GROWTH TESTS. 2 The compounding effect…  Assume that you are looking at Twitter and that the revenues currently are $ 600 million. Assume also that you.

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Presentation transcript:

GROWTH TESTS

2 The compounding effect…  Assume that you are looking at Twitter and that the revenues currently are $ 600 million. Assume also that you are assuming a growth rate of 30% a year in revenues for the next 10 years. Without using your calculator, estimate how much you will have as revenues (approximately) in year 10:  $ 1.5 billion  $ 3 billion  $ 6 billion  $ 8 billion  $ 12 billion

3 The compounding effect doubled…  What would your revenues be in year 10, if you doubled the growth rate?  $ 11 billion  $ 16 billion  $ 24 billion  $ 36 billion  $ 48 billion

4 Analyst estimates?  For many US companies, you can access analysts’ estimates of growth in the future on public sites. The consensus growth rate reported is usually  Growth rates in revenues  Growth rates in operating income  Growth rates in net income  Growth rates in EPS  Growth rates in all of the above  Growth rate in any of the above

5 Management forecasts? In some valuations, the forecasts of earnings and growth rates come from the managers in the firm. Given that managers know a great deal more about their firms than investors or outside analysts do, you should expect these forecasts to be more realistic than outside estimates. a. True b. False