Landscape Climate Change Vulnerability Project (LCC_VP) Andrew Hansen/ Montana State University Goal: Use NASA and other data and models to assess the.

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Presentation transcript:

Landscape Climate Change Vulnerability Project (LCC_VP) Andrew Hansen/ Montana State University Goal: Use NASA and other data and models to assess the vulnerability of habitat types and species to climate and land use change, and to evaluate management options. 1. Hindcast and Forecast future climate and land use scenarios. 2. Assess the vulnerability of habitat types and dominant tree species. 3. Evaluate management options. 4. Implement management approaches. 5. Facilitate technology transfer. Approach (Glick et al. 2011) Team: Scott Goetz, Forrest Melton, Dave Theobald, Bill Monahan, John Gross, Tom Olliff Ecological System Type (LANDFIRE Biophysical Setting Laye) e.g., Northern Rocky Mountain Subalpine Woodland and Parkland) Climate (WRCP CMIPS) Land use (SERGoM) Ecosystem Process (TOPS BIOME-BGC & LPJ) (Snow, runoff, soil moisture, fire, NPP, phenology) Biodiversity (Ecological System Type, tree species) (climate envelope, habitat suitability, disturbance, connectivity/dispersal Vulnerability Assessments (Expert panels) Management Options & Implementation (Managers)

Landscape Climate Change Vulnerability Project (LCC_VP) Andrew Hansen/ Montana State University Goal: Use NASA and other data and models to assess the vulnerability of habitat types and species to climate and land use change, and to evaluate management options. 1. Hindcast and Forecast future climate and land use scenarios. 2. Assess the vulnerability of habitat types and dominant tree species. 3. Evaluate management options. 4. Implement management approaches. 5. Facilitate technology transfer. Approach (Glick et al. 2011) Team: Scott Goetz, Forrest Melton, Dave Theobald, Bill Monahan, John Gross, Tom Olliff Constraints to ConnectivityDispersal Ability Climate Land use Land facets Soils Distance Dispersal mode Dispersal distance Reproductive potential (LANDFIRE Biophysical Setting Layer) Northern Rocky Mountain Subalpine Woodland and Parkland Rocky Mountain Lodgepole Pine Forest

3 Climate (WRCP CMIPS) Land use (SERGoM) Ecosystem Process (TOPS BIOME-BGC & LPJ) (Snow, runoff, soil moisture, fire, NPP, phenology) Biodiversity (Ecological System Type, tree species) (climate envelope, habitat suitability, disturbance, connectivity/dispersal Vulnerability Assessments (Expert panels) Management Options & Implementation (Managers)