─ xbma ─ Cross-Border M&A Data Points Beijing, June 12-13, 2008
─ xbma ─ 2 Global M&A Volume: Steady growth of global M&A volume from 2003 (under US$2 trillion) through mid-2007 (US$5.1 trillion), fueled by the availability of vast amounts of cheap debt, growing pools of investment capital across the globe, and confidence in the markets. US$5.1 trillion M&A volume in 2007 represented a new high water mark, beating prior high watermark of US$4.3 trillion in Generally three- to four-year cycles historically. Source: Dealogic Thomson $4.3T $5.1T $1.5T
─ xbma ─ 3 Global M&A and XB M&A Volume: Steady increase in the volume of global M&A that involves cross-border transactions Record 46% of 2007 activity was cross- border, and the trend is likely to accelerate. 46% 54% 65% 35% 67% 33% $3T $4.3T $5.1T Source: Thomson
─ xbma ─ 4 Global M&A: Current Conditions 46% 54% 65% 35% 67% 33% $3T $4.3T $5.1T *2008 figures projected based on 2008 Q1 and estimated Q2 data Est. $3T? Source: Thomson Sub-prime and credit crises of mid-2007 marked the beginning of a down-cycle – 2008 YTD volume down significantly Key determining factors for activity in the second half of 2008 are likely to be: Restoration of liquidity; re-emergence of private equity deals Restoration of confidence in the markets; acceleration of strategic deals Acquisition activity from China, India and oil-rich countries (including the growing SWFs) ~47% ~53%
─ xbma ─ 5 M&A Volume by Target’s Region – 2007 Breakdown of $5.1 Trillion of 2007 Transactions M&A markets in North America and Western Europe are significantly more developed and liquid than those of the rest of the world 80% of global M&A occurred in North America and Western Europe (which represent 60% of the world’s GDP) 12% of global M&A occurred in Asia (which represents 22% of the world’s GDP) But the M&A volume involving China, India and oil-rich countries (including SWFs) is growing fast Source: Thomson
─ xbma ─ 6 Global M&A by Industry – 2007 Cross-border M&A proportionately exceeded total global M&A in the Materials and Financials sectors, consistent with developing economies’ needs for natural resources and recent investment opportunities in the troubled financial sector Source: Thomson
─ xbma ─ 7 Asia-Pacific (ex-Japan): M&A Volume – %41% 60% 59% $267B $427B $533B Source: Thomson Steady increase in volume throughout the region – US$533B of domestic and inbound M&A in China accounts for a growing component of the total, representing about US$20B of the 2006 total and about US$30B of the 2007 total. † Asia-Pacific (ex-Japan) region includes India
─ xbma ─ 8 China Inbound and Outbound M&A and Investment, by Industry – 2007 Chinese investors and acquirers have been most active in outbound investments/acquisitions in the financial, mining and oil sectors. The trend of buying natural resources offshore is continuing in 2008, with more than $21B worth of transactions in those sectors already announced in 2008 YTD Inbound investments highest in financial and real estate sectors Source: Thomson
─ xbma ─ 9 China Outbound M&A – M&A outflow from China is rising fast – already at $32.1B from 102 deals so far in 2008, and already eclipsing full-year 2007 volume Deal size is growing fast -- the average deal size in 2008 is $383M, more than double the full year 2007 average of $187M Chinese activity in 2008 represents 45% of all outbound M&A activity in the Asia (ex-Japan) region so far this year, compared to 16% in 2007 YTD Source: Dealogic US$32.1B YTD *Excludes certain minority investments
─ xbma ─ 10 China Inbound M&A – Source: Dealogic US$6.5B YTD China inbound activity rose through 2007, but would appear to be at a lower pace so far in 2008, perhaps reflecting the downturn in the West. $18.3B $25.1B
─ xbma ─ 11 China Outbound M&A – Over the last two years, the US and UK have received the highest amounts of Chinese investment. The UK’s significant showing in 2008 results largely from the Rio Tinto investment by CHALCO Source: Thomson Dealogic
─ xbma ─ 12 Asia-Pacific: Top Announced Cross-Border Deals – DateTarget CompanyTarget IndustryForeign Investor Value of Deal (US$mil) 2/23/2006KT&G Corp Tobacco Products Steel Partners II, L.P. & Icahn Partners LP et al. 8, /3/2007Korea Exchange BankCommerical BankingHSBC Holdings PLC6, /24/2006 Advanced Semiconductor Electronic Equipment The Carlyle Group et al.5, /21/2006 Hutchison Port Holdings Ltd Transportation & Shipping (except air) PSA Corp Ltd4, /27/2006ICBC Commercial Banking Allianz Group et al.3, /2/2007 Perfect Field Investment Inc Electronic Equipment Rowsley Ltd3, /11/2006 Mirant Corp- Generating Electric/Gas/Water Distribution The Tokyo Electric Power Company et al. 3, /10/2005Korea First Bank Commercial Banking Standard Chartered PLC 3, /18/2005Bank of China Ltd Commercial Banking RBS et al.3, /16/2006 Guangdong Development Bank Commercial Banking Citigroup et al.3,100.0 Source: Thomson
─ xbma ─ 13 China: Top Announced Inbound Cross-Border Deals – 2007 DateTarget Company Target Industry Foreign Investor Value of Deal (US$mil) 5/2/2007Perfect Field Investment IncHigh TechnologyRowsley Ltd3, /2/2007China Eastern Airlines CorpIndustrialsTemasek et al /6/2007 Kerry (Shenyang) Real Estate Development Co Ltd Real Estate Allgreen Properties Ltd /10/2007China National Chemical CorpMaterials Blackstone Group LP /10/2007City Centre Development PhasesReal Estate China Real Estate Opp /25/2007China Fortune Securities Co LtdFinancialsMorgan Stanley /28/2007 Guangzhou Hengda Industrial Group Co FinancialsInvestor Group /13/2007C-BONS Hair Care Consumer Staples Beiersdorf AG /12/2007Shenzhen ExcelStor LtdHigh TechnologyIomega Corp323.1 Source: Thomson
─ xbma ─ 14 China: Top Announced Outbound Cross-Border Deals – DateTarget Company Target Industry Foreign Investor Value of Deal (US$mil) 2/1/2008Rio Tinto PLCMaterialsCHALCO14, /25/2007 Standard Bank Group Ltd FinancialsICBC5, /19/2007Morgan StanleyFinancialsChina Investment Corp5, /1/2007Nufarm LtdMaterialsChemChina et al.3, /20/2007 Blackstone Group LP Financials China State Investment Corp 3, /23/2007Barclays PLCFinancialsChina Development Bank2, /28/2007Fortis Group NVFinancials Ping An Insurance Company of China 2, /7/2007Midwest Corp LtdMaterialsSinosteel Corp1,245.7 Source: Thomson
─ xbma ─ 15 Sovereign Wealth Fund Assets SWFs manage approximately US$3 trillion in assets, including:
─ xbma ─ 16 Universe of Investable Assets (Total US$72 Trillion) Source: The Economist