Towards a Sustainable Transport System - the implications for transport planners Presentation to TPS Board 18 November 2008 Billy Parr LB Waltham Forest

Timeline Key messages from Eddington and Stern Government response Implications of the Government’s response -Carbon reduction -Road pricing -New approach to transport planning -Scheme assessment -Future schemes -Governance -Job prospects Outline

Timeline Mar 05: Eddington commissioned Jul 05: Stern commissioned Oct 07: TASTS published Jan 08: Interim consultation Early 09: Green Paper Spring 09: White Paper Oct 06: Stern Review published Dec 06: Eddington Report published Jul 08: Progress update Autumn 08: Full consultation

Key messages Stern “ Stabilisation of CO² emissions is feasible ” “ Global cost of 1% of GDP per annum ” “ … one of the most expensive sectors from which to cut emissions ” “ Establishing a carbon price essential ” The economics of climate change

Key messages Eddington “ Network broadly in the right places ” “ Sophisticated policy mix ” “ …focus on urban areas, international gateways and inter-urban corridors ” “ Widespread road-user charging essential ” “ …not seduced by grands projets ” Long-term impacts of transport on economy

Towards a Sustainable Transport System (TASTS) ‘Rich and dirty’ or ‘poor and green’ is false dichotomy Policy objectives rejigged, with ‘less carbon’ rising to second Reasonable coverage of most issues…… ……but lacking commitment in key areas? Government response

Key areas Supports carbon pricing Adoption of long-term decision-making cycle…. …coupled with NATA refresh Scope for new governance arrangements Supports creation of IPC Government response

In order of perceived importance -Carbon reduction -Road pricing -New approach to transport planning -Scheme assessment -Future schemes -Governance -Job prospects Implications

Scale of challenge Carbon pricing and reduction trajectories crucial Inclusion of aviation in EU Emissions Trading scheme Need to factor carbon into decision making process Currently lack of clarity over weighting of goals Carbon reduction

Significant discrepancy Eddington advocates widespread scheme by 2015…. ……but DfT focus still on local ‘pilot’ schemes Anti-road pricing petition a factor in this? Consequences Lack of clear direction for transport planners Onus for developing schemes remains at local level Reconciliation issues Road pricing

New approach to planning Consequences Funding restricted to only the most worthwhile schemes? Linked to IPC, timely and resource efficient decision making?

Need to ‘listen to the numbers’ NATA refresh Monetisation of full economic and carbon-related impacts likely to feature highly However Increasing complexity of assessment and appraisal? Loose commitment to NATA lite Assessment

DfT support for Eddington’s take on small scale schemes Uncertain future for High Speed Rail Future schemes

Potential reform of governance arrangements Creation of Integrated Transport Authorities Extension of existing PTA powers and remit However Lack of commitment in TASTS means that the benefits of ITAs may never be fully realised Governance ITA powers Bus quality contracts Strategic road and rail powers Bus priority Traffic calming Highway maintenance Local Transport Plans Quality partnerships

Additional workload as a result of more rigorous NATA framework? Need for development of new skills? Possible reshuffle of public sector structures? Job prospects

TASTS will have some positive implications Lack of detail and commitment in key areas such as road pricing Unless rectified by time of next White Paper, significant difficulties for transport planners as a result Biggest single issue going forward will be the need to reduce transport-related carbon emissions Conclusion

Thank you for listening Any questions?