1 Critical Chain From “Theory of Constraints” Developed by Elihu Goldratt in 1984 Goldratt – Many of his key ideas were first explained via “business novels”

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Presentation transcript:

1 Critical Chain From “Theory of Constraints” Developed by Elihu Goldratt in 1984 Goldratt – Many of his key ideas were first explained via “business novels” like The Goal: A Process of Ongoing Improvement.

2 What is the “Theory of Constraints”? The theory of constraints (TOC) is a management paradigm that views any manageable system as being limited in achieving more of its goals by a very small number of constraints. Based on “how people really behave.” Includes lots of ideas to turn that into project productivity! “Critical chain” is one of these ideas…

3 The article you read Describes the classic Theory of Constraints Shows how it has been applied to manufacturing, especially. Goal is process improvement. Let’s now apply to software projects…

4 The worst thing you can do for your process is try to make every step complete on time. The result of sub-optimized speed, in action – Marathoner Jim Peters collapses in his final race, in 1954, 150 meters from the finish line. He always started the races too fast, intent on dominating the field. But, he was the first person to run a marathon in under 2:20:00.

5 How long does it take you to get to your relatives, for Memorial Day?

6 How much safety do our estimates contain? A lot of management and customer happiness is built into our making / not making deadlines! We know we’re likely to be optimistic. So, Why not pad the estimates, allowing for likely delays?

7 What causes Parkinson’s Law? Parkinson’s Law: Work expands to fill the time available Benefits of finishing early Student syndrome Multitasking “And if you finish memorizing the names of all the presidents, go ahead and memorize the names of all the vice-presidents.”

8 Multitasking’s effects

9 What can we do? Being realistic about human behavior is a part of Goldratt’s theory.

10 Goldratt’s solution – Reduce the estimate of everything by half (approximately) and move the buffer to the end Why is this better? Half the total of all the shaded buffers, above.

11 1.Encourages folks to finish early 2.Makes problems more visible 3.Focuses attention on the real goal of the process “Project buffer”

12 What about situations where there are complex dependencies?

13 Student syndrome & large projects Student syndrome: tendency of people to waste “safety buffer” without starting tasks – reintroducing risk no matter how generous the buffer A real problem on projects with interdependencies – Consider things like, “The same person has to do C and G.” You’ve seen how critical chain handles this problem – Managing the global buffer(s) and resources. Can you solve this problem in your projects?

14 BTW: Please don’t confuse critical path and critical chain Critical path is the longest path through a PERT chart Critical chain is this thing we’re discussing, with reduced estimation time and buffers – Within the overall methodology, there is also a smaller thing called “critical chain” involving a critical path that takes into account certain resource contentions. Don’t worry about it.