June 2011 Introduction to Using Climate Models in Class Cindy Shellito University of Northern Colorado.

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Presentation transcript:

June 2011 Introduction to Using Climate Models in Class Cindy Shellito University of Northern Colorado

Global Climate Modeling: A very brief overview What is a climate model? Mathematical representation of climate system and system interaction – Based on our understanding of physics, chemistry, biology Provide us with an independent way of testing whether a particular hypothesis can explain the data we have collected

The physics in the heart of every model… Δ heat = energy absorbed – energy emitted The Sun Earth Incoming shortwave at top of atmosphere: S o = 1367 W/m 2 Outgoing longwave radiation from Earth = σT earth 4 σ = Stefan-Boltzmann constant σ = 5.67 x W/m 2 K 4

Development and use of a model Model Development (driven by observations) Laws of physics, principles of chemistry, biology, parameterizations Model Development (driven by observations) Laws of physics, principles of chemistry, biology, parameterizations Simulation Model => Results Simulation Model => Results Analyze Results Test model validity against observations Make climate projections, Develop/test hypotheses Analyze Results Test model validity against observations Make climate projections, Develop/test hypotheses Forcings Boundary Conditions

Range of complexity: Energy Balance Models: simple models of Earth’s radiative balance (1-D & 2-D) EMICs: Earth Models of Intermediate Complexity (2-D & 3-D) 3-D Global Climate Models Regional Climate Models Geochemical Models

EBMs EMiCs GCMs: Includes Atmosphere, Ocean, Earth System Models GCMs: Includes Atmosphere, Ocean, Earth System Models Which model to use? Depends on: Assumptions we choose to make Knowledge of external forcing factors, response and interactions of Earth System Components Which questions we would like to answer

GCM Resolution: Depends on size of grid cells

Advantages of using GCMs in the classroom Allows students to use authentic ‘research’ tool Promotes inquiry Students consider climate system complexity Visualization may enhance understanding of system dynamics

Challenges of using GCMs in the classroom Most models are NOT USER- FRIENDLY! (Require extensive setup and advanced computing skills – for instructor AND students) User-friendly models tend to cost more than many departments can afford.