Latin American Business Outlook Part of the Global Business Outlook A joint survey effort between Duke University, Fundação Getúlio Vargas and CFO magazine.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
African Business Outlook Part of the Global Business Outlook A joint survey effort between Duke University, The South African Institute of Chartered Accountants.
Advertisements

African Business Outlook Part of the Global Business Outlook A joint survey effort between Duke University, The South African Institute of Chartered Accountants.
Latin American Business Outlook Part of the Global Business Outlook A joint survey effort between Duke University, Fundação Getúlio Vargas and CFO magazine.
Latin American Business Outlook Part of the Global Business Outlook A joint survey effort between Duke University, Fundação Getúlio Vargas and CFO magazine.
African Business Outlook Part of the Global Business Outlook A joint survey effort between Duke University, The South African Institute of Chartered Accountants.
Latin American Business Outlook Part of the Global Business Outlook A joint survey effort between Duke University, Fundação Getúlio Vargas and CFO magazine.
African Business Outlook Part of the Global Business Outlook A joint survey effort between Duke University, The South African Institute of Chartered Accountants.
Latin American Business Outlook Part of the Global Business Outlook A joint survey effort between Duke University, Fundação Getúlio Vargas and CFO magazine.
Copyright ©2004 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. Chapter 14 Stock Analysis and Valuation.
Chapter 14 Financial Statement Analysis. Who and Why?  To understand the economics of a firm and  To help forecast its future profitability and risk.
Latin American Business Outlook Part of the Global Business Outlook A joint survey effort between Duke University, Fundação Getúlio Vargas and CFO magazine.
Latin American Business Outlook Part of the Global Business Outlook A joint survey effort between Duke University, Fundação Getúlio Vargas and CFO magazine.
African Business Outlook Part of the Global Business Outlook A joint survey effort between Duke University, The South African Institute of Chartered Accountants.
Latin American Business Outlook Part of the Global Business Outlook A joint survey effort between Duke University, Fundação Getúlio Vargas and CFO magazine.
Latin American Business Outlook Part of the Global Business Outlook A joint survey effort between Duke University, Fundação Getúlio Vargas and CFO magazine.
Richard J. Rudden Senior Vice President Black & Veatch Enterprise Management Solutions A Challenging Year Lies Ahead: The Economy and Its Impacts on Public.
Economic Policymaking Chapter 17. Economic Systems Market Economy: An economic system in which individuals and corporations, not the government, own the.
Latin American Business Outlook Part of the Global Business Outlook A joint survey effort between Duke University, Fundação Getúlio Vargas and CFO magazine.
Robertson, Griege & Thoele Investment Market Analysis January st Quarter Market Review Global Markets Rebound st Quarter Market Review.
Latin American Business Outlook Part of the Global Business Outlook A joint survey effort between Duke University, Fundação Getúlio Vargas and CFO magazine.
Taxes & Gov’t Spending Fiscal Policy Monetary Policy Potpourri Federal Reserve & More Monetary Policy
™ Business Barometer Aggregate Report 22 February 2010 Economic Analysis and Decision Support Group.
INFLATION CONTROL OF VIETNAM 2012 Ms. Busaba Butrat Thai Trade Center Hanoi May 2012.
Part II: Business Environment Introduction to Business 3e 4 Copyright © 2004 South-Western. All rights reserved. Assessing Economic Conditions.
Global Business Outlook A joint survey effort between Duke University and CFO magazine 1Global Business Outlook Duke University Winter 2009 John R. Graham.
An Overview of Personal Finance The Importance of Personal Finance –Slow Growth in Personal Income The average annual growth rate in the US is from 2 -
Government Chapter 20.2 Monetary Policy. General Economics competition The existence of two or more companies within a single industry that are trying.
African Business Outlook Part of the Global Business Outlook A joint survey effort between Duke University, The South African Institute of Chartered Accountants.
Latin American Business Outlook Part of the Global Business Outlook A joint survey effort between Duke University, Fundação Getúlio Vargas and CFO magazine.
POLITICS, DEFICITS, AND DEBT Deficit and Debt. The Definition of Debt and Assets Debt is accumulated deficits minus accumulated surpluses. Deficits and.
Economic Policymaking Chapter 17. Economic Systems Market Economy: An economic system in which individuals and corporations, not the government, own the.
Latin American Business Outlook Part of the Global Business Outlook A joint survey effort between Duke University Fundação Getúlio Vargas CFO magazine.
African Business Outlook Part of the Global Business Outlook A joint survey effort between Duke University, The South African Institute of Chartered Accountants.
Managing the Firm’s Finances Chapter 21. Chapter 21 Learning Goals 1.W 1.What roles do finance and the financial manager play in the firm’s overall strategy?
Latin American Business Outlook Part of the Global Business Outlook A joint survey effort between Duke University, Fundação Getúlio Vargas and CFO magazine.
  GDP (Gross Domestic Product) – Basic measure of a nation’s economic output and income. Total market value of all goods and services produced in the.
Chapter 17 How External Forces Affect a Firm’s Value Lawrence J. Gitman Jeff Madura Introduction to Finance.
Latin American Business Outlook Part of the Global Business Outlook A joint survey effort between Duke University, Fundação Getúlio Vargas and CFO magazine.
African Business Outlook Part of the Global Business Outlook A joint survey effort between Duke University, The South African Institute of Chartered Accountants,
Real Estate Capital Policy Advisory Committee (RECPAC) December 1, 2015 Committee Meeting 1 What inning are we in?
African Business Outlook Part of the Global Business Outlook A joint survey effort between Duke University, The South African Institute of Chartered Accountants,
Asian Business Outlook Part of the Global Business Outlook A joint survey effort between Duke University, Beijing National Accounting Institute and CFO.
African Business Outlook Part of the Global Business Outlook
African Business Outlook Part of the Global Business Outlook
African Business Outlook Part of the Global Business Outlook
Asian Business Outlook Part of the Global Business Outlook
Latin American Business Outlook Part of the Global Business Outlook
Asian Business Outlook Part of the Global Business Outlook
Asian Business Outlook Part of the Global Business Outlook
African Business Outlook Part of the Global Business Outlook
Latin American Business Outlook Part of the Global Business Outlook
Asian Business Outlook Part of the Global Business Outlook
Global Business Outlook
Latin American Business Outlook Part of the Global Business Outlook
Latin American Business Outlook Part of the Global Business Outlook
African Business Outlook
Latin American Business Outlook Part of the Global Business Outlook
A joint survey effort between Duke University and CFO Magazine
A joint survey effort between Duke University and CFO Magazine
African Business Outlook
A joint survey effort between Duke University and CFO Magazine
African Business Outlook
Fiscal Policy: Spending & Taxing
Latin American Business Outlook Part of the Global Business Outlook
Latin American Business Outlook Part of the Global Business Outlook
Economic Policymaking
Latin American Economies Continue to Slide
Fiscal Policy: Spending & Taxing
Economic Policymaking
Objectives, Strategies and Related Business Risks
Presentation transcript:

Latin American Business Outlook Part of the Global Business Outlook A joint survey effort between Duke University, Fundação Getúlio Vargas and CFO magazine Latin American Business Outlook Duke University / FGV / CFO Magazine Mar

Top Internal Concerns for Latin American CFOs Latin American Business Outlook Duke University / FGV / CFO Magazine Mar Ability to maintain margins 2.Attracting and retaining qualified employees 3.Maintaining morale/productivity 4.Ability to forecast results 5.Working capital management 6.Managing IT systems 7.Supply chain risk 8.Counterparty risk 9.Data security 10.Cost of health care 11.Balance sheet weakness

Top External Concerns for Latin American CFOs Latin American Business Outlook Duke University / FGV / CFO Magazine Mar Federal government policies 2.Consumer demand 3.Corporate tax rates 4.Currency risk 5.Price pressure from competitors 6.Global financial instability 7.Credit markets/interest rates 8.Inflation 9.Federal budget deficit 10.Cost of fuel 11.Foreign competition

Forecast of % change over next 12 months Historical ResponsesMar 2014 Response Revenue Notes: Presented data are the mean value for each region or country. Latin American Business Outlook Duke University / FGV / CFO Magazine Mar Product Prices

Historical Responses Capital Spending Mar 2014 Response Latin American Business Outlook Duke University / FGV / CFO Magazine Mar Forecast of % change over next 12 months Notes: Presented data are the mean value for each region or country, except medians are shown for Latin American earnings in Mar 2013 and Mar Earnings

Historical Responses # FT Employees Wages & Salaries Mar 2014 Response Latin American Business Outlook Duke University / FGV / CFO Magazine Mar Forecast of % change over next 12 months Notes: Presented data are the mean value for each region or country, except medians shown for Latin America in Mar #FT=Number of Fulltime Employees

Latin American Business Outlook Duke University / FGV / CFO Magazine Mar 2014 Business Optimism Index (Scale from 0 to 100) Historical Responses Country / Region Own Company Mar 2014 Response 7 Notes: Presented data are the mean value for each region or country

Mergers and Acquisitions Latin American Business Outlook Duke University / FGV / CFO Magazine Mar

Where will your cross-border acquisitions occur? Latin American Business Outlook Duke University / FGV / CFO Magazine Mar

Effects of Tighter FED Monetary Policy Latin American Business Outlook Duke University / FGV / CFO Magazine Mar What effect, if any, has the U.S. Federal Reserve Bank's plan to taper its quantitative easing program had on your company's optimism about its business prospects for 2014?

Latin American Business Outlook Duke University / FGV / CFO Magazine Mar 2014 Uncertainty and Business Planning—Econ Conditions 11 Does Uncertainty about Economic Conditions Affect Your Business Planning?

Latin American Business Outlook Duke University / FGV / CFO Magazine Mar 2014 Uncertainty and Business Planning—Govt Policies 12 Does Uncertainty about Government Economic Policies Affect Your Business Planning?

Corporate Culture Latin American Business Outlook Duke University / FGV / CFO Magazine Mar

Changes to Corporate Culture Latin American Business Outlook Duke University / FGV / CFO Magazine Mar First Priority for Improvement in Latin American Corporate Culture:

Real Estate Bubbles Latin American Business Outlook Duke University / FGV / CFO Magazine Mar Do you think that there is a real estate bubble in your country?

Latin American Business Outlook Duke University / FGV / CFO Magazine Mar 2014 Past and Expected Return on Assets (ROA) 16

Duke/FGV CFO Survey in Latin America Press Latin American Business Outlook Duke University / FGV / CFO Magazine Mar

Latin American Business Outlook Duke University / FGV / CFO Magazine Mar Duke/FGV CFO Survey in Latin America Press

Latin American Business Outlook Part of the Global Business Outlook A joint survey effort between Duke University, Fundação Getúlio Vargas and CFO magazine Latin American Business Outlook Duke University / FGV / CFO Magazine Mar

Where will your cross-border acquisitions occur? Latin American Business Outlook Duke University / FGV / CFO Magazine Mar USEurope

Where will your cross-border acquisitions occur? Latin American Business Outlook Duke University / FGV / CFO Magazine Mar AsiaLatin America

FROM Dec Latin American Business Outlook Duke University / FGV / CFO Magazine Sep 2012

Latin American Business Outlook Duke University / FGV / CFO Magazine Mar 2014 Past Economic Conditions For Company 23 Have the economic conditions for your company changed in 2013?

Latin American Business Outlook Duke University / FGV / CFO Magazine Mar 2014 Expected Economic Conditions For Company 24 Do you expect the economic conditions for your company to change in 2014?

Latin American Business Outlook Duke University / FGV / CFO Magazine Mar 2014 Corporate Budget for Charitable Donations 25 Does your company have a corporate budget for charitable donations?

Latin American Business Outlook Duke University / FGV / CFO Magazine Mar 2014 Past and Expected Return on Assets (ROA) 26

FROM Sep Latin American Business Outlook Duke University / FGV / CFO Magazine Sep 2012

Latin American Business Outlook Duke University / FGV / CFO Magazine Mar 2014 Effect of Increase in Interest Rate 28 If benchmark long-term interest rates increase 1%/2% by the end of 2013, how will this affect your plans for: Note: 26.3% of the Latin American CFOs expect the benchmark long-term interest rate to increase 1% by the end of 2013; 6.2% of the Latin American CFOs expect a 2% increase in benchmark long-term interest rate by the end of Financing Full-time Employee

Latin American Business Outlook Duke University / FGV / CFO Magazine Mar 2014 Obtaining Long-term Credit in the Past 3 Years 29 During the past 3 years, has your company obtained any long-term credit?

Latin American Business Outlook Duke University / FGV / CFO Magazine Mar 2014 Currency Denomination of Long-term Credit 30

Latin American Business Outlook Duke University / FGV / CFO Magazine Mar 2014 Top Reasons to Shift Toward Temporary/Part-time Workers 31 % of CFOs who choose the reason as important (top3): Note: More than 50% of the CFOs answer that their companies shifted toward temporary/part-time workers during the past years.

Latin American Business Outlook Duke University / FGV / CFO Magazine Mar 2014 Past and Expected Return on Assets (ROA) 32

FROM June Latin American Business Outlook Duke University / FGV / CFO Magazine Sep 2012

Latin American Business Outlook Duke University / FGV / CFO Magazine Mar 2014 Intention to Deploy Cash Reserves 34 Is it likely that your firm will begin to deploy its cash reserves during the next 12 months?

If not deploying cash, why not? Latin American Business Outlook Duke University / FGV / CFO Magazine Mar

If deploying, on what will accumulated cash reserves be deployed? Latin American Business Outlook Duke University / FGV / CFO Magazine Mar

Latin American Business Outlook Duke University / FGV / CFO Magazine Mar 2014 Corruption as a Risk Factor—Global Perspective 37 The magnitude of business corruption (fraud, bribery, other ethical violations) as a risk factor, comparison across continents.

Latin American Business Outlook Duke University / FGV / CFO Magazine Mar 2014 Corruption as a Risk Factor—In Latin America 38 The magnitude of business corruption (fraud, bribery, other ethical violations) as a risk factor, comparison across countries in Latin America.

Latin American Business Outlook Duke University / FGV / CFO Magazine Mar 2014 CSR and Sustainability as Important Objectives 39 The proportion of CFOs that state Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR) and Sustainability as important objectives.

Latin American Business Outlook Duke University / FGV / CFO Magazine Mar 2014 Motivations to Engage in CSR and Sustainability 40 What are the reasons that your company engages in CSR and sustainability?

Latin American Business Outlook Duke University / FGV / CFO Magazine Mar 2014 Scrutiny of Executive Pay 41 Has the level of executive pay at your firm recently come under scrutiny?

From Before June Latin American Business Outlook Duke University / FGV / CFO Magazine Sep 2012

Latin American Hiring Trends (Sep 2012) Within the past year, nearly ¾ of Latin American respondents experienced difficulty filling a job opening. Among this group, a variety of approaches were used to fill open positions. Difficulty filling an open position within the past year? If yes, would/did you do any of the following to attract qualified applicants? Latin American Business Outlook Duke University / FGV / CFO Magazine Mar

Corruption as a Risk Factor (Sep 2012) The magnitude of business corruption (fraud, bribery, other ethical violations) as a risk factor varies across geography (1=corruption not a significant factor, 5=very significant factor) Latin American Business Outlook Duke University / FGV / CFO Magazine Mar

Latin American Business Outlook Duke University / FGV / CFO Magazine Mar Corruption Effects (Latin America, Sep 2012) To the extent that business corruption exists, what would you say are its major effects?

Would a change in interest rates affect business spending? Latin American Business Outlook Duke University / FGV / CFO Magazine Mar How much would borrowing costs have to decrease to cause you to increase business spending ? How much would borrowing costs have to increase to cause you to decrease business spending ? An interest rate decrease of Would increase spending in this percentage of firms: 0.5%0% 1%2.6% 2%15.6% 3%26% > 3%49.4% An interest rate increase of Would decrease spending in this percentage of firms: 0.5%2.7% 1%9.5% 2%21.7% 3%36.6% > 3%67.7%

Is the Judicial System a Significant Risk for Your Firm? Percentage of Respondents that say that the court system is a “significant” or “very significant” business risk Latin American Business Outlook Duke University / FGV / CFO Magazine Mar Percentage of Respondents that say that the court system is a “significant” or “very significant” business risk

Latin American Business Outlook Duke University / FGV / CFO Magazine Mar Cost and Risks Related to the Judicial System Percentage of respondents that list a factor as being an “important or very important problem with the judicial system”

Decreased in last five years (A small number is good, big number is bad) Latin American Business Outlook Duke University / FGV / CFO Magazine Mar

Bonus relative to last year Latin American Business Outlook Duke University / FGV / CFO Magazine Mar

If Growth Slows in These Regions, Effect on US firms Latin American Business Outlook Duke University / FGV / CFO Magazine Mar

Regional Latin American Effects Latin American Business Outlook Duke University / FGV / CFO Magazine Mar

(EXPERIMENT) Forecast of % change over next 12 months Historical ResponsesMar 2014 Response Revenue Notes: Presented data are the mean value for each region or country Latin American Business Outlook Duke University / FGV / CFO Magazine Mar Product Prices

Forecast of % change over next 12 months Historical ResponsesMar 2014 Response Revenue Notes: Presented data are the mean value for each region or country Latin American Business Outlook Duke University / FGV / CFO Magazine Mar Product Prices

Historical Responses Capital Spending Mar 2014 Response Latin American Business Outlook Duke University / FGV / CFO Magazine Mar Forecast of % change over next 12 months Notes: Presented data are the mean value for each region or country, except medians are shown for Latin American earnings in Dec 2012 and Mar Earnings

Historical Responses # FT Employees Wages & Salaries Mar 2014 Response Latin American Business Outlook Duke University / FGV / CFO Magazine Mar Forecast of % change over next 12 months Notes: Presented data are the mean value for each region or country, except medians shown for Latin America in Dec 2012 and Mar #FT=Number of Fulltime Employees

Latin American Business Outlook Duke University / FGV / CFO Magazine Mar 2014 Business Optimism Index (Scale from 0 to 100) Historical Responses Country / Region Own Company Mar 2014 Response 57 Notes: Presented data are the mean value for each region or country