Southeast-ACF Drought Early Warning Information System Development Workshop Apalachicola River & Bay 27 April 2010 WFO Drought Products Joel Lanier (Senior.

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Presentation transcript:

Southeast-ACF Drought Early Warning Information System Development Workshop Apalachicola River & Bay 27 April 2010 WFO Drought Products Joel Lanier (Senior Service Hydrologist)

Our Motto: “We are ready for anything, and our customers know it” Our Goal: To be the “go to” source for climate and weather information all of our customers and partners routine and high impact needs

Operational Staff: 5 Lead Forecasters 5 Journeyman Forecasters 5 HMTs/Interns 3 SCEPs

NWS WFOs

SSH Counties Serviced TAE / JAX / TBW / KEY –Alabama 5 ( 5/ 0/ 0/ 0) –Florida 34 (17/15/ 1/ 1) –Georgia40 (26/14/ 0/ 0) Total 78 Counties – 3 State Area Total of 5 WFOs - Florida

Hydrologic Services WFO Jacksonville (14/28) WFO Tallahassee (33/65) Total (47 / 93)

NWS Tallahassee County Warning and Forecast Area

WFO Drought Topics What Product does the WFO Produce Process used to Assess Drought Products used to Assess Drought WFO / RFC Duties Ways NIDIS can help

WFO Drought Product Synopsis Summary of Impacts Climate Summary Precipitation / Temperature Outlook Hydrologic Summary and Outlook

2-Wk Soil Moisture Constructed Analogue Soil Model Medium-Range Fcst Palmer 4-mo Probabilities CPC Long-Lead Precip. Outlook Principal Drought Outlook Inputs Short-Range Fcst Verdi-Pulwarty

Synopsis

Summary of Impacts State and Local Mitigation Soil moisture / Ground Water Agricultural Fire Current water restrictions Other impacts (navigation, environmental, etc.)

State and Local Actions Internet Research - News Water Agencies –NWFWMD –SRWMD –SJRWMD –FDEP –GA EPD –AL (Locally Managed)

Soil Moisture / Ground Water USGS Water Watch (AL, FL, GA) Comparison to previous droughts Long period surface flows Long period well depths Rainfall accumulations Soil Moisture Charts

Floridian Aquifer

Well 08K001 – Early County Latitude 31°22'38", Longitude 84°39'17" NAD27 Early County, Georgia, Hydrologic Unit Well depth: 125 feet Hole depth: 125 feet Land surface altitude: 230 feet above sea level NGVD29. Well completed in "Floridan aquifer system" (S400FLORDN) national aquifer. Well completed in "Upper Floridan Aquifer" (120FLRDU) local aquifer

Soil Moisture

Agriculture Phone Contacts with County Extension Phone contact with Agriculture Officials Review of latest Ag Bulletins

Fire Impacts Review of current Fire conditions and on going fires KBDI Index (National and State levels)

Current Water Restrictions Internet Research - News Water Agencies –NWFWMD –SRWMD –SJRWMD –FDEP –GA EPD –AL (Locally Managed) –Local Water Authorities

Floridian Aquifer

Floridian Aquifer Cross Section

Other Impacts (Navigation etc.) Future considerations –Fisheries –Navigation –Environment?

Climate Summary

Precipitation / Temperature Outlook

Hydrologic Summary & Outlook USGS Water Watch (AL, FL, GA) Comparison to previous droughts Long period surface flows Long period well depths Rainfall accumulations River conditions Flow Statistics

Hydrologic Comparisons Chipola River near Altha, FLA

Drought Products Issued 2005 – – – – – – 0 Total - 64

RFC Water Resource Forecasting

NWS Drought Links

What is needed from NIDIS Need County Specific Drought Information Single Source: State Climatology? Maps –Agriculture conditions –Crops and Hay –Water supply conditions (Sfc and Ground) –Soil Moisture –Fire conditions –Drought Declarations and Water Restrictions

Drought - Positives Deadheading Cypress Logs Economic Activity Photos Courtesy of: Bryan Loveless (

Mar 2005

Mar 2006

Mar 2007

Mar 2008

Aug 2008 (Fay)

Mar 2009

Mar 2010

2005 Total Departure

2006 Total Departure

2007 Total Departure

2008 Total Departure

Jan 2009

Mar 2009

Apr 2009

2009 Total Departure

Greetings from the best location and the best staff in the NWS