Wholesale Power Price Forecast 01/28/03 Current Trends Update March 11, 2003.

Slides:

Advertisements

Similar presentations

Heidi Pacini Staff Engineer Developing a Draft 2011 Study Program March 10, 2010 SWG Conference Call.

Advertisements

Hal T. Interactions between Carbon Regulation & Renewable Energy Policies  Thoughtpiece: The CATF is in a position to consider program.

Will CO2 Change What We Do?

Alberta’s Future Electricity Needs: What’s the Real Story? Economic Developers of Alberta Annual Professional Conference April 10, 2014 John Esaiw, Director.

CVP Cost Allocation Public Workshop – January 18, 2013 “PLEXOS Methodology and Assumptions”

Technical Conference Avoided Cost Modeling January 6, 2015.

Clean and Affordable Energy Future in Northwest U.S. Nancy Hirsh NW Energy Coalition October 1, 2014.

Ad Hoc West-wide Resource Assessment Team (WRAT) : Assessment of Western System Adequacy in the Short-term Jeff King Northwest Power Planning Council Presentation.

Capacity Valuation.

1.  Purpose  To present Staff’s Preliminary Findings on the 2012 Integrated Resource Plans of:  APS – Arizona Public Service Company  TEP – Tucson.

5/22/20151 Northwest Power & Conservation Council Power Committee Over-generation and Negative Energy Prices – a work in progress Jeff King September 21,

1 Jesse Jenkins (RNP) November 7th, 2006 Northwest Energy: A Look at the Past, Present and Future of Electricity Generation in the Pacific Northwest.

INTEGRATION COST. Integration Cost in RPS Calculator While “Integration Cost” is included in NMV formulation, the Commission stated that the Integration.

LEVELIZED COST OF ENERGY. Summary Levelized costs are calculated as a proxy for the PPA price between a third-party developer and a utility LCOEs amortize.

ERCOT PUBLIC 4/22/2014 Updates for 2014 LTSA Scenario and Data Assumptions 4/22/2014.

Sixth Northwest Conservation & Electric Power Plan Discussion of Proposed Generating Resource Action Items Jeff King Northwest Power and Conservation Council.

Sixth Northwest Conservation & Electric Power Plan Proposed Aeroderivative Combustion Turbine Planning Assumptions Jeff King Northwest Power and Conservation.

March 19, 2009 Sixth Northwest Conservation & Electric Power Plan Central-station Solar Photovoltaic Resource Assessment Jeff King Northwest Power and.

Incorporating an Affordability Rate Cap Into a Florida RPS Florida Public Service Commission July 26, 2007 Kim Owens, P.E. JEA Clean Power Coordinator.

Northwest Power and Conservation Council 6 th Plan Conservation Resource Supply Curve Workshop on Data & Assumption Overview of Council Resource Analysis.

Draft Avoided Cost Forecast and Marginal CO 2 Offset Value of Conservation Regional Technical Forum Maury Galbraith Northwest Power and Conservation Council.

February 10, 2008 Sixth Northwest Conservation & Electric Power Plan Woody Biomass Resource Assessment Jeff King Northwest Power and Conservation Council.

Avoided Costs of Generation

Northwest Power and Conservation Council Slide 1 The Role of Efficiency In Meeting PNW Energy Needs Tom Eckman Manager, Conservation Resources Northwest.

Network Customer Meeting Access Metric Update November 16, 2006.

Announced Coal Unit Retirements: Effect on Regional Resource Adequacy Council Meeting January 16, 2013 Portland, Oregon Boardman Centralia 1.

Sixth Northwest Conservation & Electric Power Plan Proposed Combined-cycle Power Plant Capital Cost Assumptions Jeff King Northwest Power and Conservation.

Jenell Katheiser Doug Murray Long Term Study Scenarios and Generation Expansion Update January 22, 2013.

1 Distributed Energy Resources: Bringing Energy Closer to Home Presentation by the Industry Task Force on Distributed Generation July 28, 2005.

Discussion of Resource Plans Michael Schilmoeller for the Northwest Power and Conservation Council Wednesday, June 10, 2009.

Sixth Northwest Electric Power and Conservation Plan Generating Resource Assessments Jeff King Northwest Power and Conservation Council Portland, OR July.

Long-Term Electricity Report 1 Susan Gray September 27, 2010.

ELECTRICITY SOURCES Twenty five percent of the state’s electricity comes from out-of-state generation.

Preliminary Results with the Regional Portfolio Model Michael Schilmoeller for the Northwest Power and Conservation Council Generation Resource Advisory.

Sixth Northwest Conservation & Electric Power Plan Adding Incremental Flexibility to the Pacific Northwest Power System? Maury Galbraith Northwest Power.

Northwest Power and Conservation Council Slide 1 Accelerating Energy Efficiency To Reduce the PNW Power System's Carbon Footprint Tom Eckman Manager, Conservation.

ISO Outlook Summer 2005 and Beyond Senate Energy, Utilities and Communications Committee February 22, 2005 Jim Detmers Vice President of Grid Operations.

Sixth Northwest Conservation & Electric Power Plan Draft Wholesale Power Price Forecasts Maury Galbraith Northwest Power and Conservation Council Generating.

Northwest Wind Integration Forum Policy Steering Committee Meeting January 6, 2010 WECC VGS--REC Impacts Work Team Update Paul F Arnold—VP ColumbiaGrid.

Wholesale Power Price Forecast 01/28/03 Current Trends Update Jeff King January 31, 2003.

Sixth Northwest Conservation & Electric Power Plan Proposed Heavy-duty Combustion Turbine Planning Assumptions Jeff King Northwest Power and Conservation.

Wholesale Electricity Price Forecast Draft Current Trends Forecast Jeff King Conservation Resource Advisory Committee September 30, 2002.

Sixth Northwest Conservation & Electric Power Plan Geothermal Power Generation Resource Assessment Jeff King Northwest Power and Conservation Council Power.

RGGI Workshop on Electricity Markets, Reliability and Planning Topic Session 3: RGGI Design, Markets and Reliability – Issues Relating to System Operations.

Northwest Power Planning Council, January 2001 Electricity Price Forecast Sensitivity Analysis Jeff King Regional Technical Forum January 9, 2001.

Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT) A Success Story… In Progress Ingmar Sterzing United States Association of Energy Economics (USAEE) Pittsburgh.

Northwest Power and Conservation Council Slide 1 The Role of Efficiency In Meeting PNW Energy Needs Tom Eckman Manager, Conservation Resources Northwest.

Northwest Power and Conservation Council Overview of Draft Sixth Power Plan Council Meeting Whitefish, MT June 9-11, 2009.

Winter Power Supply Adequacy/Reliability Analysis Power Committee Briefing October 17, 2001.

Uncertainty in the Regional Portfolio Model Michael Schilmoeller for the Northwest Power and Conservation Council Generation Resource Advisory Committee.

July 17, GRAC 7/17/08 - Wrap-up I 1)Are the reference plant assumptions reasonable? More or less specificity? Important variations? 2)Should other.

Long Term Study Scenarios and Generation Expansion Update October 12, 2012.

1 Proposed Input Assumptions to RTF Cost-Effectiveness Determinations February 2, 2010.

11/4/02 NW Energy Coalition Clean Electricity Options for the Pacific Northwest: An Assessment of Efficiency and Renewable Potentials through the year.

Sixth Northwest Conservation & Electric Power Plan Interim Wholesale Electricity Price and Carbon Dioxide Production Forecasts Maury Galbraith Northwest.

Greg Brinkman Debbie Lew National Renewable Energy Laboratory Golden, Colorado USA Western Wind and Solar Integration Study: February TRC meeting – Transmission.

Slide 1 Overview of Conservation in the Pacific Northwest Energy Efficiency Options in the Northwest Post-2011Meeting March 4, 2008.

High Level Post Processing Cost Estimates MWG SSC Meeting September 26, 2011.

PEAK CAPACITY COST & DEMAND RESPONSE PACIFIC NORTHWEST DEMAND RESPONSE PLANNING COMMITTEE BILL DICKENS TACOMA POWER FEBRUARY 23, 2012.

DG Projections in the Western Interconnection March 15, 2016 Zach Ming, Consultant Nick Schlag, Managing Consultant Arne Olson, Partner.

CPUC Avoided Cost DRAFT Results CEWG Workshop May 31, 2016 Brian Horii, Senior Partner Snuller Price, Senior Partner Zach Ming, Consultant Kiran Chawla,

Northwest Coal Retirement Reduction Study Development of Base Case Assumptions and Scenarios PNUCC Meeting October 15,

Sixth Northwest Conservation & Electric Power Plan Draft Wholesale Power Price Forecasts Maury Galbraith Generating Resource Advisory Committee Meeting.

Energy Innovation Panel Pierre Mullin Siemens Digital Grid June 15 th 2016.

© 2016 Portland General Electric. All rights reserved. I NTEGRATED R ESOURCE P LAN 2016 OPUC Meeting April 21, 2016.

“Other” Cost Estimates

RENEWABLES AND RELIABILITY

2018 LTSA Workshop August 2017 RPG Meeting Welcome to.

Pacific Northwest Power System and Wind Power Development

Tyler Butikofer Associate Engineer II

Presentation transcript:

Wholesale Power Price Forecast 01/28/03 Current Trends Update March 11, 2003

Northwest Power Planning Council: March 2003 Major updates since A&R forecast AURORA vendor updates: –updated model version –revised default curtailment blocks –finer WECC load-resource area definition (Baja & S. NV) Adjusted scope of PNW East & MT load-resource areas. Updated inventory of post-2000 completions and projects under construction. Heavy scrubbing of existing thermal resource data. NPPC revised load growth forecasts (PNW & other LRAs). NPPC revised fuel price forecasts and pricing structure. NPPC revised new resource characteristics. Reshaped seasonal distribution of planned outages. Added scheduled upgrades to LRA transfer capacity.

Northwest Power Planning Council: March 2003 Current Trends case key assumptions I Projects scheduled for completion are completed; additional projects are market-driven. Suspended projects > 25% complete available as new resource options at reduced capital cost. Projects scheduled for retirement are retired; additional retirements are market-driven. $15/kW/yr point-to-point transmission & basic ancillary services cost plus 1.9% transmission loss penalty (except cogen & peaking units). NPPC medium case fuel price forecasts.

Northwest Power Planning Council: March 2003 Current Trends case key assumptions II NPPC medium case load forecasts. New resource options: 540 MW gas-fired combined-cycle gas turbine (frame) 70 MW duct firing (power augmentation) for above 2 x 46 MW gas-fired simple-cycle gas turbine (aeroderivative) 100 MW wind plant 400 MW pulverized coal-fired steam-electric (ex. PNW-West & CA) 20 MW central-station solar photovoltaics Permanent production incentive for new renewables. SBC and RPS resource development where adopted. Oregon CO2 offset requirement for all new fossil units. $7.50/MWh green tag revenue for new renewables.

Northwest Power Planning Council: March 2003 Price forecasts: Mid-Columbia

Northwest Power Planning Council: March 2003 Levelized Mid-Columbia price forecast (2006–25)