© BP 2005 Energy and Sustainability on Planet Earth by Mark Hope Special Advisor, Shell Exploration and Production Chairman, Woodend Arts Association An inhabitant of Planet Earth Y

© BP 2005 I am indebted to many different sources for the material in this presentation BUT all views expressed are mine alone Disclaimer No.1 Y

© BP 2005 “He who knows does not speak He who speaks does not know” Lao Tzu ca. 550 bce Disclaimer No. 2 Y

Energy and Sustainability on Planet Earth Where are we? - present supply & consumption - renewables & drivers for change - IPCC reports What needs to be different? - mindset - behaviours

© BP 2005 BP Statistical Review of World Energy Oil section

© BP 2005 BP Statistical Review of World Energy Proved oil reserves at end 2005

© BP 2005 BP Statistical Review of World Energy Distribution of proved (oil) reserves 1985, 1995, 2005

© BP 2005 BP Statistical Review of World Energy Oil reserves-to-production (R/P) ratios

© BP 2005 BP Statistical Review of World Energy Oil consumption by area

© BP 2005 BP Statistical Review of World Energy Oil consumption per capita

© BP 2005 BP Statistical Review of World Energy Major oil trade movements

© BP 2005 BP Statistical Review of World Energy Crude oil prices since 1861

© BP 2005 BP Statistical Review of World Energy Gas section

© BP 2005 BP Statistical Review of World Energy Proved natural gas reserves at end 2005

© BP 2005 BP Statistical Review of World Energy Distribution of proved (natural gas) reserves 1985, 1995, 2005

© BP 2005 BP Statistical Review of World Energy Natural gas reserves-to-production (R/P) ratios

© BP 2005 BP Statistical Review of World Energy Natural gas consumption by area

© BP 2005 BP Statistical Review of World Energy Natural gas consumption per capita

© BP 2005 BP Statistical Review of World Energy Coal section

© BP 2005 BP Statistical Review of World Energy Proved coal reserves at end 2005

© BP 2005 BP Statistical Review of World Energy Coal production - Coal consumption

A fossil fuel summary: There is no immediate threat of running out, but new supplies generally: - take massive investments, years in advance, - are often in unstable, inaccessible and/or environmentally sensitive places, remote from markets, - are increasingly energy-intensive to produce, and - generate CO2...

A fossil fuel summary: There is no immediate threat of running out, but new supplies generally: - take massive investments, years in advance, - are often in unstable, inaccessible and/or environmentally sensitive places, remote from markets, - are increasingly energy-intensive to produce, and - generate CO2... HOWEVER, we are seriously hooked on them

© BP 2005 BP Statistical Review of World Energy Nuclear energy section

© BP 2005 BP Statistical Review of World Energy Nuclear energy consumption by area

© BP 2005 BP Statistical Review of World Energy Hydroelectricity section

© BP 2005 BP Statistical Review of World Energy Hydroelectricity consumption by area

© BP 2005 BP Statistical Review of World Energy Primary energy section

© BP 2005 BP Statistical Review of World Energy World primary energy consumption

© BP 2005 BP Statistical Review of World Energy Regional primary energy consumption pattern 2005

© BP 2005 BP Statistical Review of World Energy Fossil fuel reserves-to-production (R/P) ratios at end 2005

© BP 2005 The stone age did not end because of a lack of stones... But remember... Y