TABLE-TOP EXERCISE: INDIAN OCEAN SCENARIO MAKRAN SOURCE Shallow, Offshore, Mw9.0 Training Programme in Seismology and Tsunami Warnings Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia,

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
Review of Science and Technical Progress from Tsunami Risk Perspective Preparatory Workshop on Science and Technology for the Global Platform for Disaster.
Advertisements

The CENALT. Key dates of the French tsunami warning centre project November 2005 : first international meeting on tsunami alert systems in the Mediterranean.
Taking the pulse of the planet Viability of a Multi Hazard Approach to a Regional Center in support of building an end-to-end Indian Ocean Tsunami Warning.
Malaysian Seismological Network
TIDE TOOL: Open-Source Sea-Level Monitoring Software for Tsunami Warning Systems Stuart A. Weinstein 1, Laura S. L. Kong 2, Dailin Wang 1, Nathan C. Becker.
A 8.0 magnitude earthquake occurred offshore in the Solomon Islands. The earthquake occurred at a depth of 28.7 km (17.8 miles) and a tsunami warning was.
Tsunami Advisory Information for the Northwest Pacific and Indian Oceans issued by the Japan Meteorological Agency Yuji NISHIMAE Japan Meteorological Agency.
Case Study of a Tsunami Warning Simulation Exercise from a Regional Perspective – “Lessons Learned from Each Event – Real or Hoax” TARNS 3 rd Workshop.
Instrumentation and Quantification of Tsunamis With an Emphasis on the Santa Barbara Channel.
Russian Academy of Sciences Far East Branch Institute of Marine Geology & Geophysics Yu. Korolev THE RETROSPECTIVE SHORT-TERM TSUNAMI FORECAST Novosibirsk.
P UERTO RICO SEISMIC NETWORK Tsunami protocol for PR/VI - Caribbean and The PR Broadcast System Dr. Victor A. Huérfano CARIBBEAN DISASTER EMERGENCY RESPONSE.
Tsunami.gov Improvement Project Jenifer Rhoades MES-EC Overview October 18, 2011.
A nearfield Tsunami warning system in Taiwan by unit tsunami method Po-Fei Chen 1, Yun-Ru Chen 2, Bor-Yaw Lin 1,3, Wu-Ting Tsai 2 1. Institute of Geophysics,
Tsunamis and Tsunami Detection Systems December 1, 2010 Physical Oceanography Presentation Jeana Drake.
President’s Proposed Expansion of Tsunami Warning System Eddie Bernard Director, Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory (PMEL)/NOAA Member, National Tsunami.
Integrated Analyses for Monitoring and Rapid Source Modeling of Earthquakes and Tsunamis Brendan Crowell Subduction Zone Observatory Seminar May 13, 2015.
Tsunami Warning System Challenges Woods Hole Oceanographic Institute October 30, 2006 Paul Whitmore NOAA/NWS/West Coast-Alaska Tsunami Warning Center.
Tsunami Early Warning System SRI LANKA
Tsunami Early Warning System: SOPs and Communication Strategies Initiatives by Pakistan Meteorological Department presenter Zahid Rafi Dated: 08 Oct, 2009.
Tsunami Notification Procedures Brian Yanagi Manager International Tsunami Information Centre.
Tsunami Preparedness Week
-for saving innocent lives
RAPID SOURCE PARAMETER DETERMINATION AND EARTHQUAKE SOURCE PROCESS IN INDONESIA REGION Iman Suardi Seismology Course Indonesia Final Presentation of Master.
Tsunamis Presented by: Saira Hashmi Oct. 14 th,2005 EPS 131 Introduction to Physical Oceanography.
Tsunami Warning System Elements IOC Assessment Mission to Indonesia 29 August-1 September 2005.
Tsunami Plan -Overview TSU(Bay) NAMI (Wave). Vanuatu – Location.. in a tectonically active area Vanuatu Japan.
1 GPS Requirements for Tsunami Detection Y. Tony Song & Geoff Blewitt Yoaz Bar-Sever, Richard Gross, Vindell Hsu, Kenneth Hudnut, Hans-Peter Plag, Mark.
THE NEXT DESTRUCTIVE TSUNAMI: ITS NOT IF, BUT WHEN.
Interim Warning Procedures and the Communication Plan for the Interim Tsunami Advisory Information Service Dr. Charles McCreery, Director NOAA Richard.
Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007 UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07) Sponsored by NOAA.
Towards a Tsunami Warning and Mitigation System in the Indian Ocean IOC of UNESCO.
GUIDING PRINCIPLES OF THE RICHARD H. HAGEMEYER PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER Charles S. McCreery PTWC Director Tsunami Training Bangkok, Thailand May,
TSUNAMIS A tsunami is a series of waves in a body of water caused by the displacement of a large volume of water, generally in an ocean or a large lake.
Caribbean Training Course in Seismology and Tsunami Warnings June 25-30, 2007, St. Augustine, Trinidad TWC Alerting: Message Content and Dissemination.
Paul Whitmore, NOAA/NWS West Coast/Alaska TWC, July 25, 2007 UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07) Sponsored by NOAA.
03/000 Phil R. Cummins March 2005 The Indian Ocean Tsunamis – Science and Seismics Australian Government Geoscience Australia.
Seismological Observation And Network of BMD
NEAREST WP5.- Data Integration/ Integrated Tsunami Detection Network: LEADER: UGR PARTNERS INVOLVED: FCCUL, IM, CNRST, UGR Marrakech Meeting 25 and 26.
Tsunami Warning System of SCS
Esline Garaebiti, Vanuatu Meteorology and Geohazards Department (VMGD) Sylvain Todman, Vanuatu Meteorology and Geohazards Department (VMGD) IRIS Metadata.
Tony Elliott, Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07) Sponsored by NOAA and.
Extension of the ISC-GEM Global Earthquake Instrumental Catalogue, an update D. Di Giacomo, Bob Engdhal, D.A. Storchak, A. Villaseñor and J. Harris IUGG.
Interim Provision of Tsunami Watch Information for the Indian Ocean Countries Pacific Tsunami Warning Center Japan Meteorological Agency.
The GEOFON Network and its Partner Networks (GEVN - GEOFON Extended Virtual Network )
Caribbean Training Course in Seismology and Tsunami Warnings June 25-30, 2007, St. Augustine, Trinidad TWC Operations for the Caribbean Dr. Charles McCreery,
Information Kit for the Caribbean Media
Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission Report on the Second Session of the IOC ICG/IOTWS HYDERABAD, DECEMBER 2005.
Energy decay of the 2004 Sumatra tsunami in the World Ocean Alexander B. Rabinovich 1,2, Richard E. Thomson 2, and Rogerio Candella 3 1 P.P. Shirshov Institute.
Masahiro Yamamoto Senior Tsunami Advisor Trinidad, June 2007 Effective and Reliable End-to-End Tsunami Warning Systems: TWC Standard Operating Procedures.
PDC Automated Tsunami Alert System, 1 The Pacific Disaster Center’s Automated Tsunami Alert System for Hawaii with Applications for other Tsunami- prone.
State of Tsunami Science and Early Warnings Dr. François Schindelé, CEA-DASE Chairman of the International Coordination Group for the Tsunami Warning System.
Paul Whitmore, NOAA/NWS West Coast/Alaska TWC, July 29, 2007 UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07) Sponsored by NOAA.
BY K.MOUNIKA CSE 4 TH YEAR. What is a Tsunami? A tsunami is a wave in the ocean or in a lake that is created by a geologic event characterized by a series.
EARTHQUAKE AND TSUNAMI. BASIC CONCEPTS: THERMAL EVOLUTION OF OCEANIC LITHOSPHERE Warm mantle material upwells at spreading centers and then cools Because.
Strengthening Tsunami Warning and Emergency Response Suva, Fiji 24 September 2010 Tsunami Warning Stuart Weinstein Deputy Director, Pacific Tsunami Warning.
Tsunami Jens Havskov and Mathilde B. Sørensen. What is a tsunami A tsunami is an abnormal large wave hitting the coast.
Earthquake Monitoring & Tsunami Warning
ICG/NEAM Tsunami Warning System Accreditation Procedure of CTSPs
Earthquakes and tsunamis in the last week
Tsunami.
Real-Time Tsunami Forecast Animations for SOS
Earthquake monitoring system and Information products
Tsunami Early Warning System: SOPs and Communication Strategies Initiatives by Pakistan Meteorological Department presenter Zahid Rafi Dated: 08 Oct,
Tsunamis.
Warm up 9/27/2016 ( 10 min) Label the diagram A-G Volcano B. trench
Tsunami Formation As a tsunami leaves the deep ocean and travels toward the shallow coast, it transforms. A tsunami moves at a speed related to the water.
amplification of seismic waves: tsunami (seismic sea waves), T&L, Fig
MONITORING, DETECTING AND WARNING OF TSUNAMIS
Presentation transcript:

TABLE-TOP EXERCISE: INDIAN OCEAN SCENARIO MAKRAN SOURCE Shallow, Offshore, Mw9.0 Training Programme in Seismology and Tsunami Warnings Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia, August, 2006 Male, Maldives, August, 2006 Colombo, Sri Lanka, 30 August 2006

TWC OPERATIONAL ACTIVITIES SEISMIC DATA COLLECTION & ANALYSESSEISMIC DATA COLLECTION & ANALYSES SEA LEVEL MEASUREMENTS & ANALYSESSEA LEVEL MEASUREMENTS & ANALYSES DECISION-MAKING PROCESSESDECISION-MAKING PROCESSES MESSAGE CREATION & DISSEMINATIONMESSAGE CREATION & DISSEMINATION

CHECKLIST Indian Ocean Events - Initial Bulletin EQ SOURCE CHARACTERIZATION Locate Epicenter (Tele-EQ, Pick, nquake) O Make/Examine Location Map (nquake) O Determine Depth (nquake) O Determine Magnitude (Mwp) O Issue Observatory Message O Start Mm ( Papeete if Mw>7), SMAG, Theta O Select Message Type based on Criteria O Call in Other Watchstanders to Help (Watches) O Compute/Print/[Map] ETAs if a Warning or TIB O

CHECKLIST - Indian Ocean Events - Initial Bulletin EQ SOURCE CHARACTERIZATION Locate Epicenter (Tele-EQ, Pick, nquake) O Make/Examine Location Map (nquake) O Determine Depth (nquake) O Determine Magnitude (Mwp) O Issue Observatory Message O Start Mm ( Papeete if Mw>7), SMAG, Theta O Select Message Type based on Criteria O Call in Other Watchstanders to Help (Watches) O Compute/Print/[Map] ETAs if a Warning or TIB O

Checklist - Indian Ocean Events ISSUE MESSAGE Run Message Software (for Indian Ocean)O Check Message before Sending: Bulletin Number (should be 1) O Message Type O Which Places Put in Watch Status O Add Statement for Anything Unusual O Earthquake Parameters O Estimated Arrival Times O

Checklist - Indian Ocean Events ENSURE MESSAGE DISSEMINATION Check all Messages Went Out Resend if Necessary GTS (lp –d nmc nmcmsg [hnmcmsg])O Fax/Telex (lp –d tlx tlxmsg)O NWW (lp –d nww nwwmsg [hnwwmsg])O Web (/bin/ftp2webpac and /bin/ftp2webhaw) O (cat wmsg | /bin/mailx bulletin )O EMWIN (call NWSTG if NMC okay)O HFO Fax (/bin/fax2hfo now)O Immediate Call Down List O

Checklist - Indian Ocean Events CONTINUE FOR WATCHES, TIB w/Tsunami potential Call Closest Countries Confirm they got our message O Ask if they have any reports O Display and Monitor Nearest Sea Level Gauges O Trigger DARTS at least 30-min ahead of their ETAs O Review Historical Data O Re-assess Magnitude Monitor Mm, SMAG O Check for Tsunami or Slow Earthquake (Mw vs Ms, Theta) O Monitor for other EQ params and CMTs O

Mw less than 6.5 (Mw: Moment Magnitude) Observatory Message Only Mw 6.5 to 7.0Tsunami Information Bulletin Mw 7.1 to 7.5Local Tsunami Watch Mw 7.6 to 7.8Regional Tsunami Watch Mw > 7.8Ocean-Wide Tsunami Watch INDIAN OCEAN BULLETIN CRITERIA

Makran Accretionary margin, location of 1945 Tsunami in this region Island Arc Volcanics Mud Volcanoes 1945 A Mohktari et al., 2005

SCENARIO TIMELINE 0:00Mw 9 Earthquake Occurs 0:10PTWC Seismic Alarms Triggered 0:14 PTWC Initial Location/Magnitude Mw 8.1 Mw 8.1 0:15PTWC Observatory Message 0:17 PTWC Basin-Wide Tsunami Watch 1 0:18 JMA Basin-wide Tsunami Watch 1

Broadband Seismic Stations contributing data to PTWC P-wave TT 8 min

SCENARIO TIMELINE 1:18 PTWC Basin-wide Tsunami Watch 2 Mw 8.9 revised Mw 8.9 revised 1:19 JMA Basin-wide Tsunami Watch 2 2:18 PTWC Basin-wide Tsunami Watch 3 2:19 JMA Basin-wide Tsunami Watch 3 Masirah SL gauge has not arrived Masirah SL gauge has not arrived (eta 2:23) - TWC may wait to issue (eta 2:23) - TWC may wait to issue

Station Xmit Arrival Transmit Masirah 15 01:23:29 01:27:00 Salalah 15 02:28:17 02:40:00 Hanimaadhoo 60 03:36:28 04:01:00 Male 15 04:12:04 04:15:00 Gan 60 04:23:18 05:01:00 Colombo 15 04:45:36 04:54:00 Pt.LaRue 60 05:33:36 05:41:00 Lamu 30 05:59:00 06:03:00 Zanzibar 15 06:47:03 06:49:00 Rodrigue 15 08:09:43 07:13:00 Port Luis 15 08:23:45 07:31:00 Calculated Tsunami Arrival Times

Near-shore shallow bathymetry increases travel timeMasirah MaleGan

SCENARIO TIMELINE 3:18 PTWC Basin-wide Tsunami Watch 4 Salalah Sea level gauge (eta 3:26) Salalah Sea level gauge (eta 3:26) 3:19 JMA Basin-wide Tsunami Watch 4 4:18 PTWC Basin-wide Tsunami Watch 5 Reading at Hanimaahdoo (eta 3:26) Reading at Hanimaahdoo (eta 3:26) Male Sea level gauge (eta 4:12) Male Sea level gauge (eta 4:12) 4:19 JMA Basin-wide Tsunami Watch 5 with Updated Amplitude Forecasts with Updated Amplitude Forecasts Gan (eta 4:23, but transmit 5:01 Gan (eta 4:23, but transmit 5:01 since 60 min transmit rate) since 60 min transmit rate)

Station Xmit Arrival Transmit Masirah 15 01:23:29 01:27:00 Salalah 15 02:28:17 02:40:00 Hanimaadhoo 60 03:36:28 04:01:00 Male 15 04:12:04 04:15:00 Gan 60 04:23:18 05:01:00 Colombo 15 04:45:36 04:54:00 Pt.LaRue 60 05:33:36 05:41:00 Lamu 30 05:59:00 06:03:00 Zanzibar 15 06:47:03 06:49:00 Rodrigue 15 08:09:43 07:13:00 Port Luis 15 08:23:45 07:31:00 Calculated Tsunami Arrival Times

SCENARIO TIMELINE 5:18 PTWC Basin-wide Tsunami Watch 6 5:19 JMA Basin-wide Tsunami Watch 6 Sea Level Readings - Maldives Diego Garcia Diego Garcia6:19-10:00 Addtl Sea Level Readings fr IO Stations Hourly Bulletins from PTWC / JMA Hourly Bulletins from PTWC / JMA For Interim IOTWS System: For Interim IOTWS System: Basin-wide Watch => Basin-wide Watch => Monitor sea levels across entire IO Monitor sea levels across entire IO No Warnings issued (so No Cancellation) No Warnings issued (so No Cancellation)

Makran Source Modeling Tsunami Propagation

THANK YOU