For our Environment „Energiewende“ Energy for the Future ! Dr. Harry Lehmann Federal Environmental Agency – Germany
Harry Lehmann – UBA – - May Energiewende – the first 35 Years Sources: Öko Institut; BMU; Rocky Mountain Institute; Wuppertal Institut; „Growian“ von Uli Harder; H.Lehmann 1973 – Oil Crisis Since 2000 Phase Out Starting with REN
Share of RES in electricity consumption percentage until 2025 Source Yearly Monitoring Report – Data Status: 08/2014 StromEinspG EEG – FIT
Harry Lehmann – UBA – - Feb Wind turbines today are 40 times as powerful than 20 years ago
Harry Lehmann – UBA – - Feb Wind and PV are cheaper than other decarbonisation Options
Reduction of energy consumption in buildings – building codes Harry Lehmann – UBA – - Feb. 2015
goal: minus 20% Data status: 08/2014 Reduction of primary energy demand Harry Lehmann – UBA – - Feb. 2015
Jobs - industry with future
Harry Lehmann – UBA – - Feb The prices for electricity on the wholesale market have not been rising, but are falling steadily Price of a 2014 baseload future at the EEX Price of a 2014 Peakload future at the EEX March 15, 2011: Decision to shut down 8 nuclear power plants
Harry Lehmann – UBA – - Feb Development of electricity cost for households
Harry Lehmann – UBA – - Feb Development of electricity cost for industry
Harry Lehmann – UBA – - Feb Energiewende – second halftime Sources: BMU; H. Lehmann;
Harry Lehmann – UBA – - Feb Goals of energy and climate policy Timeline 2050; All relevant sectors; Specific Goals, over 100 specific Measures, Funding Climate Renewable Energies Efficiency GHG (vs. 1990) Electric power Total share Primary energy Energy productivity Modernising buildings %35%18%- 20% increase to 2,1% / a double rate 1% -> 2% %50%30% %65%45% %80%60% - 50%
Harry Lehmann – UBA – - Feb „Energiewende“ TODAY A triple approach measures in three areas Renewable energy sources : Rapid, continuous expansion Cost-efficient and environmentally friendly Future grids: Flexible and powerful Integration of electricity from renewable sources Efficiency: Reduce energy consumption Ensure efficiency
Harry Lehmann – UBA – - Feb Energiewende future – GHG Neutral Germany UBA THGND 2050 Emissionen in Mio.t CO 2Äq Approach by a systemical and holistic analysis and scenarios t/cap ElectricityIndustryWasteTransport Heating Cooling Land UseAgriculture
Germany is not suffering economically due to the Energiewende GDP growth / renewables
Energiewende is a chance for Germany The Energiewende … … Ensures Germany‘s climate protection aims … Creates jobs … Leads to sustainable growth with national added value … Is our chance to pioneer and advance on the path to a sustainable modern world. Harry Lehmann – UBA – - Feb. 2015