Illinois Greenhouse Gas Emissions Inventory and Projections Update Meeting of the Illinois Climate Change Advisory Group 130 West Mason Street, Springfield, IL April 3, 2007 Governor Rod R. Blagojevich Climate Change Advisory Group

GHG Inventory Addenda Detailed greenhouse gas emissions of Illinois sectors Electricity generation, Transportation, Industry and Land use change and forestry Greenhouse gas emissions in other Midwest states Indiana, Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, Ohio and Wisconsin Greenhouse gas emissions in top interstate electricity exporting states Alabama, Arizona, Indiana, North Dakota, Pennsylvania, Texas, Washington, West Virginia and Wyoming

Governor Rod R. Blagojevich Climate Change Advisory Group Projections updated Biofuels updated to reflect a range of assumptions around the success of cellulosic ethanol –Scenario A: 35.7% corn ethanol, 11.9% cellulosic ethanol, 2.4% biodiesel –Scenario B: 41.6% corn ethanol, 6% cellulosic ethanol, 2.4% biodiesel –Scenario C: 47.6% corn ethanol, 0% cellulosic ethanol, 2.4% biodiesel EIP IGCC and CCS components incorporated into projections –Optimistic: 3 IGCC power plants w/ 50% CCS, displacing 2 new plants and 400MW of existing capacity; plus 3 CTL plants (2 w/ 50% CCS) Displacing 120,000 BBL/day of fuel –Pessimistic: 3 IGCC power plants no CCS, displacing 2 new plants and 400MW of existing capacity; plus 3 CTL plants (1 w/ 50% CCS) Displacing 120,000 BBL/day of fuel

Governor Rod R. Blagojevich Climate Change Advisory Group Pessimistic technology scenario still achieves GHG reductions Illinois GHG Emission Trends with Energy Plan Reductions

Governor Rod R. Blagojevich Climate Change Advisory Group Cellulosic ethanol can augment GHG reductions GHG Reductions from EIP Biofuels provisions under 3 scenarios 100% of biofuels consumed in-state GHG Lifecycle Emissions Reductions in 2020 in-state reductionsout-of-state reductionstotal reductions Scenario A7,754,2563,015,54410,769,800 Scenario B6,192,4232,408,1648,600,587 Scenario C4,604,1181,790,4906,394,608 50% of biofuels consumed in-state GHG Lifecycle Emissions Reductions in 2020 in-state reductionsout-of-state reductionstotal reductions Scenario A3,877,1286,892,67210,769,800 Scenario B3,096,2115,504,3768,600,587 Scenario C2,302,0594,092,5496,394,608

Governor Rod R. Blagojevich Climate Change Advisory Group Discussion Questions and Comments