Planning.Maryland.gov S UPPORTING S USTAINABLE G ROWTH AND C ONSERVATION WITH F OUR S TEP T RANSPORTATION M ODELS S UPPORTING S USTAINABLE G ROWTH AND.

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Presentation transcript:

Planning.Maryland.gov S UPPORTING S USTAINABLE G ROWTH AND C ONSERVATION WITH F OUR S TEP T RANSPORTATION M ODELS S UPPORTING S USTAINABLE G ROWTH AND C ONSERVATION WITH F OUR S TEP T RANSPORTATION M ODELS K EN C HOI, M ARYLAND D EPARTMENT OF P LANNING J OE T ASSONE, M ARYLAND D EPARTMENT OF P LANNING M ARK R ADOVIC, G ANNETT F LEMING, I NC. S UBRAT M AHAPATRA, M ARYLAND S TATE H IGHWAY A DMINISTRATION

Planning.Maryland.gov 19 th in population, 5.8m 2035, 1.0 m more residents, 700K jobs Planning Act of 1992, Smart Growth Act 1998, Priority Funding Areas (PFAs) SHA, Maryland State Transportation Model Application to support Sustainable Transportation Land Use objectives Maryland Context

Planning.Maryland.gov Concentrate most residential and commercial origins and destinations in PFAs Integrate land use/ transportation to increase non-SOV modes Reduce travel times, VMT, TLU footprints, and greenhouse gas emissions from mobile sources STLU Objectives

Comparative Land Use & Transportation Carbon Footprints, Atlanta & Barcelona

Planning.Maryland.gov Acres – how much land is occupied by residents and their employment destinations, Distance – how far residents travel to employment destinations Footprints = Residential Acres + [Employment Acres X Distance Multiplier] C OUNTY T RANSPORTATION / LAND USE FOOTPRINTS P ER 100 R ESIDENTS

Planning.Maryland.gov Average distance driven each day by jurisdiction To and from all origins and destinations within a jurisdiction Divided by the total number of jobs plus residents VMT PER C APITA

Planning.Maryland.gov

Increasingly segregated, isolated land uses Congestion, increased travel demand Highway creation, expansion Increased market access More segregated development More congestion Increased costs What Gives? Land Use/ Transportation Cycle

General Roadway Lane Mileages as the function of Population Growth

Infrastructure/ Cost Savings, Smart Growth vs. Trend, 2010 and ,000 Acres Less Residential Development 2,900 & 1,500 less Community & General lane miles. Cost Saving $29.4 Billion: $12 & $17 Billion less for Community & General road construction $253 & $130 Million less to maintain Community & General roads

Planning.Maryland.gov W HAT IF T RANSPORTATION & L AND U SE WERE I NTEGRATED ? B ALTIMORE C ITY AND C OUNTY, 2035

Planning.Maryland.gov R EDISTRIBUTION OF P ROJECTED N EW HH S IN 2035

Planning.Maryland.gov R EDISTRIBUTION OF P ROJECTED N EW J OBS IN 2035

Planning.Maryland.gov Forecast: 1.54m residents, 950K jobs TOD TAZs around rail stops: 244 of 710 TAZs (34%) New Red Line light rail 4.5 & 5.3% more of total city/county projected residents & jobs in TOD TAZs Result: 6.3% increase in projected total city/county transit ridership E FFECTS AT C ITY /C OUNTY S CALE B ALTIMORE C ITY AND C OUNTY, 2035

Planning.Maryland.gov Forecast: 2.99m residents, 1.84m jobs 2.3 & 2.7% more of regional residents & jobs in TOD TAZs in 2035 Results: 5.3% increase in total region transit ridership 5.2% reduction in VMT/ capita, pop’n that live or work in TOD TAZs E FFECTS AT R EGIONAL S CALE B ALTIMORE M ETRO R EGION

Planning.Maryland.gov S UMMARY F INDINGS Shift of 2.5% of Baltimore Region Jobs + Population from Non-TOD to TOD TAZs leads to 5.3% Increase in Transit Ridership. VMT/Capita reduced by 5.2% for TOD TAZ pop’ns in Baltimore City/ County Model limitations: e.g., no mode choice response to increased walk/bike access in TODs

Planning.Maryland.gov Integrated TLU mixed use/ transit development has significant potential to improve TLU relationship, support STLU objectives Future opportunity to explore better TLU scenarios (e.g. land use options, community design, transit services, service frequency, model enhancements, etc.) Conclusions