BUILDING STRONG ® High Resolution Modeling Parameter estimation Hydrological Forecasting Real-time simulation Groundwater Treatment Detection of near surface threats

BUILDING STRONG ® Military Hydrology Flood Extents from satellite imagery Fine scale model ~41,550 sq miles Reachback requests for river flows, flood extents and forecasts through UROC 2010 Pakistan flood

BUILDING STRONG ® Flooding Potential No Significant Flooding Possible Minor Flooding Probable Flooding Flooding Major Flooding No significant flooding – less than 70 percent of monthly rainfall past three days and next three days Possible Minor Flooding – between 70 percent and 100 percent of monthly rainfall past three days and next three days Probable Flooding – between 100 percent and 150 percent of monthly rainfall past three days and next three days Flooding – between 150 percent and 200 percent of monthly rainfall past three days and next three days Major Flooding – More than 200 percent of monthly rainfall past three days and next three days Afghanistan: Potential Flood Map (experimental) – 01 March 2011 Source: Past three days of satellite derived precipitation Source: Global Forecast Precipitation next three days Source: Monthly Climate Precipitation

BUILDING STRONG ® Afghanistan: Daily Flood Map

BUILDING STRONG ®  Provide short-term forecasting ability based on high-fidelity simulation results for brown water systems in data-poor or denied areas.  Produce navigation/land access charts for theater-specific sites that include: ► Wave and current climate ► Water depth and vessel draft ► Bank slope and condition ► Water visibility ► Bathymetric uncertainty ~10 m depth Forecasting Theater Specific Risk Product is red/amber/green charts for specific locations, times, and vessels

BUILDING STRONG ®  Perform reference, high-fidelity simulations that include range of possible available data ► only remotely sensed data ► + ‘soft’ data like inferred depths from boat traffic and wave/current observations ► + detailed gage and bathymetric data  Product is red/amber/green charts for specific locations, times, and vessels Theater Specific Risk Maps

BUILDING STRONG ®