PNC Financial Services Group Covering Analyst: Matthew Miller
Business Overview ›Founded in 1852 as The Pittsburgh Savings and Trust Company ›One of the largest diversified providers of financial services in the U.S. ›Strong loan and customer growth in 2012
PNC is Growing
Improving Credit Metrics
Scope ›2,881 Branches ›7,282 ATM Machines ›18 States, Washington D.C.
Geographic Scope of Operations
Revenue Breakdown
Financial Services Industry ›Consolidating ›Changing regulatory environment ›Sustained low interest rates ›Projected 5.2% growth
Consolidation
Regulatory Environment ›Basel III –Draft regulation published ›Implementation –Began 1 January 2013 –End 1 January 2019
Low Interest Rates ›Current prime rate is 3.25 ›Expected to remain low –Shrinking net interest margin
Comparable Analysis ›Growth, risk, and products and services –U.S. Bancorp 22.5% –CIBC 22.5% –J.P. Morgan 20% –Toronto Dominion Bank 20% –Wells Fargo 15%
Comparable Valuation
›Values only the equity –No WACC –No Working Capital ›Reasons for not doing a DCF –Interest –Debt –Working Capital Excess Return Model
Excess Return Model Assumptions
Final Valuation
Questions?
Recommendation ›Based on my analysis I have found PNC to be significantly undervalued. Therefore I am recommending a buy for all portfolios
Appendix 1: Payout Ratio
Appendix 2: Dividend Yield
Appendix 3: Projected Dividend