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Presentation transcript:

Financial Architecture Fundamentals

Public Purpose National security National legal system Health care Education Public works

Optimal Resource Utilization Full employment Sustainable resource consumption Environmental protection

Fiscal Responsibility If the government doesn’t spend enough to satisfy the need to pay taxes and to net save the evidence is unemployment and excess capacity in general.

Proposal for Immediately Restoring Aggregate Demand A full payroll tax holiday where the Treasury makes all the contributions for employees and employers. $300 billion of PER CAPITA State revenue sharing. Federally funded $8/hr job for anyone willing and able to work that includes health care benefits.

Caveat! Restoring aggregate demand empowers OPEC to set ever higher crude oil prices unless US demand for motor fuel is at least cut in half. OPEC price hikes will again cause US real terms of trade and standard of living to deteriorate.

Automatic Stabilizers to the Rescue

Proposals for the Banking System The liability side of banking is not the place for market discipline. Therefore regulation is directed towards assets and capital.

Proposals for the Banking System Banks only originate to hold. Banks prohibited from secondary markets.

Proposals for the Banking System Banks mark to FDIC approved credit models. Banks prohibited from lending on financial assets. Prohibit banks from using LIBOR.

Proposals for the Banking System Use the FDIC as designed to take over and dispose of or otherwise modify banks it deems insolvent.

Proposals for the Fed Banks are the Fed’s designated agents Banks are public/private partnerships Banks are the appropriate instrument of monetary policy for targeting the risk adjusted term structure of interest rates.

Proposals for the Fed Unlimited unsecured lending to member banks The FDIC already insures bank deposits. Demanding collateral is disruptive. Eliminates the need for interbank markets. Sell credit default insurance on US Treasury securities

Proposals for the Fed Lend to member banks at zero, permanently. This minimizes cost pressures on output, including investment. It also minimizes rentier incomes, thereby encouraging higher labor force participation and increased real output.

Proposals for the Treasury Cease all issuance of Treasury securities. Cease all Treasury purchases of financial assets.

Trade and Energy Proposals Unilaterally drop all import restrictions. Exports are real costs, imports are real benefits. Implement a policy to immediately cut imported crude oil consumption in half.

Obamanations “The US has already run out of money.” The US must fix its credit markets to get the economy going. The US must not saddle the next generation with government debt. The Government can’t go it alone- it needs private capital The US needs China to buy its debt to facilitate deficit spending.