Climate Change Impacts in the United States Third National Climate Assessment [Name] [Date] Energy

Energy Supply and Use Convening Lead Authors – Jan Dell, ConocoPhillips – Susan Tierney, Analysis Group Consultants Lead Authors – Guido Franco, California Energy Commission – Richard G. Newell, Duke University – Rich Richels, Electric Power Research Institute – John Weyant, Stanford University – Thomas J. Wilbanks, Oak Ridge National Laboratory

Disruptions from Extreme Weather Extreme weather events are affecting energy production and delivery facilities, causing supply disruptions of varying lengths and magnitudes and affecting other infrastructure that depends on energy supply. The frequency and intensity of certain types of extreme weather events are expected to change.

Paths of Hurricanes Katrina and Rita Relative to Oil and Gas Production Facilities Figure source: U.S. Government Accountability Office 2006

Climate Change and Seasonal Energy Demands Higher summer temperatures will increase electricity use, causing higher summer peak loads, while warmer winters will decrease energy demands for heating. Net electricity use is projected to increase.

Increase in Cooling Demand and Decrease in Heating Demand Data from NOAA NCDC 2012

Increasing Numbers of Cooling Degree Days Figure source: NOAA NCDC / CICS-NC

Implications of Less Water for Energy Production Changes in water availability, both episodic and long-lasting, will constrain different forms of energy production.

Projected Changes in Seasonal Precipitation Figure source: NOAA NCDC / CICS-NC

Sea Level Rise and Infrastructure Damage In the longer term, sea level rise, extreme storm surge events, and high tides will affect coastal facilities and infrastructure on which many energy systems, markets, and consumers depend.

California Power Plants Potentially at Risk from Sea Level Rise Figure source: Sathaye et al. 2011

Future Energy Systems As new investments in energy technologies occur, future energy systems will differ from today’s in uncertain ways. Depending on the character of changes in the energy mix, climate change will introduce new risks as well as opportunities.

Climate Change Impacts in the United States Third National Climate facebook.com/usgcrp #NCA2014 [Name & Contact Info]