Which global drivers included in global scenarios are most relevant to food systems? 14:15 – 15:30 Break Working Group Session I.

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Which global drivers included in global scenarios are most relevant to food systems? 14:15 – 15:30 Break Working Group Session I

Determinants perspective of key elements helps analyse external drivers of Food Systems HIV-AIDS Climate Change Political Unrest Floods, Droughts Currency Fluctuations Water Pollution Economic Recession War Change in Trading Agreements FOOD UTILISATION FOOD ACCESS Affordability Allocation Preference Nutritional Value Social Value Food Safety FOOD AVAILABILITY Production Distribution Exchange

AVAILABILITYACCESSUTLISATION Political Unrest Climate Change D HIV-AIDS War ? ? - = none/minor  = direct  = indirect

AVAILABILITYACCESSUTLISATION Demography Ageing Numbers Number of H/holds Urbanisation S, labour avail S, production & exchange W, exchange; w food wastage S, all 3 S, lower incomes, preference S, allocation; W preference S, preference S, all 3 S, nut requirements, social value W, food safety W, social value S, all 3 Climate Change D HIV-AIDS War Political Unrest SOCEC Gender S ? ?

Which elements of existing scenario storylines are most important for GECAFS scenario building efforts? 16:00 – 17:00 Working Group Session II

How can we link scenario exercises across scales or develop multi-scale scenarios for GECAFS? 14: :00 Break Report Working Group Session III