Where is European Private Equity Heading? European Private Equity Statistics Gemma Postlethwaite, Thomson Financial 16 March 2006
2 Investment Activity Methodology Data collected from GPs via survey questionnaires, response rate 62.3% for 1,450 PE firms Europe is defined as location of the PE fund Fundraising – only formal closings included Investments – based on completion date, only equity value (debt only if provided by PE fund) Divestments – at cost, and a t time of divestment by PE firm
3 A fund raising all-time record at €60bn Source: EVCA/Thomson Financial/ PricewaterhouseCoopers Sustainable level? 77% of funds raised in 2005 allocated to buyout, vs. 65% in 2004 Banks are back – why? Pension funds invest massively –baby boomers with a pension shortfall US fund raising also a record with $173bn, but second to 2000 European Private Equity Funds Raised
4 Investments & divestments growing too € billion Source: EVCA/Thomson Financial/ PricewaterhouseCoopers Not too much capital overhang 66% of investments in 2005 related to buyout deals, vs. 70% in 2004
5 Is there a leverage bubble? Source: Thomson Financial NB: Based on calculated or reported ratios, for transactions were the data was available
6 Exit prospects look healthy Source: EVCA/Thomson Financial / PricewaterhouseCoopers Divestments – Breakdown by Type M&A Activity, Europe* IPO Activity, Europe* Source: Thomson Financial *Public and private deals
7 Performance Methodology Data collected from GPs and LPs historically for European funds Returns calculated at fund level, and net of management fees and carried interest All calculations done by Thomson based on actual cash flows Pooled IRR: IRR of a group of funds where cash flows have been aggregated together before IRR calculation Investment horizon return: IRR calculated with Net Asset Value as capital outflow at beginning of period, Net Asset Value at end of period, and actual cash flow in between DPI: Distribution (in cash or stock) divided by Paid-In capital (‘realised’ ratio) RVPI: Residual Value divided by Paid-In capital (‘unrealised’ ratio) TVPI: Total Value divided by Paid-In, sum of DPI and RVPI
8 Investment Benchmarks European Sample
9 European Private Equity Funds Formed Net IRRs to Investors, Investment Horizon Return as of 31-Dec-2005 Stage1 YR3 YR5 YR10 YR20 YR All Venture Buyouts Generalist All Private Equity Source: Thomson Financial / EVCA Short term indicators show good performance
10 3-year venture IRR moves into positive territory +0.6% +5.3% Source: Thomson Financial / EVCA European Venture 3-,5-,10-Year Rolling IRRs -4.0%
11 All horizon IRRs in positive territory for buyouts and climbing +7.9% +12.6% Source: Thomson Financial / EVCA European Buyouts 3-,5-,10-Year Rolling IRRs +5.0%
12 Top quarter funds return 23% StagePooled IRR Minimum value Top Quarter Pooled IRR Top Quarter All Venture Buyouts Generalist All Private Equity Source: Thomson Financial / EVCA European Private Equity Funds Formed
13 Where is performance coming from? StageDPIRVPITVPI All Venture Buyouts Generalist All Private Equity Source: Thomson Financial / EVCA European Private Equity Funds Formed
14 Conclusion: Record Activity Fundraising record at €59.5bn Pension funds and banks - main investors with 57.5% 2005 investments steady at €38.5bn, expected to go above €43bn on final data set Buyouts represent 65.8% by amount invested Venture represent 72.6% by number of investments Divestments up 23% at €24.0 billion Trade sale continues to be the most popular exit route with 24.6% of the total amount divested Write-offs reduced to 5.5% of total amount divested
15 Conclusion: Improved Performance Long-term performance Stays constant at around 10% net IRR Robust returns for top quarter funds: 35.3% for buyout and 23.9% for venture funds. Shorter-term performance Overall 3-year rolling IRR moves up to 5.2% IRR with both buyout and venture returns in positive territory 1-year rolling IRR is an impressive 20.9% for buyout and 25.4% for venture funds
16 Contact the Thomson Research Specialists: Performance: Cornelia Andersson Investment activity: Margherita Del Bianco How to contribute data?