Northwest Power Conservation Council Natural Gas Advisory Committee June 16, 2011.

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Presentation transcript:

Northwest Power Conservation Council Natural Gas Advisory Committee June 16, 2011

1914 Willamette Falls Dr., #255 West Linn, OR (503) NWGA Members: Avista Corporation Cascade Natural Gas Co. Intermountain Gas Co. NW Natural Puget Sound Energy Spectra Energy Transmission FortisBC Energy, Inc. TransCanada’s GTN System Williams NW Pipeline

Recent Gas Demand

2008 Energy By Source 89% 48% 94% 108% 109% Source: NPCC

Demand Forecast

Base Case Forecast by Sector

Three Year Forecast Comparison

Decline in Projected Industrial Use

Demand Composition: 1996

Demand Composition

Shale Gas A Game Changer

1,006 2,439 80,930 Productivity Dramatically Improved Southwest Energy Fayetteville Shale 2,104 4, % % +142% $2.8 $2.6 +8% % 18, % Source: Southwestern Energy Financials Time To Drill (Days) Wells Per Yr Per Rig Average Lateral Length (Feet) 30 Day Ave. Prod Rate (Mcf/d) Init Prod Additions Per Rig Per Yr (Mcf/d) Drill & Complete Costs ($MM)

Price Affect

2007 WCSB Production Forecast

WCSB Production Forecast

BC Propping Up WCSB Bcfd Data Source: Navigant

Winter-long Capacity CTN: , Expected Demand

Winter-long Capacity CTN: , High Demand

2008 Peak Capacity I-5 Corridor

Current Peak Capacity I-5 Corridor

Capacity Projects 21 Pipelines Southern Crossing Expansion Palomar Sunstone Blue Bridge (reconfigured) Ruby Pacific Connector Pacific Trail Oregon LNG LNG Terminals Kitimat LNG (export) Bradwood Landing Oregon LNG Jordan Cove LNG Storage Facilities Mist Jackson Prairie Oregon LNG Bradwood Landing LNG Jordan Cove LNG Kitimat LNG

1914 Willamette Falls Dr., #255 West Linn, OR (503) NWGA Members: Avista Corporation Cascade Natural Gas Co. Intermountain Gas Co. NW Natural Puget Sound Energy Spectra Energy Transmission FortisBC Energy, Inc. TransCanada’s GTN System Williams NW Pipeline