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Chapter 11 Managing Transaction Exposure
Managing Transaction Exposure
Managing Transaction Exposure
Managing Transaction Exposure
© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license.
Managing Transaction Exposure
Managing Transaction Exposure
CHAPTER 10 The Economics of Virtual Currencies
Putting it All Together
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© 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. International Financial Management 10 th Edition by Jeff Madura 1

© 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use Managing Transaction Exposure Chapter Objectives This chapter will: A. Compare the commonly used techniques to hedge payables B. Compare the commonly used techniques to hedge receivables C. Explain how to hedge long-term transaction exposure D. Suggest other methods of reducing exchange rate risk when hedging techniques are not available 2

© 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. 3 Transaction Exposure 1.MNC must identify its degree of transaction exposure 2.MNC must consider the various techniques to hedge the exposure so that it can decide which hedging technique is optimal and whether to hedge its transaction exposure.

© 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. 4 Hedging Exposure to Payables 1.Forward or futures hedge allows the MNC to lock in the exchange rate at which it can purchase a specific currency. 2.Money market hedge involves taking a money market position to cover a future payables position. 3.Call option hedge on payables provides the right to buy a specified amount of a particular currency at a specified strike price.

© 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. 5 Cost of Call Options 1.Based on contingency graph a.Advantage: provides an effective hedge b.Disadvantage: premium must be paid 2.Based on currency forecast a.MNC can incorporate forecasts of the spot rate to more accurately estimate the cost of hedging with call options.

© 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. 6 Exhibit 11.1 Contingency Graph for Hedging Payables With Call Options 6

© 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. 7 Optimal Technique for Hedging Payables 1.Select optimal hedging technique by: a.Consider whether futures or forwards are preferred. b.Consider desirability of money market hedge versus futures/forwards based on cost. c.Assess the feasibility of a currency call option based on estimated cash outflows. 2.Choose optimal hedge versus no hedge for payables 3.Evaluate the hedge decision by estimating the real cost of hedging payables versus the cost of payables if not hedged.

© 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. 8 Exhibit 11.4 Graphic Comparison of Techniques to Hedge Payables 8

© 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. 9 Hedging Exposure to Receivables 1.Forward or futures hedge allows the MNC to lock in the exchange rate at which it can sell a specific currency. 2.Money market hedge involves borrowing the currency that will be received and using the receivables to pay off the loan. 3.Put option hedge on receivables provides the right to sell a specified amount of a particular currency at a specified strike price by a specified expiration date.

© 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. 10 Cost of Put Options 1.Based on Contingency Graph a.Advantage: provides an effective hedge b.Disadvantage: premium must be paid 2.Based on Currency Forecasts a.MNC can use currency forecasts to more accurately estimate the dollar cash inflows to be received when hedging with put options.

© 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. 11 Exhibit 11.5 Contingency Graph for Hedging Receivables with Put Options 11

© 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. 12 Optimal Technique for Hedging Receivables 1.Select optimal hedging technique by: a.Consider whether futures or forwards are preferred. b.Consider desirability of money market hedge versus futures/forwards based on cost. c.Assess the feasibility of a currency put option based on estimated cash outflows. 2.Choose optimal hedge versus no hedge for receivables 3.Evaluate the hedge decision by estimating the real cost of hedging receivables versus the cost of receivables if not hedged.

© 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. 13 Hedging Policies of MNCs 1.Hedging most of the exposure 2.Hedging none of the exposure 3.Selective hedging

© 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. 14 Limitations of Hedging 1.Limitation of hedging an uncertain amount 2.Limitation of repeated short-term hedging

© 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. 15 Exhibit Illustration of Repeated Hedging of Foreign Payables When the Foreign Currency is Appreciating Exhibit Long Term Hedging of Payables When the Foreign Currency is Appreciating 15

© 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. 16 Hedging Long-Term Transaction Exposure 1.Long-Term Forward Contract: up to 5 years 2.Parallel Loan: a.Exchange of currencies between two parties with a promise to re-exchange currencies at a specified exchange rate on a future date.

© 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. 17 Alternative Hedging Techniques 1.Leading and Lagging: adjusting the timing of a payment or disbursement to reflect expectations about future currency movements. 2.Cross-Hedging: hedging by using a currency that serves as a proxy for the currency in which the MNC is exposed. 3.Currency Diversification: reduce exposure by diversifying business among numerous countries.