San Diego Regional Economic Prosperity Strategy Transportation: Helping Address the Three E’s

2 Prosperity Strategy Identifies Three Major Challenges  Quality of job growth  Widening wage gap  High cost of living

3 Economy Has Created 8 Times More Low than High Paying Jobs Unbalanced Job Growth Affects Distribution of Wages Growth Compensation Category / Median Wage ($2004) Compensation Category / Median Wage ($2004) Average Salary Increase Average Salary Increase($2004) Real Salary Growth Real Salary Growth’90-’04 Job Growth Job Growth Highest Paying Jobs (Top 1/3) / $79,800$19, %20,280 Mid Level Paying Jobs (Middle 1/3) / $51,000$8, %57,310 Low Level Paying Jobs (Lowest 1/3) / $24,500$2,0008.9%158,400

4 We Are Falling Behind the State and Nation Growth in Real Per Capita Income Not Keeping Pace 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% United States California San Diego

5 Which Jobs Influence Economic Growth Most?  Export Oriented  Unconstrained Market Potential

6 16 Traded Employment Clusters Drive Our Economy  Biomedical Products  Biotechnology  Communications  Computer Electronics  Defense & Transportation  Design Services  Entertainment  Environmental Technology  Financial Services  Fruits & Vegetables  Horticulture  Publishing Services  Recreational Goods  Software  Specialty Foods  Travel and Hospitality

7 Proportion of Jobs in Each “Driving” Employment Cluster-2005 (Traded Clusters Set the Pace of Economic Growth) Biotechnology & Pharmaceuticals 7% Defense 6% Computer & Electronics 5% Other Clusters 19% Other Jobs Communications 8% Financial Services 11% Travel & Hospitality 11% Entertainment & Amusement 33% Clusters Traded Employment 26%

8 Low Paying “Driving” Cluster Industries (Clusters with Average Wage Less than Region’s, $2004)

9 High Paying “Driving” Cluster Industries (Clusters with Average Wage Greater than Region’s, $2004)

Estimating Economic Impacts of Border Wait Times in the San Diego-Baja California Region January 2008

11 Binational Trade & Freight Facts 9% of U.S.- Mexico trade value crosses at Otay Mesa and Tecate. #1 Mexico is the United States’ third largest trading partner. #3

12 Binational Trade & Freight Facts Mexico is California’s number one export market. #2 #1 #3 The Otay Mesa Port of Entry (POE) is the third ranking POE in trade dollar value between the U.S. and Mexico. Otay Mesa POE

13 Value of Trade Passing Through SD POE’s Rising Faster than GRP Northbound Truck Crossings Otay Mesa & Tecate POEs Number of Trucks (thousands) Two-Way Trade (in $millions)

14 San Ysidro San Diego-Baja California POEs: Current Conditions

15 Cross-Border Personal Travel Impact CategoryTotal Annual Impact (2007) Output (millions of U.S. dollars) Labor Income (millions of U.S. dollars) Employment (FTE jobs) -$2,989-$1,256-40,450 Combined Regional Economic Impacts (San Diego County & Baja California)

16 Otay Mesa Commercial POE Current Conditions

17 Economic Impacts due to Cross- Border Freight Delay Impact Category 2007 Total Annual Impact (U.S. $ in millions) California United States San Diego County Output Labor Income Employment (FTE jobs) -$ 539 -$ ,912 -$ 847 -$ ,323 -$ 1,487 -$ Mexico Baja California -$ 1,560 -$ ,207 -$ 2,451 -$ ,897

18 Lost Economic Benefits San Diego-Baja California Personal Travel and Freight Movements (2007) 51,570 Lost Jobs = 8.5 Qualcomm Companies 3 3 1/2 San Diego Convention Centers $5.1 Billion in Lost Output =

19 Projected Employment Impact of Border Delay Personal Travel and Freight Movements (2007) San Diego County & Baja California United States & Mexico , , ,000 Employment Loss -51, , , ,682

2030 Regional Transportation Plan: Pathways for the Future

21 A million new residents by 2030 A half million new jobs

22 Chula Vista to Sorrento Valley Travel Time Auto Current Without Investment Average Travel Time, Door-to-Door (In Minutes) With Investment

23 Chula Vista to Sorrento Valley Travel Time Current Without Investment Transit With Investment Average Travel Time, Door-to-Door (In Minutes)

24 Chula Vista to Sorrento Valley Travel Time Carpool Current 51 With Investment Average Travel Time, Door-to-Door (In Minutes) Without Investment

25 Chula Vista to Sorrento Valley Travel Time Current Without Investment With Investment Average Travel Time, Door-to-Door (In Minutes) All Modes (weighted average)

26 With Investment Additional Travel Time Improvements are Possible All Modes (weighted average) Current Without Investment Average Travel Time, Door-to-Door (In Minutes)

Environmental Mitigation Program 27 May 2005

28 Regional Habitat Preserve Planning Area with Mobility Network Environmental Mitigation Program 28

29 40 Year Expenditure Plan 29 Extension MajorHighway & TransitProjects(47) $4.65 LocalStreets & Roads $3.95 Transit Services $2.24 ( ( I I n n B B ill io n n s s,, D D o o l l l l a a r r s s ) ) N N e e w w B B R R T T / / R R a a i i l l O O p p e e r r a a t t n n s s $ $ A A d d m m i i n n i i s s t t r r a a t t n n $ $ B B i i k k e & P P e e d d e e s s t t r r i i a a n n $ $ Total Program $14 Billion

30 Environmental Mitigation Program Costs 30 Extension Total Program $850 Million Plus up to $30m in financing costs For advanced habitat acquisition ( ( In M M ill i i o o n n s s,, D D o o l l l l a a r r s s ) ) T T r r a a n n s s p p o o r r t t a a t t i i o o n n P P r r o o j j e e c c t t M M i i t t i i g g a a t t i i o o n n F F u u n n d d $ $ m Major Highway & TransitProject Mitigation $450 $150 $50 Local Transportation Project Mitigation $200 R R e e g g i i o o n n a a l l H H a a b b i i t t a a t t C C o o n n s s e e r r v v a a t t i i o o n n F F u u n n d d $ $ m

31 “Economic Benefit” based on:  Purchasing mitigation land in advance of need in larger blocks at a lower cost  Preventing Mitigation Ratio “Creep” Environmental Mitigation Program 31

32 Conservation Benefits:  Large-scale acquisition, restoration and management of critical habitat areas  Make good on conservation programs promises  Develop biological database make available to public Environmental Mitigation Program 32

33 Transportation Benefits:  Approach provides mitigation assurances for future transportation improvements  Reduces future mitigation costs and allows for accelerated project delivery  Transportation project mitigation consistent with habitat conservation plans Environmental Mitigation Program 33

San Diego Regional Economic Prosperity Strategy Transportation: Helping Address the Three E’s