METs for evaluating experimental varieties. Response variable: Grain yield lowmoderate A B extreme Basics of Genotype x Environment interaction Context:

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
Analysis by design Statistics is involved in the analysis of data generated from an experiment. It is essential to spend time and effort in advance to.
Advertisements

Research Methodology Statistics Maha Omair Teaching Assistant Department of Statistics, College of science King Saud University.
Combined Analysis of Experiments Basic Research –Researcher makes hypothesis and conducts a single experiment to test it –The hypothesis is modified and.
Combined Analysis of Experiments Basic Research –Researcher makes hypothesis and conducts a single experiment to test it –The hypothesis is modified and.
P.M. Govindakrishnan Project Coordinator All India Coordinated Research Project (Potato) Central Potato Research Institute, Shimla Agro ecological classification.
Types of Checks in Variety Trials One could be a long term check that is unchanged from year to year –serves to monitor experimental conditions from year.
Multiple Comparisons in Factorial Experiments
Statistics in Science  Role of Statistics in Research.
Priorities of Soil Management for Extreme Events and Drought Charles W. Rice University Distinguished Professor Soil Microbiology Department of Agronomy.
Crop Yield Appraisal and Forecasting - Decision Support under Uncertain Climates.
Objectives (BPS chapter 9)
Experiences with incomplete block designs in Denmark Kristian Kristensen Department of Animal Breeding and Genetics Danish Institute of Agricultural Sciences.
Experimental Research Designs
Hulless barley (Hordeum vulgare L.) resistance to pre-harvest sprouting: diversity and development of method for testing of breeding material L.Legzdiņa,
Sub - Sampling It may be necessary or convenient to measure a treatment response on subsamples of a plot –several soil cores within a plot –duplicate laboratory.
Introduction to One way and Two Way analysis of Variance......
Chapter 11: Sequential Clinical Trials Descriptive Exploratory Experimental Describe Find Cause Populations Relationships and Effect Sequential Clinical.
Designing Experiments Diverse applications, common principles.
The Scientific Method Chapter 1.
Why conduct experiments?... To explore new technologies, new crops, and new areas of production To develop a basic understanding of the factors that control.
April, 2014 Diga Integrated Termite Management in degraded crop land in Diga district, Ethiopia.
Experimental Design in Agriculture CROP 590, Winter, 2015
Setting goals and identifying target environments Planning breeding programs for impact.
Motive Konza: understanding disease, since there is no apparent reason to manage native pathogens of native plants Also have background information in.
Regional scale Participatory analysis Crop modeling Performance data Plot Participatory Modeling Survey Household Research 4 Development platform (extension,
Chapter 1: Introduction to Statistics
Results and lessons learnt from maize- based cropping system activity Use your mouse to see tooltips or to link to more information.
Module 7: Estimating Genetic Variances – Why estimate genetic variances? – Single factor mating designs PBG 650 Advanced Plant Breeding.
Fixed vs. Random Effects
INT 506/706: Total Quality Management Introduction to Design of Experiments.
Cotton Modeling to Assess Climate Change and Crop Management December 2005 V. R. Reddy 1 and K. R. Reddy 2 1 USDA-ARS, Crop Systems and Global Change Laboratory,
Key Area 3: Crop protection Unit 3: Sustainability and Interdependence.
Scaling up Crop Model Simulations to Districts for Use in Integrated Assessments: Case Study of Anantapur District in India K. J. Boote, Univ. of Florida.
Working Group 4: plant-plant interactions
Plant Breeding Pipelines in the CCRP. Crucifers: Broccoli Brussels sprouts Cabbage Cauliflower Chinese cabbage Collards Kale Mustard Radish Rutabaga Turnip.
Factorial Design of Experiments Kevin Leyton-Brown.
Conducting Experimental Trials Gary Palmer. Scientific Method  Formulation of Hypothesis  Planning an experiment to objectively test the hypothesis.
Increasing the profitability of Legume production in Mozambique through Technology discovery, Development and Delivery linked to Markets Progress for
Climate and the risk of pests and disease Primary research activities in this area: 1.Participatory evaluations of risk for potato tuber moth and Andean.
Conservation Agriculture as a Potential Pathway to Better Resource Management, Higher Productivity, and Improved Socio-Economic Conditions in the Andean.
Lesson Observational Studies, Experiments, and Simple Random Sampling.
Objectives (BPS chapter 9) Producing data: experiments  Experiments  How to experiment badly  Randomized comparative experiments  The logic of randomized.
Genotype x Environment Interactions Analyses of Multiple Location Trials.
Copyright  2003 by Dr. Gallimore, Wright State University Department of Biomedical, Industrial Engineering & Human Factors Engineering Human Factors Research.
Planning rice breeding programs for impact Multi-environment trials: design and analysis.
Genetics and Crop Improvement Varietals Selection of CIP germplasm in Bangladesh August, 2013.
META-ANALYSIS, RESEARCH SYNTHESES AND SYSTEMATIC REVIEWS © LOUIS COHEN, LAWRENCE MANION & KEITH MORRISON.
Experimentation in Computer Science (Part 2). Experimentation in Software Engineering --- Outline  Empirical Strategies  Measurement  Experiment Process.
Planning rice breeding programs for impact Heritability in multi-location trials and response to selection.
A new way of experimenting with new seeds Jacob van Etten.
Output 2 intervention planning Sources of information : Output 1 FGD Baseline Farm characterization  Entry points definition LegumeCHOICE tool FCD : context/farmer.
SP 2015 CP PROBABILITY & STATISTICS Observational Studies vs. Experiments Chapter 11.
IMAGINE: methodology Pytrik Reidsma Kick-off meeting, March 2015, Wageningen.
RELIABILITY AND VALIDITY Dr. Rehab F. Gwada. Control of Measurement Reliabilityvalidity.
1 CfE Higher Biology 3.2(a,b,c) Plant and animal breeding.
1. Introduction 3. Results 4. Conclusion 5. Acknowledgement
(Rancangan Petak Terbagi)
Protocol for on-farm testing trial for RiceAdvice-WeedManager
Precision Farming Profitability
Evaluating Research Is this valid research?.
The Scientific Method Unit 1.
Scientific Process METHODS
Relationship between mean yield, coefficient of variation, mean square error and plot size in wheat field experiments Coefficient of variation: Relative.
Hannington Odido Ochieng KALRO Kibos
Understanding Multi-Environment Trials
University of Wisconsin, Madison
Experimental Design All experiments consist of two basic structures:
The Scientific Method.
Designing experiments - keeping it simple
AGRONOMY AND ECONOMIC ANALYSIS
Presentation transcript:

METs for evaluating experimental varieties.

Response variable: Grain yield lowmoderate A B extreme Basics of Genotype x Environment interaction Context: eg Drought stress in the target area Extent of GxE depends on range of E covered, choices of G included and type of response variable C

Response variable: Grain yield lowmoderate A B extreme G x E design problem: Context: Drought stress in the target area C Collect data to estimate responses, being Efficient Valid

The ‘classical’ Multi-Environment Trial for GxE 16 G (4 reps) (Randomised block design) 8 E Measure responses The variety diversity to explore. -How many? -Which ones? -Who decides? Sampling the variability in project domain -Which dimensions? How many? Who decides? Set by breeding objectives - multiple Design for efficiency, validity, practicality, legitimacy

GxE → OxC Genotype Climate Soil Management Farm resource endowment Market integration Gender, HH type Environment Yield Growth traits Disease resistance Profitability Acceptability Preferences X= ContextPerformance X = = Design principles? Genotype

Objectives determine design A.Objectives require average performance across environments GxE is part of the ‘noise’ Random selection of E to ‘represent’ target Number needed depends on σ 2 ge B. Objectives require detection, description and understanding of GxE Include hypotheses of GxC interactions Essential for designing efficient trials

Predictable Unpredictable Mappable Factors hypothesised to interact with G that you want to investigate -They have to vary within the study! Some can be manipulated or chosen for any plot: Planting date Fertilizer use Intercrop … Some can not: Soil type AEZ Farmer resource level Farmer gender Landscape niche Weather Pest pressure …

Can factor be manipulated ? Will you include it as an experimental factor? Definition of treatments Design choices Yes No Objectives of G x C hypotheses C factors to investigate Business as usual Yes No

Type of C factor Location Strata Random sampling Replication Design choices Predicatable Mappable Predicatable Non-mappable Unpredictable Do the trial Measure context variables

Data analysis Including Consistency across farms Unexplained variation = risk is small enough? New hypothese of G x C Carry on! Yes No

Do the trial with farmers because… 1.Assessing under realistic conditions and contexts 2.Measuring preferences 3.Sampling sufficient context variation 4.Making required large-N trials feasible 5.Participatory principles, empowerment and farmers rights

1m 0.5m

What might change when farmers are involved? Layout Researchers designFarmers and researchers design Farm 1 Farm 2 Farm 15 Experiment spread across many farms Layout may not be ‘neat’!

See the videos! aAQ 4 on design of trials with farmers 1 on design of METs

Malawi example

What it might look like Alt gradient covers 4 AEZs About 20 Farmer groups - 2 main types About 20 farms per group of several types Each farm – bean field with 2-6 test plots Planted, managed, measured by farmers About 400 farms and 1600 plots = Large N?

Farms as Environments (Contexts) Deviation from straight line = GxE+residual GxE as risk for farmers Residual is simply more GxE

G x E  G x C G x E Location Mega- environments (Mechanisms) Recommendation domains Maps G x C Location + situation VarietyCharacteristicsAdaptation Choices (Mechanisms)

Questions What works well and what needs to change in the way you do METs? What are the complexities and questions you face in designing and implementing METs?