SPoRT Product Assessments Scientific Services Division Chief Meeting 2 March, 2010 Geoffrey Stano, Kevin Fuell transitioning unique NASA data and research.

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Presentation transcript:

SPoRT Product Assessments Scientific Services Division Chief Meeting 2 March, 2010 Geoffrey Stano, Kevin Fuell transitioning unique NASA data and research technologies to operations National Space Science and Technology Center, Huntsville, AL

transitioning unique NASA data and research technologies to operations Importance to SPoRT and Partners SPoRT Mission: – Transition unique observations and research capabilities … to improve regional short-term forecasts Keys to Success: – Link data to forecast problems – Data not thrown over the fence – Assessments improve success rate Understanding of forecast issues Understanding of product impact – Fosters end user participation and buy-in

transitioning unique NASA data and research technologies to operations Assessment Activities Intensive evaluation periods – MODIS fog: Fall 2008 & 2009, Jan 2009 – MODIS false color: Winter 2008 – North Alabama Lightning Mapping Array: Spring 2009 Wide World of SPoRT Blog – Peer to peer feedback and evaluation Other interactions – Bi-monthly coordination calls – Web evaluation forms – Informal communications – Conference or journal papers MODIS Fog and Topography SPoRT Blog NALMA

transitioning unique NASA data and research technologies to operations The SPoRT Approach Assessments integrated with entire transition process Tailored to fit specific issues – Product specific web surveys Lightning Mapping Array MODIS fog CIRA TPW – More than just web surveys Wide World of SPoRT blog Site visits Questionnaires Successful paradigm – Recognized by GOES-R Proving Ground Determine Forecast Issue Match Forecast Issue to Product Determine Training Needs Evaluate Product Impact Enhance the Product Has forecast issue been addressed? Is Product ready for 24/7 use by operational groups? Ready for full transition YesNo

transitioning unique NASA data and research technologies to operations Impacts: MODIS False Color Product Assessment modified to fit operational realities – False color use more long-term – Developed daily log One on one discussion with forecaster Example from Winter 2008 – Rapid snow melt between February – Ability to observe snow cover retreat lessened concerns for flooding 14 February 16 February

“saves time and resources while complimenting other products” MODIS False Color - GFX

transitioning unique NASA data and research technologies to operations Impacts: MODIS False Color Product WFO Great Falls: “The false color product has improved the assessment of flooding potential in post snow and ice events.” End user educated SPoRT on new uses – Tie MODIS product with model derived snow water equivalent Culminated in AMS Annual Meeting poster and paper Discussion of new products – Tie in with AMSR-E snow water equivalent – Snow cover extent composite – Snow cover change product 19 February Snow water equivalent

transitioning unique NASA data and research technologies to operations Impacts: MODIS Fog Product Primarily web survey evaluation – Used intensive study period Required discussions on fog climatology – Supported by blog posts (MFL, MRX) Set up by GOES Fog product evaluation – NESDIS requested evaluation – Led to the 2009 MODIS only assessment End results – Evaluation summary linked to web page – Development of MODIS fog improvements 0515 Z 0521 Z Fog DepthLow Cloud Base MODIS 4 kmMODIS 1 km WFO Albuquerque: “Seeing where lower clouds and fog were developing made me much more confident that if lower clouds or fog did occur, it would not be until 10Z or after, as remained forecasted in the 06Z TAF.”

transitioning unique NASA data and research technologies to operations Impacts: Lightning Mapping Array Reinforced previous studies Generated requests for more training – Web science share session with MRX – Discussion for new types of products WFO Huntsville:“I believe the flash density rates were the primary factor in holding off on a warning.” WFO Nashville: “the LMA often helps ‘tip the scales’ towards issuing a warning” Lightning jumps can be useful indicators of severe weather AMS Conference and BAMS Maproom articles LMA is mature product –Focus towards pseudo GLM and AWIPS II visualizations

transitioning unique NASA data and research technologies to operations Impacts: Lightning Mapping Array End users developing a good understanding of total lightning Focus on more specific goals Product evaluation underway – Investigate 8 total lightning variants – 1 vs 2 km resolution – 1 vs 2 min temporal resolution – Flash extent vs source density Important as more SPoRT partners have access to these data Flash Extent Source Density

transitioning unique NASA data and research technologies to operations Impacts: Wide World of SPoRT Blog Web surveys can be cumbersome – Rigid structure – No pictures – Limited circulation – Most effective with intensive studies SPoRT Blog addresses these and promotes discussion of interesting cases – Good for everyday use – Interesting examples – Other partners see product utility!

transitioning unique NASA data and research technologies to operations Impacts: Wide World of SPoRT Blog Partners post interesting and informative cases – ABQ: Outflow boundary with MODIS – MFL: MODIS fog in the Everglades – HUN: Lake versus land temperatures – CRP: Moisture return – SPoRT can post entries for offices SMG: SST composite with visible image MOB: Model utility with MODIS SSTs

transitioning unique NASA data and research technologies to operations Impacts: Additional Results Not all formal, but still important! – Led to MODIS in the GFE – Modified domains for products What happens to the feedback? – SPoRT Evaluation page – Mini report – Conference and journal articles AMS Annual Meeting Southern Thunder Workshop Bulletin of the AMS – Conclusions sent to product developers Ken Pryor (NESDIS), FAA, SPoRT developers MODIS in the GFE WFO Mobile: “… GFE approach could be helpful, in coastal regions to create a database stratified by flow regimes.” WFO Miami: “Expanding the CIRA TPW domain is very useful for tracking moisture plumes.”

transitioning unique NASA data and research technologies to operations Future Work AWIPS II – Best visualizations with new technology Want to enhance WFO involvement – Aim for real-time use of products in papers – More quantitative metrics were applicable – Have WFOs lead projects – Work more directly with forecasters MODIS – Enhanced MODIS sea surface temperature – MODIS-GOES Hybrid Lightning Mapping Array – New users and interactions: KSC LDAR / DCLMA MODIS- GOES Hybrid AWIPS II

transitioning unique NASA data and research technologies to operations Future Work Want to enhance WFO involvement – Aim for real-time use of products in papers – More quantitative metrics were applicable – Have WFOs lead projects – Work directly with individual forecasters for select topics – Create WFO “groups” of similar projects Total lightning usage Enhanced sea surface temperature applications ADAS surface analyses – Find additional ways to support forecasters lending their time Like SPoRT training in the NOAA LMS SPoRT ADAS Enhanced SSTs

Questions? transitioning unique NASA data and research technologies to operations