Register-Based Census 2011 in Slovenia – Some Quality Aspects Danilo Dolenc Statistical Office of the Republic of Slovenia UNECE-Eurostat Expert Group Meeting on Censuses Using Registers, Geneva, May 2012
Basic facts (1) Fully register-based census using data from Administrative registers (5) Statistical register (1) Administrative databases (7) Statistical surveys (full coverage) (6) Organized as a project Started in 2009 Project team consists of 6 employees No permanent staff No outsourcing No budget (savings around 14 mio EUR) Census considered as regular statistical survey
Basic facts (2) Reference date 1 January 2011 Three (four) stages of the statistical process following the availability of sources concluded by dissemination of data: Basic demographic data (30 April 2011) Produced quarterly Households and families (30 June 2011) Other population topics (30 December 2011) Including occupied dwellings – preliminary data Housing (by the end of June 2012) Delay due to the updated version of administrative data (Real Estate Register)
Background Four basic registers set up by SORS far ago CPR for the first time used for statistics in 1986 Data already used in 1991 and 2002 Censuses Register of Spatial Units (address list) in 80‘s Statistical Register on Employment – from 1986 In 2002 data on occupation, industry, place of work taken over Business Register in 1976 Two missing registers available after 2002 Real Estate Register established in 2007 Household Register computerized CPR supplemented with dwellings number Mini project of SORS and Ministry of Interior in 2010
Preparatory phase (1) Analyses and evaluation Data sources Quality of data Methodological and processing solutions Trial census carried out in main findings Inconsistencies in Household Register Easy to improve quality Solved by Ministry of the Interior on the basis of SORS guidelines Detected errors should be corrected in primary source
Preparatory phase (2) Missing dwelling numbers (DN) in CPR More than half of population living in multi-dwelling buildings Two main activities for improvement undertaken Automated determination of DN on the basis of ownership and residence 49,000 letters sent to residents without DN –Response rate 75 % including returning letters by post Still 12.3 % of missing DN in input database
Preparatory phase (3) Unsatisfactory quality of Real Estate Register data The main problem in whole statistical process SORS analyses sent to register keeper Public data – owners had chance to check and change data Data on ownership depends on long-lasting legal matters Re-updating of final database – selected topics
Linkage of data (1) Identifiers crucial for integration of persons, households and dwellings PIN (transformed to SID before the process) Basic identifier for most of linkage regarding persons Household number Housekeeping concept is implemented Not available for foreigners - 2.1% HN missing Relation to the reference person could be considered as identifier (key for family generation) Dwelling number The share of missing data still high – 12.3% Address Unique identifier of every building
Linkage of data (2) Statistical process almost completely automated Very complex rules for imputing key identifiers Interface for manual editing incorporated in the statistical process Better quality – but only 1% records Household formation of foreigners Family formation –Multi-member households –Households without data on biological parents or spouses
Quality indicators - identifiers
Current activity status Population aged 15+ Data integration stage
Imputation Almost all missing data imputed Except occupation, industry and status in employment for persons working abroad (e. g. daily commuters) Two main methods used Automated corrections on the basis of existing correlated data (e.g. activity status by health insurance code) Hot-deck imputation Imputation rates – lower than in 2002 Census
Where should we be heading ? Integration into social statistics Census data used for regular surveys (e.g. country ob birth of parents, immigrant background) Coverage Cooperation with MI to improve over-registrationover-registration Geo-referencing Free of charge on the web – application KASPeRKASPeR Qualty of processes and outputs Every single change of data from the input databases to the final census database is recorded Introducing manual interface for improving quality Common tools – internal integration of IT processes
Over-registration Common problem of register-based systems Missing data on activity status used as indicator Data from 8 sources usedsources For 1,25 % of population no evidence in any source Overestimated population groups Foreigners with permanent residence Working age population (30-44 years) – working abroad? Administrative survivors (over 94 years) Final estimation 0.9% Very comparable with households surveys No need for post-enumeration survey
Conclusion Two main conditions for input data quality Close cooperation with register keepers Feedback implemented in primary source Permanent use of registers Not only for statistical purposes In future no more ‘‘Census‘‘ but regular annual/periodical survey Every 3-4 years complete ‘‘Census‘‘ Every year education, activity, migration data Twice a year basic demographic data including citizenship New term instead of ‘‘Census‘‘ ???
Thank you for your attention!