Heather Burnett Gold President & CEO FTTH Council Americas Fiber for the New Economy 9/16/15 The Economic Case for Fiber to the Home.

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Heather Burnett Gold President & CEO FTTH Council Americas Fiber for the New Economy 9/16/15 The Economic Case for Fiber to the Home

Overview The FTTH Council Americas sponsors key market studies to analyze the impact of FTTH Annual studies Annual Market Survey (RVA) Annual Consumer Survey (RVA) Topical studies Impact of Gigabit Broadband on GDP (2014)(Analysis Group) Impact of High-Speed Internet Service on Housing Prices (2015) (Molnar, Savage, Sicker)

Study examined whether the introduction of wide spread availability of gigabit broadband has a comparable impact on economic welfare as did the introduction of “always on” DSL and cable modems in the late 90s. Used NTIA data to identify MSAs in which >50% of the homes were passed by gigabit broadband in MSAs in 9 states On average 70% had access to gigabit broadband in 2012 Group was compared to 41 similarly sized MSAs in same 9 states Gigabit broadband was not widely widely available All MSAs review had populations <1 million. Used a year and MSA fixed effects regresssion model to control for other GDP drivers Impact of Gigabit Broadband on GDP

Found that GDP levels in MSAs where gigabit broadband service was introduced between 2011 and 2012, was significantly higher. Model suggests that the per capita GDP ins approximately 1.1% higher than in MSAs with minimal availability. 14 communities enjoyed an additional $1.4Bill in GDP in 2012 Suggests foregone GDP in the 41 communities without access was $3.3Bill

Impact of Fiber Access on Home Prices Examined the relationship between the availability of fiber and price of homes in the United States. Initial random sample included 1.2 million real estate transactions from (latest year for which RealtyTrac data available). Period chosen to correspond with the availability of National Broadband Map data, which indicates where fiber access is available by Census Block Groups which is analogous to a neighborhood. Omitted all non-single family homes, all non-arms length transactions or those with incomplete or missing data Final dataset was comprised of 520,931 transactions covering all 50 states and DC. Average sales price of the homes over the period was $234,573. Median was $175,000 which is close to national average of $185,862

Using the FCC’s recent definition of broadband to be a minimum download of 25 Mbps, the study examines CBGs grouped by various speed cut offs ISPs in that area are offering 25 Mbps – all ISPs can offer regardless of technology = 7.5% of sample CBGs 1.61% if only CBGs where fiber available considered 50 Mbps – cable can easily offer = 25.7% of sample 18.6% if only CBGs where fiber available considered 100 Mbps – also available from cable = 52.9% of sample 42.6% if only CBGs where fiber available considered 1 Gbps – predominantly if not exclusively fiber = 13.9% of sample 37.2% if only CBGs where fiber available considered Impact of Fiber Access on Home Prices

Results Access to 1 Gbps connection = + 1.8% to home’s price Access to fiber connection = + 1.3% to home’s price Total Impact= +3.1% ($5437) Equivalent to the value of adding a fireplace or ½ of a bathroom Impact of Fiber Access on Home Prices