U.S. Property Market Update Mary Ludgin, PhD, Heitman Research September, 2007 There is a difference.
2 GDP Has Peaked
3 Job Numbers are Weak
4 Recession Risk Up – Rate Cut Enough?
5 Corporations Remain Profitable But…
6 Cap Rates Poised to Move Up a Little
7 With Repricing Mitigated by Staunch Investors U.S. Stocks Bonds Non- U.S. Stocks Real Estate
8 And Increasing Capital Flows
9 Most Western Metros Growing Faster than U.S. But Growth Will Slow
10 L.A. and San Diego Lagging U.S. in Job Gains
11 Apartments Feeling Brunt of Housing Market Correction
12 Apartment Vacancies on the Rise
13 But Apt. Rents Generally Still Growing Faster Than U.S. Average
14 With a Few Exceptions
15 Industrial Recovery Continues But Slowing
16 Western Metros Beating U.S. Average
17 This Carries Through to Rent Growth
18 Mixed Picture on Industrial Construction
19 Office Market Well Positioned for Slow Down
20 Western Office Markets Mostly Healthy
21 Office Rent Growth Varies
22 As Does Construction Volume
23 Sales Declining as Economy Slows
24 Income Growth Will Drive Sales
25 Retail Markets Starting From Good Position
26 Construction Quite Modest in Some Markets
27 Though Not Modest Everywhere