Demographic impacts on elderly support Guo Zhigang Department of Sociology, Peking University, , China

Change in mean size of household

Decomposing the Change of mean size of household Population by Age (%) :  MS= = 0.45,  MC= = 0.38 (85.5%) :  MS= = 0.52,  MC= = 0.31 (59.4%) Mean Size of FHH (persons)

Population by age by HH type 2-generation 3-generation Couple Single

Percent of the elderly(65+) not living with offsprings YearMaleFemaleAll

The elderly and the Family in China

Figure 4 Inter-generational net wealth flow by residence and age group: 1992

Map by fertility policy

Implications by fertlility policy Table 8 Population Distribution by Policy Implemented 1 Child1.5 Children2 Children3 Children 35.4 % 53.6 % 9.7 % 1.3 % Table 9 Distribution of Couples according to Fertility Policies 1 Child2 Children3 Children 63.1 % 35.6 % 1.3 %

Fertility by the policies Table 10 Average Policy Fertility Level RegionWeighted Revised TFR National1.465 East1.385 Central1.472 West1.560 West Note: West 2 stands for the calculation for the west region without Chongqin municipality and Sichuan province, where one child policy is implemented.

Population Ageing Table 11 China ’ s population age structure Year Population aged 0-14 (%) Population aged (%) Population aged 65 and over (%) Dependency ratio of children Dependency ratio of the aged Total dependency ratio

Only Child % in future under the policy

Future Marriage Probability under the policy