Overview of DARM Mikko Pohjola, THL. Contents Overview of DARM Examples of OA/ORM Example swine flu/narcolepsy DA model Group feedback/discussion.

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Presentation transcript:

Overview of DARM Mikko Pohjola, THL

Contents Overview of DARM Examples of OA/ORM Example swine flu/narcolepsy DA model Group feedback/discussion

Overview of DARM

Some relevant questions Who needs (to use, make, understand) DA & RM? Links of this course contents to other issues taught in environmental risk assessment? Are these methods useful in actual decision situations/real world?

Topics considered in DARM DA Decision theory Probability theory Modeling Uncertainty and model analyses Assessment performance RM Purpose of RM Role of assessment in RM Common views to (systematic) RM ( vs. reality/needs) Participatory assessment and RM OA & ORM Idea, method, theoretical basis Information systems/tools to support (O)RM: Opasnet Swine flu story, DA study plan, RM exercise & example swine flu/narcolepsy model Real world case, practical (?) context, illustration, learning-by-doing, …

Goals/courses in ToxEn “…the students will have comprehensive understanding of human exposure to and health effects of environmental agents such as air pollutants, ionizing and non-ionizing radiation, environmental chemicals and noise, as well as methods needed to produce meaningful risk assessments from such information”

Your (future) jobs/roles Environmental/health experts, consultants Health care professionals Public officials Business/industry experts Business/industry managers Researchers Educators … Local/regional committee member NGO / leisure time activity club members Parents Citizens …

Examples of OA/ORM

Examples of OA/ORM cases Past Health impact of radon in Europe Building policies effects on dampness and asthma in Europe Health impact of urban heat island mitigation in Europe Cost-benefit assessment on composite traffic in Helsinki Comparative risk assessment of dioxinand fine particles Emission assessment of small-scale energy production in Helsinki metropolitan area Benefit-risk assessment on farmed salmon Benefit-risk assessment of methyl mercury and omega-3 fatty acids in fish Risk assessment of nitrate in drinking water Gasbus – health impacts of Helsinki bus traffic

Examples of OA/ORM cases On-going BIOHER: health impacts and costs due to PM2.5 and GHG emissions from small heating power plants and detached houses CLAIH: health impacts and costs of policies to reduce GHG emissions from household heating Assessment of the health impacts of H1N1 vaccination Upcoming URGENCHE: analysis of impact of city-level climate change policy options in 8 cities in Europe and China Normative policy analysis on actions to undertake after the Fukushima nuclear accident Benefit-risk assessment of food supplements

Example DA study model

Problem and assessment question Model Analyses Results & conclusions Relation to the argumentation example Relations to the DA study plans Future development and use of the analysis Goodness (performance)?

Group feedback/discussion

Feedback / discussion How did it go? Have you learned something? Was it effort well spent? Was something too difficult or useless? Did (will) the course have any impact?