Thailand’s Energy Situation in 2010 and Trend in 2011.

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Presentation transcript:

Thailand’s Energy Situation in 2010 and Trend in 2011

* Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4* Consumption1,6631,7851,6121,6931,6511,6931,7841,7991,7641,792 Production , Import (Net) , Import/Consumption (%) Growth Rate (%) Consumption Production Import (Net) GDP (%) Unit: KBD of crude oil equivalent * Preliminary data Consumption, Production and Import of Primary Commercial Energy

Growth Rate of Primary Commercial Energy Consumption * Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4* Total Consumption 1,6631,7851,6121,6931,6511,6931,7851,7991,7641,785 - Oil Natural Gas Coal Lignite Hydro/Imported Elec * Preliminary data Oil Natural Gas Coal/Lignite GDP Unit: KBD of crude oil equivalent

KBD of crude oil equivalent Oil Natural Gas Coal/Lignite Hydro/Imported Electricity 2% 17% 44% 37% Consumption of Primary Commercial Energy Import: 26% Import: 67% Import: 20% Import: 84% Domestic: 74% Domestic: 33% Domestic: 80% Domestic: 16% ConsumptionOilNatural GasCoalElectricityTotal Growth Rate (%)* * Preliminary data

Expenditure on Final Energy Consumption in 2010 Petroleum Products Electricity Natural Gas Lignite/ Coal Renewable Energy Total Growth Rate (%)* * Preliminary data Total Expenditure on Final Energy Consumption: THB 1,796 billion*

Value of Energy Import Crude Oil Petroleum Products Natural Gas CoalElectricityTotal Growth Rate (%)* * Preliminary data Total Value of Energy Import: THB 895 billion* 2010

Value of Energy Export in 2010 Crude Oil Petroleum Products ElectricityTotal Growth Rate (%)* * Preliminary data Value of Energy Export, in total: THB billion*

Crude Oil Import Decreased by 0.1 % * Growth Rate (%) * Quantity (KBD) Average Price (US$/barrel) Value (Billion THB) , * Preliminary Data

Petroleum Product Consumption Unit: KBD ** Excluding LPG used as feedstock in the petrochemical industry * Preliminary data Product * Growth Rate (%) * GASOLINE  Regular  Premium Gasohol ULG KEROSENE DIESEL JET PETROLEUM FUEL OIL LPG** TOTAL

Million Litres/Day Monthly Gasoline Consumption 2006 Av Av Av * Av Impact of political unrest * Preliminary data Growth (%)JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec Jan- Dec Compared with corresponding period in * Compared with previous month Growth Rate in 2010

2006 Av Av Av * Av Monthly Gasohol Consumption * Preliminary data Growth (%)JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec Jan- Dec Compared with corresponding period in * Compared with previous month Growth Rate in 2010 Million Litres/Day Demand increased due to lowered prices Government promotion of Gasohol 91 application to motorcycles Contribution rates to the Oil Fund reduced by the government towards year end

Million Litres/Day Monthly Gasohol 91 (E10) Consumption 2006 Av Av Av * Av * Preliminary data Growth (%)JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec Jan- Dec Compared with corresponding period in * Compared with previous month Growth Rate in 2010

Gasohol 95 (E20) Gasohol 91 (E10) Gasohol 95 (E10) Gasohol Demand in 2010 Gasohol 91(E10) Gasohol 95 (E10) Gasohol 95 (E20) Average 4.16 Million Lt/d Average 0.36 Million Lt/d Average 7.35 Million Lt/d 2010 Gasohol 95 (E10) Gasohol 91 (E10) Gasohol 95 (E20)* Growth (%) -9.5*9.3*64.9* * Preliminary data

2006 Av Av Av * Av Monthly Diesel Consumption * Preliminary data Growth (%)JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec Jan- Dec Compared with corresponding period in * Compared with previous month Growth Rate in 2010 Million Litres/Day

* Preliminary data Growth (%)JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec Jan- Dec Compared with corresponding period in * Compared with previous month Growth Rate in 2010 Distribution Volume of Biodiesel B Av Av Av * Av Million Litres/Day Demand dropped as price difference was only 1.20 Baht Demand increased due to high price difference: 1-3 Baht

Distribution Volume of HSD B3 and B5

LPG, Propane and Butane Demand * Preliminary data Share in % 13% 11% 28% 8% 43% 11% 13% 25% 8% 44% 14% 16% 19% 7% 46% 15% 14% 20% 6% Demand in 2010* Household IndustryAutomobilePetro- chemical Own Use Total Demand volume (Million Lt/Day) Growth Rate (%)

Petroleum Consumption in the Land Transport Growth Rate (%)GasolineDieselLPGNGVTotal * * Preliminary data Million Lt/Day of crude oil equivalent Gasoline Diesel LPG NGV 8% 4% 59% 29% Share

Natural Gas Consumption by Sector Growth Rate (%)Power Generation Gas Separation Plant IndustryNGVTOTAL* * * Preliminary data MMSCFD Power Gen. GSP Industry NGV 4% 17% 67% Share 12%

Power Demand in 2010 Overall DemandQ1Q2Q3Q4*Total* Demand Volume (GWh) 35,87838,34837,94135,557147,724 Growth Rate (%) * Preliminary data

Forecast of Primary Commercial Energy Demand p2011f Demand1,5451,6041,618 1,6631,7851,860 Oil Natural Gas Lignite/Coal Hydro/Imported Elec Growth Rate (%) Demand Oil Natural Gas Lignite/Coal Hydro/Imported Elec Unit: KBD of crude oil equivalent p: Preliminary data f : Forecast data

Product Type p2011f Growth Rate (%) p2011f Gasoline 7,215 7,3377,1217,5257,438 7, Diesel 18,37118,71017,64318,46518,538 18, Jet Petroleum + Kerosene 4,538 4,9504,6524,4314,738 4, Fuel Oil 5,851 4,2223,2872,7312,725 2, LPG* 5,074 5,812 6,828 6,8947,674 7, Total41,05041,030 39,531 40,06441,113 42, Forecast of Petroleum Product Demand Unit: Million Litres * Excluding LPG use as feedstock in the petrochemical industry p: Preliminary data f : Forecast data

Forecast of LPG Consumption, Production and Import p2011f - Consumption3,5184,1164,788 5,2086,0017,010 Household1,7211,8842,124 2,2312,4332,616 Industry Automobile Petrochemical Feedstock ,2891,6512,556 Own Use Production4,1674,4694,8035,217 3,6015,534 - Import ,2921,476 Growth Rate (%) - Consumption Household Industry Automobile Petrochemical feedstock Own Use Unit: Thousand Tons p: Preliminary data f : Forecast data

Forecast of Natural Gas Demand, by Sector Unit: MMSCFD Remarks: Heating Value: 1 cubic foot = 1,000 BTU Sector p2011f Growth Rate (%) p2011f Power Gen. 2,2572,3462,4232,435 2,7172, GSP Industry NGV Total 3,0863,2883,4443,564 4,0864, p: Preliminary data f : Forecast data