DSL Succession Wildfire Urban growth Sea level rise Climate effect on wildfire: A2, A1B, B1 SERAP Succession Wildfire Urban growth Sea level rise (DSL)

Slides:

Advertisements

Similar presentations

The Central Washington Landscape Assessment (CWLA) project update and discussion.

Advertisements

The South Atlantic Landscape Conservation Cooperative’s Third Thursday Web Forum Vegetation Dynamics Projections to Inform Conservation in the Southeast.

MODELING THE IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE – CHANGES MADE IN A SPECIES SPECIFIC MODELING SYSTEM Jim Chew, Kirk Moeller, Kirsten Ironside Invited presentation.

The Downscaled Climate Projection Has Arrived – NOW WHAT?

The Florida Longleaf Pine Ecosystem Geodatabase A Cooperative Project between the Florida Forest Service and Florida Natural Areas Inventory.

Southeast Conservation Planning Atlas (CPA) Steering Committee March 19, 2013.

A Synthesis of Terrestrial Carbon Balance of Alaska and Projected Changes in the 21 st Century: Implications for Climate Policy and Carbon Management To.

Landscape Hazard Assessment Past Approaches and Current Modeling Tools.

Northern Forest Futures A window on tomorrow's forests Revealing how today's trends and choices can change the future landscape of the North Collaborative.

Setting a Course for a Sustainable Landscape December 2013 Steering Committee Call code:

How many possums and where? The National Possum Model James Shepherd & Mandy Barron.

School Research Conference, March 2009 Jennifer Wright Supervisors: M.Williams, G. Starr, R.Mitchell, M.Mencuccini Fire and Forest Ecosystems in the Southeastern.

U. Shankar 1, D. McKenzie 2, J. Bowden 1 and L. Ran 1 Assessing the Impacts on Smoke, Fire and Air Quality Due to Changes in Climate, Fuel Loads, and Wildfire.

The Coeur d'Alene Tribe is learning the remote sensing methodology developed by LANDFIRE, and will be attempting to apply the methods to higher resolution.

Disturbance regimes in restoration ecology: novel effects and ecological complexity Sarah Marcinko November 11, 2005.

Butterflies as a model system to understand the interaction of landscape and climate Leslie Ries National Socio-environmental Synthesis Center (SESYNC),

Planning for Sea Level Rise in Florida Dr. Kathryn Frank Department of Urban and Regional Planning College of Design, Construction and Planning University.

Optimal conservation strategies for dynamic landscapes Incorporating climate change and urban growth in conservation planning James B. Grand, USGS, Alabama.

Desert LCC Annual Planning Meeting: Working Groups August 26, 2014 Geospatial Information and Data Management: Achieving the Vision SALLY HOLL DESERT LCC.

Burl Carraway. Purpose of Redesign Shape and influence use of forest land on a scale and in a way that optimizes public benefits from trees and forests.

Climate Change: SEAFWA Thoughts? Ken Haddad, Executive Director Florida Fish and Wildlife Conservation Commission September 2007.

What is PINEMAP?? Pine Integrated Network: Education, Mitigation, and Adaptation Project Pine Integrated Network: Education, Mitigation, and Adaptation.

Landscape Conservation Cooperatives The Right Science in the Right Places.

“Alaska” LCCs Webinar April 1, 2013 PIs: David McGuire; Co-PI: Scott Rupp; Co-Is: Vladimir Romanovsky, Eugenie Euskirchen, Sergei Marchenko University.

FireBGCv2: A research simulation platform for exploring fire, vegetation, and climate dynamics Robert Keane Missoula Fire Sciences Laboratory Rocky Mountain.

Helena Mitasova, NCSU Geospatial Analytics and Modeling Laboratory Helena Mitasova

Modeling Forest Management Scenarios Under a Changing Climate in Northern Minnesota Matthew J. Duveneck, Robert M. Scheller, Mark A. White Stephen Handler.

Landscape Ecosystems and Native Plant Communities Where we’ve been and where we’re going.

7 th EC-GI & GIS Workshop, Potsdam June 2001 Quantitative diachronic spatial analysis using GISs to assist decision-makers in land management in.

The South Atlantic Landscape Conservation Cooperative’s Third Thursday Web Forum Using SLAMM in Modeling Sea Level Rise for Conservation Planning Thursday,

Status of Changes Recommended in 2006 and 2007 by Clients Sally Campbell (for Sue Willits) PNW FIA PNW Research Station Portland, OR.

Copyright © SRC 2012 Forestry Component of the PRAC Terrestrial Theme Mark Johnston and Elaine Qualtiere Saskatchewan Research Council 15 February 2012.

SIMULATING THE IMPACT OF AREA BURNED ON GOALS FOR SUSTAINABLE FOREST MANAGEMENT Jimmie Chew, RMRS Christine Stalling, RMRS Barry Bollenbacher, Region One.

TerraPop Vision An organizational and technical framework to preserve, integrate, disseminate, and analyze global-scale spatiotemporal data describing.

U.S. Department of the Interior U.S. Geological Survey LANDFIRE Paul Bourget SGT, Inc., contractor to the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) Earth Resources.

Florida Fish and Wildlife Conservation Commission

: What is the Southeast Climate Science Center niche and what are FY13/14 priorities given that niche? Jerry McMahon SA LCC SC meeting March 20, 2013 U.S.

The Biodiversity GIS website We aim to assist you in biodiversity planning and decision making by offering comprehensive and freely accessible spatial.

The South Atlantic Landscape Conservation Cooperative’s Third Thursday Web Forum Filling the Gaps in the Blueprint: This Year and Next Thursday, May 17,

Building Environmental Literacy Gail Kimbell Chief, U.S. Forest Service A Critical Task:

Visualizing Coastal Vulnerability and People for the U.S. National Climate Assessment (NCA) Gregg Verutes, Greg Guannel, Katie Arkema and Spencer Wood.

Deforestation DAVID MYERS KEVIN HERNADEZ. What is Deforestation Deforestation is the destruction of natural forest to serve another purpose Increase of.

Reporting Team Sally Campbell – team leaderGlenn Christensen - analyst Erica Hanson – foresterPaul Dunham – analyst Jen Gomoll – STEP Joe Donnegan – analyst.

Southern Research Station Southern Research Station ************************************ Water Research USDA Forest Service Research and Development Southern.

The South Atlantic Landscape Conservation Cooperative’s Third Thursday Web Forum The SALCC Strategic Plan and What It Means Thursday, April 19, 2012.

Northern Michigan Forest Productivity Across a Complex Landscape David S. Ellsworth and Kathleen M. Bergen.

Climate Science Centers Data Sharing Policy Emily Fort & Lisa Zolly Community for Data Integration Workshop August 17,

TerraPop Mission Enabling research, learning, and policy analysis by providing integrated spatiotemporal data describing people and their environment.

URBANIZATION AND URBAN SPRAWL

The South Atlantic Landscape Conservation Cooperative’s Third Thursday Web Forum Targets and Indicators Update – Where We Are So Far Thursday, September.

Remote Sensing Theory & Background III GEOG370 Instructor: Yang Shao.

Setting a Course for a Sustainable Landscape Sept Steering Committee Call code:

Problem Definition Exercise Summary & Discussion.

Climate Sensitivity Succession Regime Shifts Integration Current Proposal: The Dynamics of Change Next Proposal (due in < 4 years!!) Human Dimensions K-12.

Illustrating NOAA’s Geospatial Role in Resilient Coastal Zones Joseph Klimavicz, NOAA CIO and Director of High Performance Computing and Communications.

JOINT FIRE SCIENCE PROGRAM 2015 FUNDING CALL October 9, 2014.

Landscape Conservation Cooperative (LCC) Supported Assessment Tools Gulf of Mexico Alliance Tools Café June 2016 Southeast Aquatic Connectivity Assessment.

Identification of Restoration Sites for a Fire-dependent Bird in an Urbanizing Environment Bradley A. Pickens North Carolina Cooperative Fish and Wildlife.

Developing the Vegetation Drought Response Index (VegDRI): Monitoring Vegetation Stress from a Local to National Scale Dr. Brian Wardlow National Drought.

Landscape dynamics in the Southern Atlantic Coastal Plain in response to climate change, sea level rise and urban growth Todd S. Earnhardt, Biology Department,

Jesse Minor University of Arizona School of Geography and Development

An Introduction to VegDRI

Soils, Climate Change and Vegetation Modeling

Pacific Northwest Conservation Blueprint

CyberGIS: Reston, VA, September 22, 2018

The South Atlantic Landscape Conservation Cooperative’s

Department of the Interior Northeast Climate Science Center

Goal 2 – Promote data integration and sharing

Shortleaf Pine Demonstration Areas Assist Promoting Restoration

Fire Emissions and Smoke Management Plans

Presentation transcript:

DSL Succession Wildfire Urban growth Sea level rise Climate effect on wildfire: A2, A1B, B1 SERAP Succession Wildfire Urban growth Sea level rise (DSL) Climate effect on wildfire (Coastal Plain): A1FI, B1 Recent fire suppression

Output data characteristics Decadal data layers through 2100 Polygons (average size ~10 hectares), converted to 30 m raster Each polygon labeled with land cover type, successional stage and structure Available from NCSU Biodiversity and Spatial Information Center DSL: SERAP: Coming Soon! Contact

+100 years +10 years +20 years +30 years +40 years +50 years +60 years +70 years +80 years +90 years Landscape Change Charleston, SC 2001 LakeMoultrie Charleston Incorporates: disturbance, succession urban growth (SLEUTH), sea level rise (SLAMM)

Using the data Land cover types represent mapped polygon characteristics Distributions of age and canopy structure across region match FIA data Best for summaries across regions or groups of counties Example: Projected longleaf pine composition

Model states are defined ahead of time, no surprises in characteristics of states, just their composition across landscape In vegetation dynamics models, effects of climate change are indirect: Changes to wildfire regime Define a new vegetation state based on info from other models or data Locations of vegetation polygons static through time Caveats of modeling approach

Integrates urban growth, sea level rise, vegetation dynamics Explore and compare alternative scenarios of landscape change Summarize changes across regions Use as a communication tool to visualize results Vegetation dynamics models used by DoD (Eglin AFB) and VA Tech, US Forest Service, TNC Good base layer, many more scenarios possible! Strengths of data and approach

SALCC Introduction Next steps and how the SALCC will use this product

Questions/Comments Questions or comments from presentation about Jen’s presentation? Questions or comments in general about the SALCC, what we’re doing, where we’re going, etc.?

Next SALCC Third Thursday Web Forum Thursday, November 15 – 10:00am EST Landscape Conservation Cooperatives and Climate Science Centers: An Evolving Relationship  Jerry McMahon (Southeast Climate Science Center) & Rua Mordecai (South Atlantic LCC)

Contacts Ken McDermond – Rua Mordecai – Janet Cakir – Amy Keister – Laurie Rounds – Ginger Deason – Jen Costanza –