Emergency Preparedness Education: Learning from Experience, Science of Disasters, and Preparing for the Future (II): Focus on Flood and Typhoon Roberto.

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Presentation transcript:

Emergency Preparedness Education: Learning from Experience, Science of Disasters, and Preparing for the Future (II): Focus on Flood and Typhoon Roberto Araya CIAE University of Chile

Empirical Study of the Curriculum Math Modeling of Floods

Empirical Study of the Curriculum Curriculum + teacher practices + students activities  knowledge components network ( exercises made by 805 4th graders from 23 courses)

Empirical study: number of excercises per month

Empirical study: # of exercises of each curriculum component per month

Empirical study: causality between curriculum components To predict performance in a component c, which historical performance k will be better?

Empirical study: causality network of components

Empirical study: causality between strands

Empirical study

Mathematical Modeling Use  Select  Adjust  Build Concrete  Computational  Abstract

How to study propagation? Use simple models

Model # 1

Model # 2

Model # 2 (another initial condition)

Model # 2

Model # 3

Model # 4

SelectAdjustBuild

Thank you