2012 U.S. CLIVAR Summit July 17-20, 2012 Newport Beach, California Meeting Objectives & Outcomes Lisa Goddard, SSC Chair.

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Presentation transcript:

2012 U.S. CLIVAR Summit July 17-20, 2012 Newport Beach, California Meeting Objectives & Outcomes Lisa Goddard, SSC Chair

Main Objectives for Summit Orientation – provide overview of U.S. CLIVAR and Panel responsibilities Panel Business – engage panels to review progress and identify gaps and opportunities Science Planning – generate input from panelists on past accomplishments and new science elements supporting each of four program goals

Agenda Tues, July 17 (Orientation) –Welcome, introductions and program overview –Funding agency engagement –Science planning overview –Initial panel identification of key U.S. CLIVAR deliverables Wed, July 18 (Panel Business) –Panel reports on 2011 action items –Science Team and Working Group reports –Panel business breakouts –Summit Reception from 5:30-7:00pm

Agenda Thur, July 19 (Business and Science Planning) –Finish panel breakouts and report to plenary –U.S. CLIVAR Themes –International CLIVAR update and future directions –Science planning breakouts Fri, July 20 (Science Planning) –Reports from breakouts and discussion of science elements for each goal –Schedule for completing new U.S. CLIVAR Science Plan –Wrap up by 10:30 a.m. –SSC working lunch

Phenomena, Observations and Synthesis (POS) Panel Breakout –Studies of physical coupled ocean-atmosphere-land phenomena Discussion of AMOC, Decadal, Ice Sheet-Ocean, ENSO, Eastern Tropical Ocean, Southern Ocean, Extremes, TRACE

Phenomena, Observations and Synthesis (POS) Panel Breakout –Studies of physical coupled ocean-atmosphere-land phenomena Discussion of AMOC, Decadal, Ice Sheet-Ocean, ENSO, Eastern Tropical Ocean, Southern Ocean, Extremes, TRACE –Sustained climate observing system for ocean FOO/GOOS/IOOS (Eric Lindstrom) Ocean state and surface flux estimation (Tony Lee)

Phenomena, Observations and Synthesis (POS) Panel Breakout –Studies of physical coupled ocean-atmosphere-land phenomena Discussion of AMOC, Decadal, Ice Sheet-Ocean, ENSO, Eastern Tropical Ocean, Southern Ocean, Extremes, TRACE –Sustained climate observing system for ocean FOO/GOOS/IOOS (Eric Lindstrom) Ocean state and surface flux estimation (Tony Lee) –Regional enhanced monitoring Discussion of AMOC & Greenland Ice Sheet IASCLIP & SPURS (Joint with PSMI Panel) (Art Douglas & Tom Farrar)

Phenomena, Observations and Synthesis (POS) Panel Breakout –Studies of physical coupled ocean-atmosphere-land phenomena Discussion of AMOC, Decadal, Ice Sheet-Ocean, ENSO, Eastern Tropical Ocean, Southern Ocean, Extremes, TRACE –Sustained climate observing system for ocean FOO/GOOS/IOOS (Eric Lindstrom) Ocean state and surface flux estimation (Tony Lee) –Regional enhanced monitoring Discussion of AMOC & Greenland Ice Sheet IASCLIP & SPURS (Joint with PSMI Panel) (Art Douglas & Tom Farrar) –Synthesis of observations and models Reanalyses (Mike Bosilovich) Climate indices from operational ocean reanalyses (Yan Xue) National Climate Assessment (Joint with PPAI)

Process Study Model Improvement (PSMI) Panel Breakout –Guide and assess use of process research and obs campaigns to improve parameterization and model development (CPTs) CPT practices and motivating questions 4 current CPTs (Jennifer MacKinnon, Roberto Mechoso, Meibing Jin, Rob Wood) Successes, pitfalls, lessons

Process Study Model Improvement (PSMI) Panel Breakout –Guide and assess use of process research and obs campaigns to improve parameterization and model development (CPTs) CPT practices and motivating questions 4 current CPTs (Jennifer MacKinnon, Roberto Mechoso, Meibing Jin, Rob Wood) Successes, pitfalls, lessons –Review and coordinate U.S. plans for process studies Post-field Synthesis Ongoing Obs/Pre-field - KESS (Meghan Cronin) - DIMES (Baylor Fox-Kemper) - CLIMODE (Leif Thomas) - IASCLIP (Art Douglas) - VOCALS (Rob Wood) - SPURS (Tom Farrar) - DYNAMO (Chidong Zhang)

Process Study Model Improvement (PSMI) Panel Breakout –Guide and assess use of process research and obs campaigns to improve parameterization and model development (CPTs) CPT practices and motivating questions 4 current CPTs (Jennifer MacKinnon, Roberto Mechoso, Meibing Jin, Rob Wood) Successes, pitfalls, lessons –Review and coordinate U.S. plans for process studies Post-field Synthesis Ongoing Obs/Pre-field - KESS (Meghan Cronin) - DIMES (Baylor Fox-Kemper) - CLIMODE (Leif Thomas) - IASCLIP (Art Douglas) - VOCALS (Rob Wood) - SPURS (Tom Farrar) - DYNAMO (Chidong Zhang) –Further develop and consider new process studies AMOC, Greenland Ice Sheet, Eastern Tropical Ocean, Southern Ocean Using new spaceborne measurements of carbon trace gases to constrain physical and chemical processes in climate models (Christian Frankenberg)

Predictability, Predictions and Applications Interface (PPAI) Panel Breakout –Review and coordinate plans to characterize predictability and demonstrate improved prediction capabilities Status of CMIP5 (Arun Kumar) National Multi-Model Ensemble (Arun Kumar) Extended-range TC forecasting (Joshua Fu)

Predictability, Predictions and Applications Interface (PPAI) Panel Breakout –Review and coordinate plans to characterize predictability and demonstrate improved prediction capabilities Status of CMIP5 (Arun Kumar) National Multi-Model Ensemble (Arun Kumar) Extended-range TC forecasting (Joshua Fu) –Identify and improve communication of user requirements for useful climate information; encourage development of appropriate tools and approaches for improved decision support Nonlinearity in climate responses (Bruce Anderson) National Climate Assessment (Joint session with POS Panel) –National perspective (Gregg Garfin) –Agriculture impacts assessment (Richard Grotjahn) –Climate extremes assessment (R. Balaji) –SW and NW U.S. regional assessments (Nick Bond) –How US CLIVAR can contribute to NCA in future

Predictability, Predictions and Applications Interface (PPAI) Panel Breakout –Review and coordinate plans to characterize predictability and demonstrate improved prediction capabilities Status of CMIP5 (Arun Kumar) National Multi-Model Ensemble (Arun Kumar) Extended-range TC forecasting (Joshua Fu) –Identify and improve communication of user requirements for useful climate information; encourage development of appropriate tools and approaches for improved decision support Nonlinearity in climate responses (Bruce Anderson) National Climate Assessment (Joint session with POS Panel) –National perspective (Gregg Garfin) –Agriculture impacts assessment (Richard Grotjahn) –Climate extremes assessment (R. Balaji) –SW and NW U.S. regional assessments (Nick Bond) –How US CLIVAR can contribute to NCA in future –Ensure advances in prediction research have appropriate connections and pathways into operational forecast system development U.S. Initiative of Earth System Prediction Capability (Dan Eleuterio)

Anticipated Outcomes Evaluation of status, gaps, and opportunities Specific recommendations and actions items regarding: –AMOC Science Team and 8 Working Groups –Observing and data systems –Reanalyses and ocean state estimation –Process studies from field phase through synthesis –Successes and lessons from CPTs –Coordinated prediction and projection efforts –Contributing to the National Climate Assessment Assessment of U.S. CLIVAR Themes Input for drafting new Science Plan –Priority deliverables over past decade –Science elements supporting each goal