IMCORE Project Update SEP Joint Advisory Committee May 2011

Progress Update: Key areas: – Education Pack & activities – Informing Adaptation on the Estuary Report cards Severn Estuary scenarios Planning survey – Adaptation guidelines

Education work Education pack (Beacons & IMCORE) – hard copies – Severn Estuary extended case study INTERACTIVE, WEB-BASED Education activities – Interactive workshops completed – Website development et/yocco/index.html et/yocco/index.html

Informing adaptation

Report cards Report cards for policy makers/ stakeholders – Cards on various themes (SLR; temperature, precipitation etc.) – Additional topic under development: weather & storms on the Severn Estuary – Considering repacking elements of cards on IMCORE / SEP website for easy access Other related work: – IMCORE support for State of Severn Estuary report – The Severn Estuary Climate Change Research Advisory Group (SECCRAG) options

Severn Estuary scenarios Views of the estuary in 2040 – Based on stakeholder Autumn workshops (Bristol & Cardiff) – Socio-economic exploratory scenarios i.e. ‘possible futures’ Scenarios developed post workshops – Disseminated to workshop delegates for comment – Review & validation ongoing By external Experts Cardiff University workshops – Social & physical scientists

Planning survey Focused on planning & climate change for Local Planning Authorities Built on IMCORE planning reports Over 40 respondents Identified key concerns & possible adaptation options for planning community

IMCORE Severn adaptation guidelines A guide to help local government around the estuary: – understand the likely effects of projected climate change during the 21st century – plan appropriate responses Focus on planning Tentative contents: Introduction Future climate change Summary of the science Climate change impacts Implications for key sectors Include scenarios Responding to the impacts of climate change Planning tools Linking planning to other relevant plans e.g. SMPII Ways forward Recommendations

Developing the guidelines: key aspects Workshops with key local authorities to identify key: – issues from each scenario – adaptation options for each issue Consultation – Workshop – Electronic consultation with scenario participants Launch at Severn Estuary Forum The Severn Process Exploratory Scenario issues Issues Matrix Local Authority Workshops CU Review of issues & adaptation options Draft Adaptation ‘strategy’ Workshop & Consultation Final Adaptation ‘strategy’ Planning Survey issues Guidelines review Science workstream outputs

Thank you! Rhoda