2020 GHG? Gas tax? Car insurance? Will SoCal meet 2020, 2035 GHG transp tgts? Raise gas tax by $5/gal  28% less driving? Save $ on car insurance when you drive less? –But pay more for 20,000 miles per year –Cuts driving ~3.5% Eliminate free workplace parking? –Pay $2 to drive alone and park at work –Receive $4 for transit, carpool, bike, telecommute –Cuts commute 23% Large iMobility component.

ULTra PRT iMobility – Steve Raney Personal Rapid Transit - video “Best airport transfer devices ever” “Awesome sci-fi system” “quicker, easier and greener.” “Geek transportation par excellence!” “Soooo cool!! Addicting!!”

3 PRT companies, 4 customers Amritsar, North India tourist site Heathrow & Amritsar – private sector funded. 2getthere – Masdar Eco-city, Abu Dhabi Vectus – Suncheon, S Korea

Guideway

Under the road, on the berm

Comprehensive, Integrated iMobility Door to Door Delivery services, Personal activities, Business services first mile Train, HSR first mile Bus Web/wireless coordination Supportive policy context Scale! Short carpool pick up first mile Long carpool Improved match-making Shared pkng, AndroidPooling PRT system LAST MILE mid-day trips Centralized Cars: share, rent, ride home Walk Bike, scooter AndroidPooling

PRT last mile market research Predicts large change in commute away from drive alone Ability to re-develop lonely parking spaces  real-estate “upside” Value of time at lunch is 2X hourly salary –Use PRT to go to lunch? Starbucks?.

SoCal PRT applications Anaheim – Metrolink/HSR to Disney LAX – rental cars & hotels Irvine Spectrum – last mile from Metrolink Long Beach circulator Warner Center Circulator.

Anaheim Rapid Connection PRT beats ~$700M, 3.5 mi, 5-station APM APM – automated people mover.

Anaheim: PRT vs. APM PRT vs. APM: 4X faster, 6X stations, ¼ cost –PRT serves residents, APM is for tourists only Status: studies underway.

Thank You.

ULTra London Heathrow Term. 5 BAA: privatized, owns LHR + 4 airports –US retail contracts: Baltimore, Logan, Pittsburg –Grupo Ferrovial acquired for $20B 2 year Transport study: –low emissions, space efficient –high level of service, value –Bus & APM lost –“PRT: only practical soln: 60% travel time savings, 40% operating cost savings” –Small starter system, then expand Held PRT competition: ULTra won => negotiation BAA took equity interest in ULTra PRT.

ULTra LHR Terminal 5 N Parking to T5 2.4 mi of track 21 vehicles 500,000 pax/year expected T5: 10 th largest “airport” in Europe

2 Business T5 Parking Stations(2 berths)  T5 (6 berths)

$7M - $13M Cost per mile Cost function = f { – System size (larger is cheaper because of fixed costs) – Station Density (more stations/mile => higher cost) – Peak hour trip demand (more demand => more vehicles) – Guideway: Elevated At-grade Tunnel Culvert Cantilever Bi-directional Seismic requirements “Curviness” – Stations: “fancy” costs more – Vehicle customizations. – Desired average passenger wait time (shorter wait => more vehicles) }.

PRT capacity

Safety / Safety Certification Automated transit (APMs): 100X safer than driving & at-grade transit US / ASCE APM Standards – Airport APMs: same safety standard – BAA & ULTra PRT on the ASCE committee 361 ULTra hazard cases – Earthquake, truck crashes into column, falling debris, fire, bad people, extreme weather, vehicle fails on guideway, slipping on stairs, etc..