FY12 Budget and Caseload Update Fiscal Committee June 4, 2012

FY12 Caseload Overview Income Eligible: The Income Eligible account full year forecast is projecting a surplus of $3.7M, which is a decrease of $2.4M from the prior update. The change in the projection is primarily due to the impact of open access for siblings. Access was open for siblings from April 12 to May 12. The financial and caseload impact is incorporated into the forecast. Full caseload impact due to future sibling placement start dates may not be seen for several months. DTA-Related Caseload: The forecasted surplus is $3.4M. There was no change in surplus from the prior month. Caseload increased slightly from 16,821 to 16,942 with minimal impact to expenditures. Prior period billing adjustments netted out any financial impact. The balance of the year spending projections include a two year historical average which anticipates decreases to caseload in May and June. The current forecast assumes the dollar impact for the DTA policy change for parent work hours for 6-8 year olds in the run rate. FY11 caseload on average was 16,377 children; EEC expended $133.7M in FY11. Supportive: The forecasted surplus $1.2M to 1.8M, which is an increase of $600k. Forecasted trends are based on a three year average historical trend. Caseload decline contributes approximately 17% of the increase in surplus. The remainder of the surplus is driven by a forecast adjustment for cost per child run rate. Ongoing discussions with DCF indicate an effort to fill open slots. 2

FY12 Caseload Overview Summary As of May

FY12 Caseload Actual/Forecast Overview 4

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7 FY 2012 Income Eligible ( )

FY12 Voucher Late Billing 8 The following chart provides a dollar breakdown by funding stream, service date, and billing month. Income Eligible and DTA each make up 55% & 45% respectively the total dollars this month which, when combined, represents 99% of the total late billing for the billing months this fiscal year. March’s Late Billing totaled $333K; 31% or $102K was for service months prior to March 2012.

FY12 Contract Late Billing 9 The following chart provides a dollar breakdown for contract late billing by funding stream, service date, and billing month. March's Late Billing totaled $76K; 74% or $56.5K was for service months prior to March 2012.

FY12 Contract Late Billing 10 The following chart provides the number of Contract Providers by month that submitted their entire billing for the month late (after 20 th of the month). System related issues resulting in late billing are not included. Providers who have been late have not been late for more than two months within the Billing months of July 2011 through April 2012

11 FY 2012 DTA Related ( )

12 FY 2012 Supportive ( )

13 (Amount in Thousands) FY2012 Income Eligible Total Caseload Actual/Forecast & Budgeted Expenditures Total Appropriation of $232.9M includes $9,019,276 for Grants and $600K Reserve for Late Billing April 2012 Voucher Expenditures paid is $7,152,769 Gray : Appropriation Budget (Spending Plan Projection) Purple: September Board Report (July Actuals/Aug-Jun Forecast) Blue: Actual/Forecast Expenditures

FY2012 Supportive Caseload Actual/Forecast & Budgeted Expenditures 14 ( Amount in Thousands ) Blue: Actual/Forecast Expenditures Gray : Appropriation Budget (Spending Plan Projection) Purple: September Board Report (July Actuals/Aug-Jun Forecast) - Represents Budget Appropriated to Supportive

FY2012 DTA Caseload Actual/Forecast & Budgeted Expenditures 15 ( Amount in Thousands ) Blue: Actual/Forecast Expenditures Gray : Appropriation Budget (Spending Plan Projection) Purple: September Board Report (July Actuals/Aug-Jun Forecast)

FY2012 Contract Slots - Regular and Flex 16 Total Awarded Slots is and Allowable Flex Slots is Providers representing 49 contracts are Over 5% Flex (426) **No. of children filling slots may be greater than slots awarded. Note: Data for May 2012 was produced 2 days prior to the end of the month and may not reflect the entire month’s activity.

Caseload Waitlist Since 6/ *Waitlist Data as of August 2011 is reported from KinderWait.