Terrorism and Counter terrorism: Knowledge, Fears and Perceived Root Cause(s) Jack Jedwab Association for Canadian Studies December 2012.

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Presentation transcript:

Terrorism and Counter terrorism: Knowledge, Fears and Perceived Root Cause(s) Jack Jedwab Association for Canadian Studies December 2012

Methodology The findings were collected from a survey of 2200 Canadians conducted by the firm Leger Marketing during the week of November 5th, 2012 and commissioned by the Association for Canadian Studies. Done via web panel, the probabilistic margin of error is 2.9 percent 19 times out of 20

Efforts to Combat Terrorism

Significant Majority of Canadians do not think that terrorism has declined in the world Total Do you strongly agree, somewhat agree, somewhat disagree or strongly disagree with the following statement Over the last decade terrorism has declined in the world FrenchEnglishOtherMaritimesQCONMB/SKABBC Total pondéré : Total absolu : TOTAL YES20%15%21% 14%17%25%18% 15% Strongly agree4%1%4%5%1%2%6%2% 4% Somewhat agree 16%13%17% 13%15%19%16% 11% TOTAL NO66%72%65%64%68%70%61%69%74%65% Somewhat disagree 34%43%31%33%36%43%29%33%38%30% Strongly disagree 32%29%34%30%33%27%32%36% 35% I don't know13%12%13% 12%13%11%8%18% I prefer not to answer 1% 2%4%1% 0%2%

Canadians relatively divided when asked about effectiveness of int’l efforts to combat terrorism Do you strongly agree, somewhat agree, somewhat disagree or strongly disagree with the following statements? International efforts to combat terrorism are working well Total Marit imesQCON MB/S KABBC Total pondéré : Total absolu : TOTAL YES39% 42% 41%28%34% Strongly agree4%3% 6%5%1%2% Somewhat agree35%36%40%36% 27%32% TOTAL NO45%44%42%41%47%59%54% Somewhat disagree31%27%33%27%36%41%32% Strongly disagree14%17%9%14%11%18%22% I don't know14%13%16%15%11%12% I prefer not to answer2%4%0%2%1%

Significant Minority of Canadians mostly older worry about possible terrorist attack in Canada Total I am worried about the possibility of a terrorist attack in Canada Total pondéré : Total absolu : TOTAL YES44%30%32%37%42%48%50% Strongly agree10%9%12%7%8% 15% Somewhat agree 34%21%20%30%34%39%35% TOTAL NO52%63%62%56%53%49%47% Somewhat disagree 33% 34%35%34%31%28% Strongly disagree 19%30%28%22%19% 20% I don't know3%4%6%4%5%1%2% I prefer not to answer 1%3%0%3%0%2%0%

What are Canadians willing to sacrifice to combat terrorism

Majority of Canadians not ready to give up civil liberties to curb terrorism Total In order to curb terrorism in this country, I am ready to give up some civil liberties Total pondéré : Total absolu : TOTAL YES30%21%28%17%31%30%31% Strongly agree7%8%3%5% 3%9% Somewhat agree24%12%25%12%27% 22% TOTAL NO59%61%62%69%58%62% Somewhat disagree26%25%22%29%31%23%21% Strongly disagree33%36%39% 27%39%41% I don't know9%13%10% 6% I prefer not to answer2%5%1%4%1%2%1%

Root Causes of Terrorism

Majority of Canadians think that terrorism is attributable to religious fundamentalism Total FrenchEnglishOther Which of the following is the most important factor behind terrorist activities according to you? Total pondéré : Total absolu : Poverty and economic inequality 18%25%22%18%11%9%18%17% 22% Religious fundament alism 52%31%46%38%63%54%51%62%52%43% Western foreign policy (military interventio n in overseas conflict) 16%25%16%23%12%24%17%14%15%21%

Vast Majority of Canadians agree there is no justification for terrorism though younger cohorts raise more questions Do you strongly agree, somewhat agree, somewhat disagree or strongly disagree with the following statements Terrorism cannot be justified under any circumstances Total Total pondéré : Total absolu : TOTAL YES86%70%75%79%87%83%91% Strongly agree75%54%56%68%79%73%77% Somewhat agree 11%16%18%11%7%9%14% TOTAL NO8%17% 11% 9%2% Somewhat disagree 5%9%11%7% 9%2% Strongly disagree 3%8%6%4% 0% I don't know4%9%8% 1%6%5% I prefer not to answer 1%4%0%2%

Defining Terrorism and Do Canadians Know What is Done

Total FrenchEnglishOther In one sentence, please tell us how you would define terrorism ***The use of force/violence motivated by religion or religious beliefs 11%6%7%9%10%16%13% 10%11% ***Impose your values/beliefs on others through the use of violence/coer cion 9%4%6%3%8% 17%7%10%7% ***The use of force/violence to instigate fear among a group or individuals 9% 13%12%9%7% 8%10%6% ***Use of force/violence for political objectives/ide ology 8% 9%8%7%8%7%9%8% ***The killing/harmi ng of innocent people 7%3%4%5%8%7%10%4%8% I don't know21%26%27% 25%23%15%19%21% I prefer not to answer 12%15%11%13%9%14%10%14%11%13%

Enhanced Airport Security cited more than other factors when Canadians are asked about counter-terrorism Total Name one or two actions that Canada has taken over the past five years to combat terrorism Total pondéré : Total absolu : I prefer not to answer35%50%43%42%33%30%29% ***Enhanced airport security/ new flight restrictions/ No-fly list 19%10%9%16% 18%25% ***Enhanced border security/ stronger border patrol/ prevention of known terrorists from entering Canada 14%4%10%4%15%16%13% ***Participation in UN actions in Afghanistan : war, the Taliban, rebuilding the country... 9%6%9%7%12%9%14% ***I don't know9%10%7%10%9%13%7%