Operational Intelligence Preparation of the Environment (OIPE) Briefing Vanuatu Tempest Express 27 Operational Intelligence Preparation of the Environment (OIPE) Brief: Vanuatu. 23-31 July 2015 Manila, Philippines

Agenda What is OIPE? OIPE for Vanuatu: Geography; Weather, Threats and Hazards; Political, Military, Economic, Social, Information, Infrastructure, Physical and Time (PMESII-PT); Actor and Stakeholder Analysis; Troop Contributing Country Military Resources; Humanitarian Situation. Agenda.

What is OIPE? OIPE: A continuous activity that assists Commander’s Appreciation Process during all phases of planning and execution of multinational operations. OIPE provides foundation for Commander’s Situational Assessment A key CTF planning principle is: “Before any problem solutions can be identified the problem must first be clearly understood. Understanding the problem(s) preventing attainment of the assigned military end states is essential for the CCTF to accurately understand the situation. OIPE is a modification of the Joint Intelligence Preparation of the Operational Environment (JIPOE) which includes: Baseline analysis of the traditional intelligence concerns of enemy, weather, terrain; Added considerations that political, military, economic, social, infrastructure, and information dynamics have on the operational environment. What is Operational Intelligence Preparation of the Environment – OIPE: A continuous activity that assists Commander’s Appreciation Process during all phases of planning and execution of multinational operations. OIPE provides foundation for Commander’s Situational Assessment A key multinational planning principle is: “Before any problem solutions can be identified the problem must first be clearly understood. Understanding the problem(s) preventing attainment of the assigned military end states is essential for the CMNF to accurately understand the situation. OIPE is a modification of the Joint Intelligence Preparation of the Operational Environment (JIPOE) which includes: Baseline analysis of the traditional intelligence concerns of enemy, weather, terrain; Added considerations that political, military, economic, social, infrastructure, and information dynamics have on the operational environment.

What is OIPE? This briefing will provide an overview of the OIPE for this workshop. A complete OIPE study is located in digital form on each laptop in your planning groups. This briefing will provide an overview of the OIPE for this workshop. A complete OIPE study is located in digital form on each laptop in your planning groups.

Vanuatu Vanuatu

Vanuatu within the Region

Vanuatu Geography & Demographics. Mountainous, volcanic island archipelago 82 islands, 65 inhabited. Sea level to 1,877 m (6,158 ft.) Land area: 12,189 km2 (4,705.4 sq. mi) Slightly smaller than Timor Leste. Population: 266,937 (July 2014 est.) 26% urbanization Largest town: Port Vila at 44,040 (2009 census)

Vanuatu Weather, Threats and Hazards Tropical, moderated by SE trade winds may to Oct. Temperatures: 20°-32° C (68°-90° F) Rainfall: 2,360mm (93 in.) / year Up to 4,000mm (160 in) / year in northern islands. Hazards: Tropical cyclones (Jan-April) Volcanism with minor earthquakes Tsunamis Landslides secondary to deforestation.

Vanuatu PMESII-PT Political: Constitutional, Parliamentary republic. Capital: Port Vila 6 provinces Executive: Prime Minister Moana Carcasses Kalosil Legislative: Unicameral Parliament 52 representatives. Disaster response agency: National Disaster Management Office, Ministry of the Internal Affairs. Judicial Courts: Court of Appeal Supreme Court Magistrate’s Courts Island Courts. Legal System: Mixture of English Common, French and Customary law.

Vanuatu PMESII-PT Military: None Security Forces: Vanuatu Mobile Force (VMF) Includes Police Maritime Wing (PMW) Vanuatu Police Force (VPF): 547 police officers (2009) 2 main police commands: Port Vila and Luganville 4 main police stations, 8 police posts (Many islands have no permanent police presence.) Maritime patrol asset: RVS Tukoro (Pacific-class patrol boat)

Vanuatu PMESII-PT Economic: Small-scale agriculture (65% of population), fishing, offshore financial services and tourism. Annual gross domestic product: US$ 1.27 billion (2013 est.) Annual GDP per capita: US$ 4,800 (2013 est.)

Vanuatu PMESII-PT Social: Population: 266,937 Age structure: 0-14 yrs 37.3% 15-24 yrs 19.8% 25-54 yrs 34.2% 55-64 yrs 3.7% 65+ yrs 3.6% Ethnicity: Ni-Vanuatu 97.6% Part Ni-Vanuatu 1.1% Other 1.3% Religion Protestant 70.0% Roman Catholic 12.4% Customary beliefs 3.7% Other 12.6% None 1.1% Languages Local languages 63.2% Bislama (official) 33.7% English (official) 2.0% French (official) 0.6%

Vanuatu PMESII-PT Information: Literacy rate: 83.2% Television: 1 state-owned station Multi-channel pay TV available Radio: 2 state-owned stations 2 privately owned stations Telephones: Main lines in use 5,800 (2012) Mobile phones in use: 137,000 (2012) Internet hosts: 5,655 (2012)

Vanuatu PMESII-PT Airports: 31 Paved runways: 3 2,438m to 3,047m 1 Unpaved runways 28 914m to 1,523m 7 Under 914m 21 Major seaports: Forari Bay Luganville (Santo, Espiritu Santo) Port Vila Roadways: 1,070 km Paved 256 km Unpaved 814 km

Vanuatu PMESII-PT Physical Distances from Port Vila to: Sydney, AUS 2,470 km Suva, FJI 1,072 km Tokyo, JPN 6,639 km Kuala Lumpur, MYS 7,660 km Noumea, NCL 539 km Auckland, NZL 2,211 km Honiara, SLB 1,289 km Bangkok, THA 8,220 km Funafuti, TUV 1,560 km Honolulu, HI, USA 5,680 km Time: + 11 hrs UTC (Same as Noumea)

Group 4 Scenario: Vanuatu Cyclone Response Cyclone Sophia 18 July – Cyclone Sophia generates near Tuvalu, builds strength as it turns south. 22 July – Cyclone Sophia passes over Vanuatu and Port Vila causing extensive damage. 23 July – Cyclone Sophia passes over New Caledonia causing minor damage. 23 July – Vanuatu consents to international assistance; damage to New Caledonia does not require international assistance. 24 July – MPAT Nations’ representatives convene in Nouméa, New Caledonia, to prepare a FRANZ-led course of action for international military support to the Government of Vanuatu disaster response operations. All MPAT Nations representatives are senior military representatives for their respective nations Port Vila Nouméa Cyclone Sophia generates near Tuvalu, strengthening as turns south. Cyclone passes over Vanuatu and Port Vila, causing extensive damage. Cyclone continues south, but weakening before passing over New Caledonia, causing minor damage Vanuatu has consented to international disaster response assistance. New Caledonia does not require international disaster response assistance. Group 4 shall develop a course of action for multinational military disaster response support to the Government of Vanuatu and other civilian responders in Vanuatu.

Vanuatu OIPE Brief – Questions?