Kimberley LNG Precinct

Process to anticipate and manage change –Strategic SIA of the precinct under the Strategic Assessment Agreement –Precinct Development Scenarios Identification of key issues to develop mitigation and management strategies Are there any issues we have not captured? Social Impact Assessment (SIA) Progress

SIA Process Scoping - understand the project & key issues Profiling - understand the area before change Projection - of effects of project Mitigation and Management C O N S U L T A T I O N Monitoring R E P O R T I N G

KLNG SIA Structure Social Impact Assessment DSD/DPI Team Tourism Impact Assessmnt Kadar, Pearson and Partners (Tourism WA) Fisheries, Pearling and Aquacult Impact Assessmnt Dr Guy Wright (Dept. Fisheries ) Aboriginal Social Impact Assessmnt (ASIA) Kimberley Land Council (KLC) Dr Mark Fenton Social Management Plan Social Impact Assessment - DSD/DPI Team Inter - national Peer Review Dr Nick Taylor

Key Issues 1.Increase in Population Impacts on services Human Services –Education: Pre-School, Primary, High, Tertiary, Training –Health: Hospital, Clinics, Doctors, Specialists, Dentists –Emergency Services; Police; AQIS –Recreational Services Infrastructure Land ; Housing (affordable housing); Electricity; Water ; Waste; Gas Transport 2.Changes to the Sense of Place

Key Issues (continued) 3.Business Impacts Tourism Impacts Addressed through Tourism Impact Assessment Management Plan Fishing, Pearling and Aquaculture Impacts Addressed through the Impact Assessment Management Plan Attraction and retention of staff

Assessing Population Impacts Four Step Process Assess Service Capacity Understand project workforce (construction & operation) Project workforce and employment multipliers Family Multipliers

Human Services –Education: Pre-School, Primary, High, Tertiary, Training –Health: Hospital, Clinics, Doctors, Specialists, Dentists –Emergency Services; Police; AQIS –Recreational Services ‘Hard’ Services –Land ; Housing; Electricity; Water ; Waste; Gas –Transport Population Impacts – Assess Capacity

What do we know about the project/s? Foundation Project – ~11 Mtpa –Precinct capacity 50 Mtpa –Precinct development over approx 35yrs – to 2050 Scenarios Other LNG Projects

Similar LNG Projects

Comparative LNG Projects

Scenarios for Social Impact Assessment Current Precinct Development Scenarios –No Development within 20 years –Low - up to 15 Mtpa over 15 years –Medium - up to 25 Mtpa over 25 years –High – up to 50 Mtpa over 25 years

Population Projection – No Kimberley LNG

KLNG Population Projection EXAMPLE Medium Scenario Example to illustrate Population Projection – Foundation proponent’s potential ‘rapid’ scenario (approx. 11 Mtpa) – 3500 peak construction workforce, 520 permanent workforce –Two trains every 5 years –Mid-range scenario

Workforce EXAMPLE

Medium Scenario Assumptions FOR EXAMPLE ONLY Broome Residents –10% of the construction workforce –50% of the operational workforce –Employment Multiplier of 2 –Family Multiplier of 1.5 for construction workforce and 2.6 for operational workforce

KLNG Medium Scenario EXAMPLE

Next Steps Finalise Scenarios and the related population projections Theme Workshops e.g. Housing Health Recreation Infrastructure Community consultation

Questions?