Olympic Transportation Planning For London 2012 A Peak Flow And Modal Share Analysis For Rail Usage At The Stratford Regional Station

What Is The Problem? The Olympics presents the logistical challenge of hosting 26 World Championships at the same time The problem is understanding the travel tendencies of the spectators and ensuring that the infrastructure in place will be able to handle their travel demands

Why Does It Matter? The congestion occurs at concentrated periods The funds to upgrade infrastructure are limited –This means that infrastructure to serve the games must be in line with the Host City’s own transportation plan

The Olympics must do its best not to drastically impede the daily movements of the Host City’s citizens The Olympics gives the transportation department an opportunity to reshape the travel behavior of its citizens

Research And Data Past Olympics –Static v. Dynamic Analysis The Olympic Delivery Authority’s Transportation Plan –Peak Flow Analysis

Transport for London –Travel Demand Survey Department for Transport –Statistics Office of Rail Regulation –Rail usage statistics Mayor of London- London’s Transportation Strategy

Analysis Data was analyzed in two ways –Projected modal share of passengers –Peak flow of rail passengers Projected rail, bus, car, walking, and cycling numbers into –Linear Regression –High R 2 terms ( >.89)

Next, Data is taken from the Olympic Delivery Authority –Modal split for spectators arriving at Olympic Park –Peak period of passenger arrival (100,000) from 8:00 to 9:00 am Then the yearly projections earlier are reduced to the peak hourly data –Assume consistent passenger usage –Assume peak hourly usage at Stratford is consistent with the rest of Greater London

The modal split data is analyzed geographically in 2 ways –The Olympic Delivery Authority has projected geographic distribution of spectators –Calculate traffic modal splits for trips involving East London

Results and Conclusions 1st - Rails usage projections at Olympic Park are plausible –Private transport -> rail –Nearly all spectators outside of London -> rail 2nd- Bus usage numbers seem very low –Current ODA projection: 3% –Projected 2012 bus usage in East London: 14.47%

Future Research Olympic Route Network analysis –VISSIM, SATURN, TRANSYT Designing a simulation tool to allow for flexible scenario analysis