Main components of monitoring and forecasting in Arctic and sub-Arctic regions Modelling and Forecasting capacity From MERSEA IP to the Marine Core Service Arctic GOOS meeting Bergen 12 & 13 September 2006 GMES P.Bahurel, MERCATOR OCEAN, on behalf of the MERSEA IP group

Outlines n A project, MERSEA IP n A service, the Marine Core Service (MCS) n Link with Arctic GOOS

Background n The ocean & ice modelling community n An integrated approach : data (space & in situ), modelling and assimilation n GOOS and EuroGOOS n European projects and national initiatives n The GODAE international experiment: … n The European GMES program : n The MERSEA Projects (EC) : –MERSEA Strand 1 : –MERSEA Integrated Project :

R&D Monitoring & Forecasting The MERSEA Integrated Project A GMES/EC project

MERSEA Integrated Project Key messages n MERSEA IP has developed the first European Integrated System for ocean global & regional ocean monitoring & forecasting –One single integrated system, with different components –Version 1 is running n MERSEA IP priority is a « European (inter-national) added-value » for ocean applications and users n The Arctic region is a key area of implementation

The MERSEA Integrated Project n R&D project funded under 6th FP of the European Commission n 4-year project (2004 –2008) n 38 contractors, 16 countries (or Int. Org.) n Coordination : IFREMER, France ; Y.Desaubies Development of a European system for operational monitoring and forecasting of the ocean physics, biogeochemistry, and ecosystems, on global and regional scales

MERSEA IP scope n Ocean physics (ice incl.), biogeochemistry and ecosystems n A global system, with regional enhancements in European seas n To elaborate reference datasets based on observations and/or model n Useful to a wide range of applications –Coastal to Climate –Research to Operational –Institutional and commercial n A group of experienced teams connected to –Operational centres –Observation (sapce & in situ) agencies –Downstream applications –Research community –International networks (GOOS, EuroGOOS, …)

Seeking for European Integration Topaz, No Foam, UK DMI, Dk MFS, It Mercator, Fr

One single « Integrated System »

A « system of systems » 3 Observation Data Components 5 Model Data Components

Area I : Global Ocean Area II : North East Atlantic Area III : Arctic Area IV : Baltic Sea Area V : Mediterranean Sea

viewing … Surface Temperature (Global Ocean, model forecast)

viewing … Ocean Color (Global Ocean, observation)

viewing … In Situ Observation Locations (Global Ocean, Observations)

viewing … 100 m Depth Salinity (Global Ocean, model forecast)

viewing … 100 m Depth Salinity (zooms in the Global Ocean, model forecast)

Area 1 Global Area 2 North East Atlantic Area 3 Arctic Area 4 Baltic

Observations Model viewing … North East Atlantic (different fields, model & observations)

Operational Monitoring & Forecasting The Marine Core Service The GMES Ocean Fast-track service GMES

Marine Core Service (MCS) Key messages n Transition to a European “Marine Core Service” is now doable, requested by users, and decided by GMES stakeholders. n The focus is –the delivery on an operational basis, –at global and regional scales, –of the reference ocean & ice information –requested by marine and ocean-linked applications to develop their activities n The GMES target is n The MERSEA team is committed to turn towards this objective. The first version of the MCS is available on a demonstration basis. n Connections with Arctic providers, experts, service providers, and users have now to be reinforced. NERSC is the coordinator.

Satellite and in situ networks Marine Core Service Marine Core Service Marine Downstream Services Marine Downstream Services GMES Marine Operational Users GMES Service outputs (others) Core information (ocean state) User customized information (user products) GMES input information (raw data) MCS The GMES stakeholders definition From : Workshop on GMES Marine Core Service ; Brussels – October 27-28, 2005

Downstream areas of benefit n “The MCS will provide the common denominator data for all users in the marine sector, in other words the information for existing & new downstream services.” n Climate n Marine Environment n Seasonal and weather forecasting n Offshore n Maritime transport and safety n Fisheries n Research n General Public

Downstream: areas of benefit n “The MCS will provide the common denominator data for all users in the marine sector, in other words the information for existing & new downstream services.” n Climate n Marine Environment n Seasonal and weather forecasting n Offshore n Maritime transport and safety n Fisheries n Research n General Public A downstream application (oil spill drift, during Prestige accident) run by Met.No (courtesy B.Hackett)

Core Service: Service Lines n “The MCS should deliver regular and systematic reference information (processed data, elaborated products) on the state of the oceans and regional seas: at the resolution required by intermediate users & downstream service providers, of known quality and accuracy, for the global and European regional seas.”. n Operational Production of Ocean Core Data –T,S, UV, SSH, ice, Chl-a n Dissemination of Products –Standard and easy access to users n Assessment and expertise –Quality and human expertise n Tools dev. & maintenance –Model, assimilation, data handling n Coordination with research –Ensure links operational/research

Core Service: Service Lines n “The MCS should deliver regular and systematic reference information (processed data, elaborated model products) on the state of the oceans and regional seas: at the resolution required by intermediate users & downstream service providers, of known quality and accuracy, for the global and European regional seas.”. n Operational Production of Ocean Core Data –T,S, UV, SSH, ice, Chl-a n Dissemination of Products –Standard and easy access to users n Assessment and expertise –Quality and human expertise n Tools dev. & maintenance –Model, assimilation, data handling n Coordination with research –Ensure links operational/research

Core Service: Service Lines n Assessment, a range of international metrics XBT linesMOORINGS GLOSS TAO PIRATA Model/Tide gauge SLA time series comparison SOOP MFS MODEL T XBT Observed T MODEL/OBS comparison WOCE CLIVAR CANADIAN SECTIONS MODEL/WOCE-CLIVAR SECTION VOLUME TRANSPORT across FLORIDA Strait : MODEL/CABLE Comparison SECTIONS and TRANSPORT

Core Service: Service Lines n Assessment, a range of international metrics Class 1 Arctic sea ice extent Class 2 Arctic Moorings Class 2 Arctic Sections Coll. NERSC/Mercator

Conclusion The MCS and Arctic GOOS GMES

The MCS and Arctic GOOS n The Arctic GOOS and the GMES Marine Core Service are complementary inititiatives –MCS is focussed on the operational delivery of a reference and “core” information, for the benefit of all Arctic GOOS partners to develop their expertise and activities –Arctic GOOS provides a unique network of experts, scientists and data/service providers in the Arctic region, to contribute to and add value to the MCS. n MCS and Arctic GOOS (IPY) timescales fit perfectly. n We have an excellent opportunity to build an exemplary situation, for the benefit of all international users. n The precise definition of the MCS service for the Arctic region is our priority. –See S.Sandven and J.Johannessen talks.