1 Algemene Rekenkamer | Postbus 20015 | 2500 EA Den Haag Extractive industries, safety and the NCA Presentation at 2 nd WGEI meeting in Oslo 21 September.

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Presentation transcript:

1 Algemene Rekenkamer | Postbus | 2500 EA Den Haag Extractive industries, safety and the NCA Presentation at 2 nd WGEI meeting in Oslo 21 September 2015

2 Extractive industries in The Netherlands Dutch natural resources and NCA’s work The wake up call Setup and results of national risk analysis The way ahead Extractive industries, safety and the NCA | 21 September 2015 | 2nd WGEI meeting in Oslo

3 The Dutch natural resources Extractive industries, safety and the NCA | 21 September 2015 | 2nd WGEI meeting in Oslo

4 Our audit focus until 2014 Until recently NCA focused for extractive industries on: −Spending gas revenues −Security of energy supplies (natural gas, electricity and energy savings) Extractive industries, safety and the NCA | 21 September 2015 | 2nd WGEI meeting in Oslo

5 Position NCA: systems approach Extractive industries, safety and the NCA | 21 September 2015 | 2nd WGEI meeting in Oslo Parliament

6 Dutch gas value chain Executive Consulting Supervising Extractive industries, safety and the NCA | 21 September 2015 | 2nd WGEI meeting in Oslo

7 The wake up call: earthquakes and damage Extractive industries, safety and the NCA | 21 September 2015 | 2nd WGEI meeting in Oslo

8 Responses to the wake up call National level −Gas production restricted −Special government service established Netherlands Court of Audit level −WGEI membership −Risk analysis focused on extractive industries Extractive industries, safety and the NCA | 21 September 2015 | 2nd WGEI meeting in Oslo

9 NCA Risk analysis with externality approach Problem of ‘externalities’ −Economic definition of externalities −Not included in price or investment decisions > loss of prosperity and well being for current and future generations Experimental approach −Identifying externalities along production chain Exploration After mining Production Extractive industries, safety and the NCA | 21 September 2015 | 2nd WGEI meeting in Oslo

10 Risk analysis matrix Life cycleRisk component Identified risk ProbabilityImpactRisk mitigated Rest risk in the Netherlands ExplorationDirectHigh/ medium/ low High/ Medium/ low High/ Medium/ low Indirect short term Indirect long term ProductionDirect Indirect short term Indirect long term After miningRisk Extractive industries, safety and the NCA | 21 September 2015 | 2nd WGEI meeting in Oslo

11 Example Life cycleRisk comp onent Identified risk ProbabilityImpactRisk mitigatedRest risk in the Netherland s After miningRiskSafety Collapse of buildings and area Medium A strict monitoring regime applies. However, Dutch Safety Board points out that there are unknown risks are inherent in a large-scale multi- year operation and that there is lack of integral, independent scientific knowledge of the deep substratum and mechanisms at work. Medium. Collapse did not happen yet, but damage did occur Extractive industries, safety and the NCA | 21 September 2015 | 2nd WGEI meeting in Oslo

12 Risks identified with EI risk analysis Most risks mitigated with system’s checks and balances Two significant risks emerged −Neglect of safety considerations −After mining policy not sufficient Extractive industries, safety and the NCA | 21 September 2015 | 2nd WGEI meeting in Oslo

13 The wake up call confirmed Critical report Dutch Safety Board (Februari 2015) ─ Central question: role of safety citizens embedded adequately in decision making process? Main conclusions: ─ Safety not embedded as seperate public interest ─ Neglect of uncertainties > fragmented knowledge ─ Poor communication with population affected Extractive industries, safety and the NCA | 21 September 2015 | 2nd WGEI meeting in Oslo

14 Risks identified with EI risk analysis Two significant risks emerged −Neglect of safety considerations −After mining policy not sufficient Preliminary conclusion: −Both risks on political agenda −Too early for intervention by NCA > reconsider in few years Extractive industries, safety and the NCA | 21 September 2015 | 2nd WGEI meeting in Oslo

15 Current actions NCA Monitoring activities government Distribution of risk matrix within EUROSAI Extractive industries, safety and the NCA | 21 September 2015 | 2nd WGEI meeting in Oslo

16 Take away messages Externality approach useful EI risks manifest on long term (even after finishing production) Extractive industries, safety and the NCA | 21 September 2015 | 2nd WGEI meeting in Oslo

17 Algemene Rekenkamer | Postbus | 2500 EA Den Haag algemene-rekenkamer

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19 Parties involved in exploitation of Dutch natural gas Dutch Safety Board NCA