Climate Change Intelligence For All Dr. Mark Chandler and Dr. Linda Sohl, NASA/GISS, Columbia University Dr. Galen McKinley, University of Wisconsin, Atmospheric.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
NAME DATE The Unit Organizer BIGGER PICTURE LAST UNIT/Experience CURRENT UNIT NEXT UNIT/Experience UNIT SELF-TEST QUESTIONS is about... UNIT RELATIONSHIPS.
Advertisements

DOE Global Modeling Strategic Goals Anjuli Bamzai Program Manager Climate Change Prediction Program DOE/OBER/Climate Change Res Div
Modeling Past and Future Climate Changes
(Mt/Ag/EnSc/EnSt 404/504 - Global Change) Climate Models (from IPCC WG-I, Chapter 8) Climate Models Primary Source: IPCC WG-I Chapter 8 - Climate Models.
Mars Atmospheric Research Meeting in Hokkaido Univ.
Numerical Modeling of Climate Hydrodynamic equations: 1. equations of motion 2. thermodynamic equation 3. continuity equation 4. equation of state 5. equations.
"Future climate impacts of direct radiative forcing of anthropogenic aerosols, tropospheric ozone, and long-lived greenhouse gases" Chen, W; Liao, H; Seinfeld,
DARGAN M. W. FRIERSON DEPARTMENT OF ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES DAY 16: 05/20/2010 ATM S 111, Global Warming: Understanding the Forecast.
Climate modeling Current state of climate knowledge – What does the historical data (temperature, CO 2, etc) tell us – What are trends in the current observational.
Alpine3D: an alpine surface processes model Mathias Bavay WSL Institute for Snow and Avalanche Research SLF, Davos, Switzerland.
Earth Systems Science Chapter 6 I. Modeling the Atmosphere-Ocean System 1.Statistical vs physical models; analytical vs numerical models; equilibrium vs.
Dr. Mark Chandler The EdGCM Project NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies at Columbia University June 27, 2011.
Earth Systems Science Chapter 4 PART I. THE CIRCULATION SYSTEM Convection and advection, the Ideal Gas Law Global energy distribution General circulation.
Global Climate Simulations Windows on the World of Tomorrow Renewable Energy Summit, Milwaukee, Wisconsin, March 13, 2008 Mark A. Chandler NASA Goddard.
METR112-Climate Modeling Basic concepts of climate Modeling Components and parameterization in the model sensitivity of the model.
Climate science in a world with global change David Noone Program in Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental.
EdGCM: Global Climate Modeling In The Classroom
PHYC Environmental Physics Climate, Climate Change Nuclear Power and the Alternatives.
The Democratization of Climate Change Science The EdGCM Project Columbia University and NASA Goddard Inst. for Space Studies MATC and We Energies 3rd Annual.
Humans are the Primary Cause of Global Warming The science indicates humans are the primary cause of global warming at the >95% probability (In science.
1 Development and Evaluation of High School Science-Camp Using EdGCM Yukimasa Tsubota 1 , Mark A. Chandler 2 and Linda Sohl 2 1 J. F. Oberlin University.
The Scenarios Network for Alaska and Arctic Planning is a collaborative network of the University of Alaska, state, federal, and local agencies, NGOs,
Research and Careers in Atmospheric Sciences UW Atmospheric Sciences Outreach.
Coupled Climate Models OCEAN-ATMOSPHEREINTERACTIONS.
Dr. Mark Chandler Dr. Linda Sohl The EdGCM Project Center for Climate Systems Research and the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies at Columbia University.
Mathematics and Computer Science & Environmental Research Divisions ARGONNE NATIONAL LABORATORY Regional Climate Simulation Analysis & Vizualization John.
How do we predict weather and climate?. Review of last lecture Well-defined pattern of heating, temperature, pressure and winds around the globe. Well-defined.
Climate and Energy Webinar Series February 18, 2010 Welcome to: A Climate Modeling Tutorial Cindy Shellito University of Northern Colorado.
Preliminary Results of Global Climate Simulations With a High- Resolution Atmospheric Model P. B. Duffy, B. Govindasamy, J. Milovich, K. Taylor, S. Thompson,
The Heat Island Effect Temperature distribution for Atlanta (from EPA)
June 2011 The UNEP Java Climate Model Cindy Shellito University of Northern Colorado.
GEOS-Chem Chemical Transport Model: Current Status and Future Plans Daniel J. Jacob, GEOS-Chem Model Scientist Harvard University.
Land Surface Processes in Global Climate Models (1)
RAMS Evaluation and Visualization Utilities (REVU) Post Processing.
Future Climate Projections. Lewis Richardson ( ) In the 1920s, he proposed solving the weather prediction equations using numerical methods. Worked.
(Mt/Ag/EnSc/EnSt 404/504 - Global Change) Climate Models (from IPCC WG-I, Chapter 10) Projected Future Changes Primary Source: IPCC WG-I Chapter 10 - Global.
Modern Era Retrospective-analysis for Research and Applications: Introduction to NASA’s Modern Era Retrospective-analysis for Research and Applications:
General Circulation Modelling on Triton and Pluto
Urban Heat Island and Pollution
Climate feedbacks for global warming. Review of last lecture Mean state: The two basic regions of SST? Which region has stronger rainfall? What is the.
UNCLASS1 Dr. Gene Whitney Assistant Director for Environment Office of Science and Technology Policy Executive Office of the President WISP Meeting - July.
The evolution of climate modeling Kevin Hennessy on behalf of CSIRO & the Bureau of Meteorology Tuesday 30 th September 2003 Canberra Short course & Climate.
Trends in Tropical Water Vapor ( ): Satellite and GCM Comparison Satellite Observed ---- Model Simulated __ Held and Soden 2006: Robust Responses.
Trends in Tropical Water Vapor ( ): Satellite and GCM Comparison Satellite Observed ---- Model Simulated __ Held and Soden 2006: Robust Responses.
Monitoring and Modeling Climate Change Are oceans getting warmer? Are sea levels rising? To answer questions such as these, scientists need to collect.
SERC New Tools Workshop, February 2008 Teaching Paleoclimate and Future Climate to Undergraduates Through EdGCM Linda Sohl Columbia University and NASA/Goddard.
Quaternary Environments Paleoclimate Models. Types of Models  Simplify a system to its basic components  Types of Models  Physical Models  Globe 
“CLIMATE IS WHAT WE EXPECT, AND WEATHER IS WHAT WE GET” ~ MARK TWAIN.
Coupling a Bio-Geo-Chemistry module to HYCOM within the NASA-GISS climate model Anastasia Romanou, Columbia U. and NASA-GISS Rainer Bleck, NASA-GISS Watson.
Do we / why do we want to develop an ASM? Climate working group for WRF – workshop on model developments for climate studies with WRF (summary of.
Intro to Climate Modeling. Climate Model Types Box Model – ecosystems/studies of ocean circulation Zero-dimensional – effect of changes in solar output.
Overview of the CCSM CCSM Software Engineering Group June
Climate vs Weather.
Paleoclimate Models (Chapter 12).
Community Land Model (CLM)
MAGICC/SCENGEN Model for Assessment of Greenhouse-gas Induced Climate Change/A Regional Climate SCENario GENerator.
GFDL Climate Model Status and Plans for Product Generation
Climate Change Intelligence For All
Fig. 2 shows the relationship between air temperature and relative humidity. 2 (a) (i) Describe the relationship shown in Fig. 2. [3] (ii) State.
Introduction to Land Information System (LIS)
IPCC Climate Change Report
The course finished last lesson but what are you missing?
Fig. 2 shows the relationship between air temperature and relative humidity. (a) (i) Describe the relationship shown in Fig. 2. [3] (ii) State.
Climate Modeling General Circulation Models
How will the earth’s temperature change?
Introduction to Meteorology
EdGCM Lab 3: Investigating How Ice Melt Will Drive Sea Level Rise
EdGCM EET Team Steve Ackerman – Scientist/College Educator
EdGCM Lab 1: Introducing EdGCM
EdGCM Lab 2: Using EdGCM to Visualize Climate Change
Presentation transcript:

Climate Change Intelligence For All Dr. Mark Chandler and Dr. Linda Sohl, NASA/GISS, Columbia University Dr. Galen McKinley, University of Wisconsin, Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences Dr. Jack Williams, University of Wisconsin, Geography edgcm.columbia.edu

The Greenhouse Effect

Allow educational institutions and individuals to run a global climate model on desktop computers Encourage students to participate in the full scientific process Experiment design Running simulations Analyzing data Reporting on results Facilitate collaborations between schools, universities, national labs, and the private sector so students become familiar with the role of teamwork in scientific research. Demystify how scientists forecast future climate change as a way to deal with public skepticism about global warming. EdGCM Project Objectives

GCM: General Circulation ModelGCM: Global Climate Model

At every grid cell GCMs calculate: Temperature (T) Pressure (P) Winds (U, V) Humidity (Q) Fundamental Physical Quantities

Seasonal and Diurnal Cycles Latent and Sensible Heat Fluxes Clouds and Convection Planetary Boundary Layer Greenhouse Gases Aerosols Sea Ice Ground Hydrology Ocean Heat Transport Ocean Circulation Dynamic Vegetation Dynamic Ice Sheets Carbon Cycle Chemistry Physical Processes Simulated by GCMs

Fundamental Physical Equations: Tools of the Trade: Global Climate Models (Henderson-Sellers, 1985)

Increased Grid Resolution Requires Increased Computing Power Rule of thumb: 10X more CPU for a doubling of resolution Increased Resolution Requires Increased Computing Resources 2000’s 1980’s (EdGCM) 1990’s

Global_Warming_Sim2.R Model II 8/24/2000 Owner: Dr. Mark Chandler, Group: Paleoclimate Group This experiment simulates climate change based on a 1 percent/year increase in CO2 Object modules: MainC9 DiagC9 RadC9 FFTC9 UTILC9 Data input files: 7=G8X10_600Ma 9=NOV1910.rsf_snowball 15=O8X10_600Ma 19=CD8X10_600Ma 23=V8X10_600Ma 26=Z8X101_600Ma 21=RTAU.G25L15 22=RPLK25 29=Snowball_Earth_Regions Label and Namelist: Global_Warming_Sim2 (Transient increase in CO2) &INPUTZ TAUI=10176.,IYEAR=1900, KOCEAN=1, SRCOR= , S0X=1.,CO2= , USET=0.,TAUE=35040., USESLP=-12., ISTART=3,KCOPY=2,NDPRNT=-1,TAUE=10177.,TAUP=95616., C** INITIALIZE SOME ARRAYS AT THE BEGINNING OF SPECIFIED DAYS fName = './prt/'//JMNTH0(1:3)//CYEAR//'.prt'//LABEL1( IF(JDAY.NE.32) GO TO 294 JEQ=1+JM/2 DO 292 J=JEQ,JM DO 292 I=1,IM 292 TSFREZ(I,J,1)=JDAY JEQM1=JEQ-1 DO 293 J=1,JEQM1 DO 293 I=1,IM 293 TSFREZ(I,J,2)=JDAY GO TO IF(JDAY.NE.213) GO TO 296 JEQM1=JM/2 DO 295 J=1,JEQM1 DO 295 I=1,IM 295 TSFREZ(I,J,1)=JDAY C**** INITIALIZE SOME ARRAYS AT THE BEGINNING OF EACH DAY 296 DO 297 J=1,JM DO 297 I=1,IM TDIURN(I,J,1)=1000. TDIURN(I,J,2)= TDIURN(I,J,6)= PEARTH=FDATA(I,J,2)*(1.-FDATA(I,J,3)) IF(PEARTH.GT.0.) GO TO 297 TSFREZ(I,J,1)=365. TSFREZ(I,J,2)= CONTINUE But, What Is a GCM really?: A Computer Program Unix scripts and Fortran Code Requiring significant programming skills to operate

A Global Climate Model - NASA/GISS Model II A suite of software wrapped around a GCM to make it easier to operate the GCM, post-process and visualize the simulated climate variables, and organize the large volumes of input and output data. Educational Global Climate Model What is EdGCM?

Other Computer Code Wrappers BLUE ICE: NCAR - Boulder, Colorado

Design, Run, Organize Experiments EdGCM

Analysis and Visualization EdGCM Post-process all of the binary GCM output (hundreds of climate variables) Allow teachers to define variable sets Scientific Visualization Color and contour maps Line plots Data spreadsheets

eJournals Image Libraries Web-based Publishing Creating Reports and Publishing EdGCM

The EdGCM Cooperative Website Download Software and Materials Support and Discussion Forums Community and Student Showcases Video Tutorials and Manuals

Distribution edgcm.columbia.edu Over 40,000 copies in distribution, on 7 continents