rally which could be considered as a technical bounce in a down trend could be still be active once.
Copyright © 2012 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 13 Money, Banks, and the Federal Reserve.
Capital Market and commodity market are the two sides of the same coin.
Technical Desk Daily Market Update.. Nse Index Near term trend is up on charts, however expect some profit booking at rise whereas next strong resistance.
Technical Desk Daily Market Update.. Nse Index Near term trend is up on charts, however expect some profit booking at rise whereas next strong resistance.
Short the Aussie. Australian vs USD Triple Top: “W” formation, conclusive test being a break through the valley floor after the 3 rd top. Should see.
US.FUNDS U.S. Global Investors Searching for Opportunities, Managing Risk July What’s Driving Gold? Frank Holmes, CEO.
Phil’s Lessons Learned….. Options are the wild west vs stocks - always, always, always use a limit order!!!! Options should be monitored closer than stocks.
Why Gold? Why Gold? Why an allocation to gold may benefit investment portfolios June 2005.
How does the plan work?. Pension Investments - Key Concepts & Terms Equities – company shares Property – buildings i.e. office, retail, industrial units.
SPX – 08/10 to Current – Uptrend has been broken and first tgt has been hit – 50% of entire 4Q10 rally stands at 1195 which seems like a reasonable tgt.
9/15/2015 MACROVIEW. XLE – ABSOLUTE VIEW - 06/Current – 40wk MA –up 49.5% since 4q10 - slightly extended and most likely due for a breather – keep an.
June 3, 2012 Inside Index Levels F I N T R U S T BROKERAGE SERVICES LLC Disclaimer DO NOT DISTRIBUTE. This material is intended for the recipient only.
Economic Outlook William Strauss Senior Economist and Economic Advisor Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago Chicago Association of Spring Manufacturers Rosemont,
Economic Overview September 2009 Jay N. Mueller, CFA Wells Capital Management Fixed Income Group.
Technical Desk Daily Market Update.. Nse Index Short term trend is down Technical bounce expected …. Trading Strategy: Buy on dips Intraday Resistance.
10/1/2015Multinational Corporate Finance Prof. R.A. Michelfelder 1 Outline 5: Purchasing Power Parity, Interest Rate Parity, and Exchange Rate Forecasting.
Praj Industries Detailed Analysis 6 Aug 09. Comprehensive biofuel & brewery technology solutions Praj is a global Indian company that offers innovative.
Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002 Goals of Monetary Policy Consolidated Balance Sheet of the Federal Reserve Banks Tools of Monetary Policy Federal.
CAD Grant Lynch Matt Bennett Lainie Vi. In 2000, the Bank of Canada adopted a system of eight pre-set dates per year on which it announces its key.
Saeed Ebrahimijam Fall Faculty of Business and Economics Department of Banking and Finance Doğu Akdeniz Üniversitesi FINA417.
Technical Desk Daily Market Update.. Nse Index On charts trend is down; however expect a technical bounce; whereas strong resistance is expected at 5020.
Technical Desk Daily Market Update.. Nse Index Short term trend is down Technical bounce expected …. Trading Strategy: Buy on dips Intraday Resistance.
WEALTH SKILL’S CLUB TODAY’S DISCUSSION: MARKET OVERVIEW: GLOBAL, LOCAL AND SECTOR MARKET OVERVIEW: GLOBAL, LOCAL AND SECTOR PRICE RELATIVE SECTORS TO FOCUS.
Saeed Ebrahimijam Spring Faculty of Business and Economics Department of Banking and Finance Doğu Akdeniz Üniversitesi FINA417.
MAY 17, 2001 ENERGY MARKETS IN TURMOIL PRESENTED TO THE INSTITUTE FOR REGULATORY POLICY STUDIES
Technical Desk Daily Market Update.. Nse Index Markets are expected to be in range (4770 – 4960) trade above / below would add trigger in the direction…
Planning Trades for Entry and Exit. Options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. For more information, please read the Characteristics.
For Investment Professionals Only The importance of looking at real returns Presented by Fiona Barwick Director of Regional Research Mondrian Investment.
FOMC. GDP Review economics/uploads/newsletter/2013/PageOneCE0513. pdf
Economic and Social Update November 2007 William E. Wallace, Lead Economist World Bank, Indonesia November 2007.
IWM 31day Intraday – uptrend gives the upper hand to the bulls – resistance remains 83/84 area – support remains 80/81 – internal rotations continue. WTI.
How to Use Technical Analysis to Maximize Your Gains Presented by Peter Krauth.
U.S. Oil & Gas Industry Development of both oil and natural gas reserves in the United States is essential to meet future demand for energy The United.
The Property Market Has Realism in the Market entirely set in yet? June 2012.
BRENT 07/10 to CURRENT – Where most US based investors are focusing on WTI as the OIL benchmark BRENT continues to make new highs – IF the WTI BRENT spread.
2015 Investment Outlook Yuntaek Pae, PhD, CFA Associate Professor of Finance, Lewis University.
1 Commodity price increases: causes, effects and policy responses G20 Conference on Commodity Price Volatility Istanbul, 13 th September 2011 Jonathan.
Technical Desk Daily Market Update.. Nse Index On charts trend is down; however expect a technical bounce; whereas strong resistance is expected at 5020.
Latest developments in the global outlook, and the situation in Greece 18 February 2015 Alvaro Pereira Director, Country Studies Council.
2016 Market Update and Outlook April 27, 2016 J.P. King Advisors, Inc. is an SEC registered investment advisor. Past performance is no guarantee of future.
Presented by: David Cox, CFA, CMT, FCSI, FMA, BMath Portfolio Manager October 26th, 2011 Cutten Club, Guelph, ON How To Stop Losing Money: In Bear Markets.
Copyright Aditya Birla Nuvo Limited 2008 Aditya Birla Money Monthly Commodities Insight (July 2013) Aditya Birla Money Limited.
From Turmoil to Recovery, What’s Next? Jean McGowan, CFA February 16, 2010.
FXTechstrategy Currency Technicals
Outline Economic background Outlook IMF program.
A macroeconomic overview
FXTechstrategy Currency Technicals
The Monetary-Financial Environment
The Monetary-Financial Environment
Precious metals price outlook- Gnanasekar Thiagarajan, Director, Commtrendz Research BSE, 7th Feb 2018.
Trend Day SP 500 Emini Example of trend day down in sp. LH and LL, small corrections. A few ab=cd sell patterns. Notice any ab=cd buy patterns on this.
Presentation transcript:

MACROVIEW IWM 31day Intraday – rising trendline from the lows has kept decline in check- nearing end of 26 th to the 4 th window – Support remains 80 with resistance nearing 82 – higher lows and lower highs gives the look of a sideways consolidation PROVIDING 79/80 support levels hold – outside mkts will dictate. SILVER – 31day Intraday – Massive YTD gain – testing the round number of 35 and nearing ALL TIME Monthly closing highs at 37 – too late to buy and in need of a consolidation/correction – FX and geopolitical events will determine the scope of the next move – GLD/SLV ratio nearing 40 which is very close to 1998 lows – Silver still remains UNDER its all time peak near $50.

SAUDI YOY – DN 23% from recent Jan highs as contagion fears possibly turn toward reality – Saudi is responsible for roughly 8.5mbp with swing production rumored to be near 2-4 mbp – clearly subjective data and mkts are clearly shooting first – monitor the action in MENA mkts and MES/EGPT during US hours – clearly stability is wished upon. Saudi 5yr CDS spreads – 75bps to 140bps since the start of Feb and spreads remain wide – situation remains fluid and mkts will remain highly volatile – should spreads continue skyward it will clearly impact all financial mkts.

WTI BRENT Spread – 12/10 to current – recent lows held regardless of continued bid in OIL – this should be viewed as either a sign of calm where the spread narrows as “war premium” is taken out of BRENT OR the world will suddenly view WTI as a CHEAP way to hoard OIL where WTI moves closer toward 115 – impossible situation to game with discipline being the best offense. XLE – 08/10 to Current – while Financial News would have us think that energy has SUDDENLY become a geopolitical problem, it has been in a bull mkt of its own since the start of Q410 – XLE is responsible for roughly 45% of the entire SPX YTD gain – ENERGY is the leader but is extended in the ST – global energy security will remain KEY to stability.

WTI Crude – 15day Intraday – nearing 102/104 panic highs – using a combination of WTI/BRENT spread and ABSOLUTE levels will give a cleaner picture of mkt intentions – combining UST, USD, and OIL interactions is going to become CRUCIAL to navigating the mkts going forward – higher OIL and US YLDs with a LOWER USD remains END GAME viewpoint – time will tell. TNX – 10yr YLD – 15day Intraday – “safe haven” bid began as ME tensions and OIL began to rise – with outside mkts nearing a technical inflection point the next several weeks will offer many hints of the future – break above 3.5% will possibly renew the upward trend in ylds

DXY – USD Index – 07 to Current – 4yr consolidation pattern and nearing the lower end support range – break LOWER will target ALL TIME lows in DXY with LACI (Latam) and ADXY (Asean) being beneficiaries - falling USD with negative REAL US rates offer no protection from real world inflation – FED will be tested and mkts will vent. TYX – 30yr YLD – 07 to Current – NOTICE BOTH DXY and TYX are both sitting on respective LT SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE zones – Will a break in one cause a break in the other? READ LOWER USD and HIGHER RATES – Will a USD breakdown cause a continued bid in “COMMODITIES” making monetary policy have no teeth?

XLF – 31day – ABSOLUTE – divergences abound – Support remains area with no real support below – this could be a possible yellow flag to upcoming volatility in FX and Credit mkts. XLF vs SPX - RELATVE – 12m downtrend remains intact with ST support being taken out – bull mkts historically are led by financials – watch Big Money Center banks for further clues.