Mary Ross, P.E./Myung Sung

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3 Lower Atlantic Regular Gas Price HIGH: $4.03- July 2008 LOW: $1.60- Dec 2008

4 Auto Operating Cost Variable Cost per Mile (In Cents) Cost % Change (2004 to 2008) Gas % Maintenance % Tires % Average Total Variable Cost %

5 Average Auto Operating Cost Average Variable Cost per Mile (In Cents)

6 Impact Studies Tampa Bay Area Regional Planning Authority (TBARTA) Express Bus Survey in Hillsborough County and Pinellas County, FL South Florida Regional Transportation Authority (SFRTA) Tri-Rail Survey in Palm Beach County, Broward County, and Miami-Dade County, FL

7 TBARTA- Express Bus Trends HART Ridership Fiscal Year % Increase Ridership184,678271, % Revenue Hours21,94119, %

8 TBARTA Express Bus Survey Methodology Hillsborough Area Regional Transit Authority Express Buses in Hillsborough County and Pinellas County Conducted: June 24/25/26, 2008 Surveys Distributed: 904 Return Rate: 88%

9 TBARTA Express Bus Survey Instrument Trip Origin? Access Mode? Zip Code? Household Info? Driver’s License? # Cars/Household? Car Availability? Income? Destination? Egress Mode? Off-Stop? Trip Frequency? Public Transit use Frequency?

10 TBARTA Express Bus Survey Results Express Bus Work Trips Non- Work Trips Total Less Than 6 Months Six Months or More but Less Than Two Years Over Two Years TOTAL

11 TBARTA Express Bus Survey Results Work TripNon-Work TripTotal Park and Ride Kiss and Ride Other Park and Ride Kiss and Ride Other Park and Ride Kiss and Ride Other Less Than 6 Months Six Months or More but Less Than 2 Years Over Two Years TOTAL

12 SFRTA- Tri-Rail Trends Tri-Rail Ridership Fiscal Year % Increase Ridership2,821,3293,859, % Revenue Hours56,52376, %

13 SFRTA Tri-Rail Survey Methodology FEC Miami-Dade Tri-Rail in Broward County, Palm Beach County, and Miami-Dade County, FL Conducted: Wednesday, October 22, 2008 Surveys Distributed: 8403 Return Rate: 73%

14 SFRTA Tri-Rail Survey Instrument Trip Origin? Access Mode? Zip Code? Gender?AgeRace?Education? Household Info? Driver’s License? Income? Number of Cars? Car Availability? Train Stop? Egress Mode? Destination? Number of Trips Today? Public Transit Use Frequency? Trip Frequency?

15 SFRTA Tri-Rail Survey Results Tri-Rail Work Trips Non-Work Trips Total Less Than 6 Months3,2871,6514,938 Six Months or More but Less Than Two Years 3,5891,2204,809 Over Two Years3,2241,5294,753 TOTAL10,1004,40014,500

16 SFRTA Tri-Rail Survey Results Work TripNon-Work TripTotal Park and Ride Kiss and Ride Other Park and Ride Kiss and Ride Other Park and Ride Kiss and Ride Other Less Than 6 Months 1, ,3731,1421,424 Six Months or More but Less Than 2 Years 2, , ,354 Over Two Years 1, ,3711,1151,268 TOTAL 5,8361,5592,7061,4851,5731,3427,3223,1334,046

17 Mode Choice Sensitivity: Automobile Operating Costs

18 Peak of Gas Prices – August Million More Transit Trips than Previous Year Nationwide Total Highest Number of Transit Trips Taken in 50 Years Source: Light Rail Now Project Team, August 2008

19 Falling Gas Prices – December 2008 Over 2.8 Billion Transit Trips in 3 rd Quarter 6.5% Increase from 2007 Largest Increase in 25 Years “The fact that public transit ridership surged while gas prices and highway travel declined, shows a growing demand for more bus and rail services.” Source: Philadelphia Business Journal, December 8, 2008

20 Current Gas Prices – March 2009 Public Transit at Highest Level in 52 Years 10.7 Billion Trips in 2008 (4% Increase from 2007) “Despite job loses and falling gasoline prices, record numbers of Americans rode subways, buses and commuter rail last year...” Source: The Washington Post, March 9, 2009

21 Impact of Gas Price Shifts Shifts to choices other than transit: Fuel-Efficient Vehicles Fuel-Efficient Vehicles Fewer or Shorter Trips Fewer or Shorter Trips Trip Chaining Trip Chaining Telecommuting Telecommuting 4-Day Work Weeks 4-Day Work Weeks Others Others

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23 Questions or Comments?